Short Squeeze Season: Is Super Micro Poised for Takeoff?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 20 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TSM?
Source: Marketbeat
Stock Market Surge: In January 2026, shares of Super Micro Computer surged nearly 11%, closing around $32.75, driven by significant trading volume and a potential shift in market sentiment regarding the AI sector.
TSMC's Impact: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) reported strong earnings, alleviating fears of an AI bubble and indicating robust demand for AI chips, which has positively influenced Super Micro's stock.
Short Selling Dynamics: The stock is heavily shorted, with around 17-18% of shares sold short, creating a volatile environment where positive news could lead to a short squeeze, pushing prices higher.
Revenue Projections: Super Micro is expected to generate between $10 billion and $11 billion in revenue for the current quarter, supported by a backlog of orders, although profit margins have compressed, raising concerns about sustainability.
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Analyst Views on TSM
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 353.130
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
Current: 353.130
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
About TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based integrated circuit foundry service provider. The Company is primarily engaged in integrated circuit manufacturing services. It offers advanced process technologies, specialised process solutions, advanced photomask and silicon stacking, and packaging-related technologies, while supporting a comprehensive design ecosystem. The Company's products serve diverse electronic sectors including artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, wired and wireless communications, automotive and industrial equipment, personal computing, information applications, consumer electronics, smart internet of things, and wearable devices.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Investment Opportunities in TSMC and Micron for AI Growth
- TSMC's Market Leadership: Taiwan Semiconductor holds approximately 70% market share in advanced chip manufacturing, with Q4 2022 sales rising 26% to $33.7 billion and earnings up 35% to $3.14 per share, indicating strong growth potential in AI processor production.
- Future Growth Expectations: TSMC's management anticipates a 30% revenue growth for the full year 2026, reflecting its strategic investments in new manufacturing processes and suggesting the company will maintain its competitive edge in the AI boom.
- Micron's Memory Demand: Micron Technology's Q1 sales surged 57% to $13.6 billion, driven by a sharp increase in demand for memory processors, with diluted earnings per share soaring 175% to $4.60, highlighting the robust need for memory and storage in data center construction.
- Large-Scale Investment Plans: Micron plans to invest over $200 billion in new factories over the next few years, including two high-volume plants in Idaho, to meet the surging market demand, while its stock trades at a P/E ratio of 39, presenting a solid investment opportunity.
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Amazon Trade Dynamics and Investment Adjustments
- Amazon Share Trade: Amazon traded 66,934 shares valued at approximately $14.5 million, reflecting a cautious investor sentiment amid strategic adjustments in the e-commerce sector.
- Earnings Beat: Amazon reported fourth-quarter revenue of $213.39 billion, exceeding estimates, while planning to increase capital expenditures to $200 billion, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
- Joby Aviation Investment: Ark Invest acquired 200,856 shares of Joby Aviation valued at around $2 million, with Joby's fourth-quarter earnings showing an EPS of -$0.14, beating estimates by 30%, highlighting improved financial health.
- Nextdoor Holdings Divestment: Ark Invest sold 1,405,207 shares of Nextdoor Holdings for about $2.3 million, following the company's earnings report that showed a 7% year-over-year revenue increase and a narrowed net loss of $4 million.
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Broadcom Projects AI Chip Revenue Exceeding $100 Billion Next Year
- Surge in AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a more than 100% year-over-year increase in AI revenue for Q1, reaching $8.4 billion, demonstrating the company's robust performance amid the AI boom, which is expected to drive sustained future growth.
- Strong Earnings Guidance: The company achieved a 29% increase in total sales to $19.3 billion in Q1, surpassing analyst expectations, with CEO Hock Tan projecting AI semiconductor revenue of $10.2 billion for the current quarter, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Rising Customer Demand: As large customers increasingly require custom silicon, Broadcom has secured the supply chain necessary to meet its 2027 sales targets, indicating strategic readiness to fulfill market demands.
- Key Customer Collaborations: Broadcom is assisting six major clients, including Google, Meta, Anthropic, and OpenAI, in chip design, which is expected to accelerate the next phase of custom AI deployment and further drive company growth.
