SECURE's Transaction with GFL Receives Support from ISS and Glass Lewis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 40 minutes ago
0mins
Should l Buy GFL?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Transaction Support: SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. announced that independent advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended shareholders vote in favor of the transaction with GFL Environmental Inc. at the special meeting on May 25, 2026, highlighting the strategic rationale and long-term value potential of the deal.
- Shareholder Benefits: Under the transaction terms, SECURE shareholders can choose to receive $24.75 in cash per share or 0.4195 of a subordinate voting share in GFL, or a combination, reflecting a premium of approximately 23%, enhancing the attractiveness of the investment for shareholders.
- Unanimous Board Recommendation: Both SECURE's Board of Directors and the Special Committee of independent directors unanimously support the transaction, believing that the combined company will have stronger financial strength and liquidity, providing better risk-adjusted opportunities than continuing as a standalone operation.
- Voting Importance: SECURE urges all shareholders to vote actively before the deadline to ensure the transaction proceeds smoothly, emphasizing that every vote is crucial, regardless of the number of shares held, to secure their interests in the future combined company.
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Analyst Views on GFL
Wall Street analysts forecast GFL stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 36.240
Low
34.03
Averages
55.30
High
64.06
Current: 36.240
Low
34.03
Averages
55.30
High
64.06
About GFL
GFL Environmental Inc. is a Canada-based diversified environmental services company. The Company is engaged in offering solid waste management, liquid waste management, and soil remediation services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling and disposal services. Its facilities type consists of convenience sites, landfills, material recovery facilities, organic processing, soil remediation sites and transfer stations. It has operations across Canada and the United States. The Company offers its services to municipal, residential, and commercial and industrial customers.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Director Nominee Election: At the 2026 shareholder meeting, all director nominees of GFL Environmental Inc. were approved, with Patrick Dovigi receiving 94.37% support, indicating strong shareholder confidence in the management team.
- Voting Results Transparency: The voting results from the meeting will be made available on SEDAR+ and EDGAR platforms, ensuring that shareholders and the public can access corporate governance information promptly, thereby enhancing transparency and trust.
- Company Scale and Impact: GFL is the fourth largest diversified environmental services company in North America, employing over 15,000 people and providing comprehensive solid waste management services, highlighting its significant position and market influence in the industry.
- Future Growth Potential: With increasing demand for environmental services, GFL's business model and robust workforce provide a solid foundation for future growth, which is expected to further strengthen its market leadership.
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- Transaction Support: SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. announced that independent advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended shareholders vote in favor of the transaction with GFL Environmental Inc. at the special meeting on May 25, 2026, highlighting the strategic rationale and long-term value potential of the deal.
- Shareholder Benefits: Under the transaction terms, SECURE shareholders can choose to receive $24.75 in cash per share or 0.4195 of a subordinate voting share in GFL, or a combination, reflecting a premium of approximately 23%, enhancing the attractiveness of the investment for shareholders.
- Unanimous Board Recommendation: Both SECURE's Board of Directors and the Special Committee of independent directors unanimously support the transaction, believing that the combined company will have stronger financial strength and liquidity, providing better risk-adjusted opportunities than continuing as a standalone operation.
- Voting Importance: SECURE urges all shareholders to vote actively before the deadline to ensure the transaction proceeds smoothly, emphasizing that every vote is crucial, regardless of the number of shares held, to secure their interests in the future combined company.
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- Revenue Growth: GFL Environmental reported Q1 revenue of $1.64 billion, reflecting a 5.1% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations by $450 million, indicating strong market performance and sustained customer demand.
- Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Increase: The company raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $2.23 billion, an increase of $90 million from previous estimates, reflecting synergies from acquisitions and improved operational efficiencies.
- Free Cash Flow Guidance Upward Revision: Adjusted free cash flow for 2026 is now estimated at approximately $850 million, up $15 million from earlier guidance, demonstrating improvements in capital management and cash generation capabilities.
- Capital Expenditure and Leverage: Full-year net capital expenditures are expected to be around $825 million, with cash interest expenses projected at approximately $445 million, while net leverage is anticipated to remain in the mid-3s by the end of 2026, indicating financial stability.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: GFL Environmental is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 29th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.09, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 115.5%, indicating strong profitability potential.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: Despite the optimistic EPS outlook, the revenue estimate stands at $1.19 billion, representing a 23.7% year-over-year decline, which highlights challenges the company faces in the current market environment and may impact investor confidence.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, GFL has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and has surpassed revenue estimates 100% of the time, demonstrating stability and reliability in its financial performance.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and six downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced no upward revisions and ten downward revisions, indicating market caution and divergence regarding the company's future performance.
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- Tariff Threat Escalation: President Trump threatened a staggering 50% tariff on China during a Fox News interview, which could significantly impact multinational companies like Apple that rely heavily on Chinese supply chains, further escalating trade tensions.
- Increased Economic Risks: This tariff threat not only poses operational challenges for global retail giants like Nike but also raises investor concerns about the economic repercussions of the ongoing Middle East conflict, adding layers of uncertainty to the market.
- Market Reaction: Although Trump labeled the underlying reports as potentially 'fake news', the market's reaction indicates a heightened sensitivity among investors regarding future trade relations, which could lead to increased volatility in stock prices.
- Geopolitical Implications: Against the backdrop of rising tensions in the Middle East, Trump's tariff threat introduces new risks to the global economy, potentially affecting U.S.-China diplomatic relations and their competitiveness in international markets.
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- Acquisition Overview: GFL Environmental has agreed to acquire Secure Waste Infrastructure for C$24.75 per share, totaling approximately C$6.4 billion, with 80% in GFL subordinate voting shares and 20% in cash, indicating a strong intent to expand its market presence.
- Premium Purchase: The acquisition price represents a 23% premium over the volume-weighted average price of Secure Waste shares for the past 60 trading days, reflecting GFL's confidence in the valuation and potential of Secure Waste in the waste management sector.
- Operational Synergies: Secure Waste operates over 80 assets in Western Canada and North Dakota, including 12 landfills and 55 waste treatment facilities, and the acquisition will enhance GFL's market share and service capabilities in the region, improving overall operational efficiency.
- Strategic Expansion: This acquisition follows GFL's recent purchase of Frontier Waste Solutions in Texas, highlighting its strategic positioning and commitment to continuous growth in the waste management industry.
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