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SPIR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Spire Global Inc (SPIR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.340
1 Day change
-0.10%
52 Week Range
14.530
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Spire Global Inc (SPIR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are some positive catalysts, the company's financial performance, technical indicators, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach. Holding the stock or waiting for clearer signs of improvement would be more prudent.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum, but the RSI is in a neutral zone at 65.9, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its resistance level of 9.934, with key support at 8.486. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a mixed trend with no clear entry point.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high open interest put-call ratio indicates a bearish sentiment, while the very low option volume put-call ratio suggests limited trading activity in puts compared to calls.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • H.C. Wainwright raised the price target to $19, citing a shifting geopolitical landscape and operational improvements.

  • Spire's Arctic-wide sea ice freeboard maps highlight the company's innovation in environmental monitoring.

  • The company has no debt and a strong cash position of $96M, enabling R&D and competitive advancements.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Revenue dropped significantly by -55.65% YoY in Q3 2025, and gross margin decreased by -17.71%.

  • Management lowered guidance for 2025, and achieving cash flow positivity by Q4 2026 seems challenging.

  • Alliance Global downgraded the stock to Neutral with a reduced price target, citing skepticism about recovery.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue declined to $12.67M (-55.65% YoY), while net income improved to -$19.68M (+57.75% YoY). EPS also improved to -0.61 (+22% YoY), but gross margin dropped to 36.65% (-17.71% YoY). The company is still unprofitable, and achieving its long-term growth targets appears uncertain.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. H.C. Wainwright and UBS maintain a Buy rating with optimistic price targets ($19 and $100, respectively). However, Alliance Global downgraded the stock to Neutral, and Canaccord lowered its price target due to missed Q3 results and reduced guidance. The consensus reflects uncertainty about the company's near-term recovery.

Wall Street analysts forecast SPIR stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SPIR stock price to rise
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 10.350
sliders
Low
9
Averages
11.5
High
14
Current: 10.350
sliders
Low
9
Averages
11.5
High
14
H.C. Wainwright
Buy
maintain
$14 -> $19
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Price Target
$14 -> $19
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
maintain
Buy
Reason
H.C. Wainwright raised the firm's price target on Spire Global to $19 from $14 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Despite the stock's recent outperformance, the geopolitical backdrop and Spire's recent operating changes should drive further share appreciation in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says its optimism in shares is driven by a "shifting geopolitical landscape as 2025 likely marked the end of the post-Cold War 'peace dividend' in Europe."
H.C. Wainwright
Scott Buck
Buy
initiated
$14
2026-01-06
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Scott Buck
Price Target
$14
2026-01-06
initiated
Buy
Reason
H.C. Wainwright analyst Scott Buck initiated coverage of Spire Global with a Buy rating and $14 price target. The firm sees demand for space-based intelligence driving a "material improvement" in the company's results. Spire provides intelligence from data collected through radio frequency signals, utilizing the company's proprietary satellite constellation, the analyst tells investors in a research note. H.C. Wainwright believes the company's accelerating revenue growth will "become more obvious in 2026."
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