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Nvidia Continues to Exceed Earnings Expectations, Boosting AI Sector
- Earnings Beat: Nvidia's latest earnings report revealed record revenue for both the quarter and the year, with sustained high demand allowing the company to maintain a gross margin in the mid-70% range, reinforcing its strong leadership position in the AI chip market and enhancing its influence in the tech sector.
- Industry Impact: As the leader in AI chips, Nvidia's performance not only benefits itself but also drives demand for cloud service providers and other related products, creating a positive feedback loop that promotes growth across the entire AI industry chain.
- Investment Opportunity: With Nvidia's stock price currently down, investors have a solid entry point, especially given the strong earnings momentum, which has attracted increased attention from investors towards its stock and related ETFs.
- ETF Investment Strategy: The Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF emerges as an ideal choice for investing in Nvidia and its partners, as it holds significant positions in companies closely linked to Nvidia, such as Taiwan Semiconductor and Amazon, thereby enhancing portfolio diversification and potential returns.
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Nvidia Reports Record Earnings Amid Surging AI Demand
- Earnings Beat: Nvidia's latest earnings report reveals record quarterly revenue driven by sustained high demand, solidifying its leadership in the global AI chip market and expected to boost growth for related companies.
- ETF Investment Opportunity: Investors can indirectly benefit from Nvidia's success through the Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF, which includes Nvidia and major customer Amazon among its top five holdings, enhancing portfolio diversification and potential returns.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Nvidia maintains a strong gross margin above 70%, indicating robust profitability, and with the upcoming release of the new Rubin chip, the company is poised for continued growth momentum.
- Industry Influence: As a bellwether for the tech sector, Nvidia's success is likely to benefit not only itself but also cloud service providers and other chip manufacturers, further driving the development of the entire AI ecosystem.
See More
Kemnay Advisory Services Increases Stake in MercadoLibre
- Share Acquisition Details: Kemnay Advisory Services Inc. increased its position in MercadoLibre by 1,385 shares during Q4 2026, with an estimated trade value of $2.91 million, bringing total holdings to 5,623 shares and reflecting a $1.42 million increase from the previous quarter due to both trading and stock price effects.
- Holding Proportion Analysis: Following this purchase, Kemnay's stake in MercadoLibre represents 1.71% of its 13F AUM, indicating a sustained bullish outlook on the company despite a 3.77% decline in share price over the past year.
- Market Performance Overview: As of February 16, 2026, MercadoLibre shares were priced at $1,988.26, with a market capitalization of $100.80 billion, maintaining rapid revenue growth despite pressures from increased e-commerce competition and rising bad loans.
- Investor Outlook: Kemnay has held MercadoLibre shares since Q2 2020, having previously sold off shares, but has now added shares in each of the last four quarters, suggesting they view the current stock price as an attractive buying opportunity, potentially leading to further purchases in the future.
See More
Investment Opportunities in TSMC and Micron for AI Growth
- TSMC's Market Leadership: Taiwan Semiconductor holds approximately 70% market share in advanced chip manufacturing, with Q4 2022 sales rising 26% to $33.7 billion and earnings up 35% to $3.14 per share, indicating strong growth potential in AI processor production.
- Future Growth Expectations: TSMC's management anticipates a 30% revenue growth for the full year 2026, reflecting its strategic investments in new manufacturing processes and suggesting the company will maintain its competitive edge in the AI boom.
- Micron's Memory Demand: Micron Technology's Q1 sales surged 57% to $13.6 billion, driven by a sharp increase in demand for memory processors, with diluted earnings per share soaring 175% to $4.60, highlighting the robust need for memory and storage in data center construction.
- Large-Scale Investment Plans: Micron plans to invest over $200 billion in new factories over the next few years, including two high-volume plants in Idaho, to meet the surging market demand, while its stock trades at a P/E ratio of 39, presenting a solid investment opportunity.
See More
Amazon Trade Dynamics and Investment Adjustments
- Amazon Share Trade: Amazon traded 66,934 shares valued at approximately $14.5 million, reflecting a cautious investor sentiment amid strategic adjustments in the e-commerce sector.
- Earnings Beat: Amazon reported fourth-quarter revenue of $213.39 billion, exceeding estimates, while planning to increase capital expenditures to $200 billion, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
- Joby Aviation Investment: Ark Invest acquired 200,856 shares of Joby Aviation valued at around $2 million, with Joby's fourth-quarter earnings showing an EPS of -$0.14, beating estimates by 30%, highlighting improved financial health.
- Nextdoor Holdings Divestment: Ark Invest sold 1,405,207 shares of Nextdoor Holdings for about $2.3 million, following the company's earnings report that showed a 7% year-over-year revenue increase and a narrowed net loss of $4 million.
See More
Broadcom Projects AI Chip Revenue Exceeding $100 Billion Next Year
- Surge in AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a more than 100% year-over-year increase in AI revenue for Q1, reaching $8.4 billion, demonstrating the company's robust performance amid the AI boom, which is expected to drive sustained future growth.
- Strong Earnings Guidance: The company achieved a 29% increase in total sales to $19.3 billion in Q1, surpassing analyst expectations, with CEO Hock Tan projecting AI semiconductor revenue of $10.2 billion for the current quarter, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Rising Customer Demand: As large customers increasingly require custom silicon, Broadcom has secured the supply chain necessary to meet its 2027 sales targets, indicating strategic readiness to fulfill market demands.
- Key Customer Collaborations: Broadcom is assisting six major clients, including Google, Meta, Anthropic, and OpenAI, in chip design, which is expected to accelerate the next phase of custom AI deployment and further drive company growth.
See More
Nvidia Continues to Exceed Earnings Expectations, Boosting AI Sector
- Earnings Beat: Nvidia's latest earnings report revealed record revenue for both the quarter and the year, with sustained high demand allowing the company to maintain a gross margin in the mid-70% range, reinforcing its strong leadership position in the AI chip market and enhancing its influence in the tech sector.
- Industry Impact: As the leader in AI chips, Nvidia's performance not only benefits itself but also drives demand for cloud service providers and other related products, creating a positive feedback loop that promotes growth across the entire AI industry chain.
- Investment Opportunity: With Nvidia's stock price currently down, investors have a solid entry point, especially given the strong earnings momentum, which has attracted increased attention from investors towards its stock and related ETFs.
- ETF Investment Strategy: The Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF emerges as an ideal choice for investing in Nvidia and its partners, as it holds significant positions in companies closely linked to Nvidia, such as Taiwan Semiconductor and Amazon, thereby enhancing portfolio diversification and potential returns.
See More
Nvidia Reports Record Earnings Amid Surging AI Demand
- Earnings Beat: Nvidia's latest earnings report reveals record quarterly revenue driven by sustained high demand, solidifying its leadership in the global AI chip market and expected to boost growth for related companies.
- ETF Investment Opportunity: Investors can indirectly benefit from Nvidia's success through the Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF, which includes Nvidia and major customer Amazon among its top five holdings, enhancing portfolio diversification and potential returns.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Nvidia maintains a strong gross margin above 70%, indicating robust profitability, and with the upcoming release of the new Rubin chip, the company is poised for continued growth momentum.
- Industry Influence: As a bellwether for the tech sector, Nvidia's success is likely to benefit not only itself but also cloud service providers and other chip manufacturers, further driving the development of the entire AI ecosystem.
See More
Kemnay Advisory Services Increases Stake in MercadoLibre
- Share Acquisition Details: Kemnay Advisory Services Inc. increased its position in MercadoLibre by 1,385 shares during Q4 2026, with an estimated trade value of $2.91 million, bringing total holdings to 5,623 shares and reflecting a $1.42 million increase from the previous quarter due to both trading and stock price effects.
- Holding Proportion Analysis: Following this purchase, Kemnay's stake in MercadoLibre represents 1.71% of its 13F AUM, indicating a sustained bullish outlook on the company despite a 3.77% decline in share price over the past year.
- Market Performance Overview: As of February 16, 2026, MercadoLibre shares were priced at $1,988.26, with a market capitalization of $100.80 billion, maintaining rapid revenue growth despite pressures from increased e-commerce competition and rising bad loans.
- Investor Outlook: Kemnay has held MercadoLibre shares since Q2 2020, having previously sold off shares, but has now added shares in each of the last four quarters, suggesting they view the current stock price as an attractive buying opportunity, potentially leading to further purchases in the future.
See More
