Sable Offshore Short Interest Soars to 47%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was up 0.4%, the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.4%, the Russell 2000 index was up 1.9%, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas up 2.1%, and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas up 1.6% in the four-day trading session range through February 19.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Sable Offshoretroughed at five-week lows of around 28% in the first week of February but has since risen for two consecutive weeks. This week, short positioning as a percentage of free float on the name was especially pronounced, jumping from 32.4% to 47% - a record high. Days-to-cover on the name was also up from 4.2 to 4.5. The stock has been in the crosshairs of investigative reporting by Hunterbrook Media questioning the company's liquidity since October of last year, and on February 3rd, the management has conceded with a $250M at-the-market offering, while the company has also disclosed SEC subpoenas in connection with the publication's allegations of inappropriate communication with investors by Sable CEO. Shares were up 8.4% in the four-day period covered, though year-to-date, the stock is down about 1%.Ortex-reported short interest on Shift4 Paymentshad tracked in a four point range of 23%-27% since mid-November while the stock peaked at the end of November and then caved by about 30% into the first week of February. With shares settling into a trading range this month but an earnings report looming for the company this Thursday, and with negative sentiment reverberating across the Infrastructure Software industry for much of this month, bears are betting on some catch-up selling. While the stock rose 7.2% in the four-day period covered through Thursday, shorts as a percentage of free float on Shift4 jumped from 26.9% to 43.8% - a record high – while days-to-cover on the name rose from 8.3 to 8.4.Ortex-reported short interest in Netskopehad receded to four-week lows around 48% as of last Friday before a surge in bearish appetite seen this week, with shorts as a percentage of free float spiking from 50% to about 62%. The company reports its Q4 results on March 11, though in the meantime, shares have been caught up in the downdraft impacting much of the infrastructure software industry, receiving multiple price target cuts within recent days due to compressing multiples in that group. The stock was up 1.5% in the four-day period covered through Thursday before Friday's 10% selloff, and year-to-date, Netskope is now down 40%.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSAs profiled here three weeks ago, Ortex-reported short interest in Mobileye Globalhas been rising steeply and consistently, having since reached a four-month of about 26% late last week. Bearish positioning was abruptly pared back this week however, with no major news catalysts or unusual volatility in shares. Short interest as a percentage of free float in Mobileye was down from 26.1% all the way to 18.3%, a two-month low, though with trading volumes also normalizing after elevated activity to start the year, days-to-cover on the name was little changed at 4.3. The stock was down 2.2% in the four-day period covered, and year-to-date, shares are now off by 13%.
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- Executive Appointment: Shift4 Payments has appointed Timothy Goodwin as Chief Payments Officer, responsible for all global payment technology, including gateway and processing platforms, aiming to enhance the company's competitive edge in payment technology.
- International Expansion: Pier Francesco Nervini will become President of Shift4 International effective April 1, 2026, overseeing all commercial and go-to-market efforts outside the Americas, which is expected to drive the company's global market expansion.
- Leadership Transition: Chief Accounting Officer Jay Whale will leave for a non-competing company, with Filippos Mintiloglitis serving as interim CAO during the transition, ensuring continuity in financial management amidst leadership changes.
- Contextual Changes: These executive shifts follow Jared Isaacman's resignation as Executive Chairman, with CEO Taylor Lauber also taking on the Chairman role, indicating significant adjustments in leadership that may impact the company's strategic direction.
- Cost Overruns: NASA's Exploration Upper Stage, built by Boeing, has exceeded $2.8 billion and is facing delays, prompting the agency to seek alternative solutions to manage its budget effectively.
- Alternative Solution Exploration: NASA plans to use the ULA-built Centaur V rocket for lunar missions, which utilizes the same propellant as the SLS, although this plan is not yet finalized.
- Artemis II Delay: The launch of NASA's Artemis II vehicle has been postponed due to rocket issues, with the SLS vehicle rolled back from the launch pad at Kennedy Space Center in Florida after engineers noted an
- Insider Buying: Founder Jared Isaacman purchased 136,993 shares on February 26 and 159,244 shares on February 27, increasing his total holdings to 1,321,207 shares, indicating confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Despite Shift4Payments' stock plummeting over 39% in 2025 and more than 25% year-to-date, Isaacman's purchases led to a nearly 7% increase in stock price on Monday, breaking a three-day losing streak.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: Benchmark lowered its price target for Shift4Payments from $100 to $67, citing concerns over structural deterioration following the company's fourth-quarter results, although analysts believe the reality is not as dire as the market reaction suggests.
- Retail Sentiment Recovery: According to Stocktwits data, retail sentiment on Shift4Payments stocks surged from neutral to extremely bullish, with message volumes increasing by 533% in the last 24 hours, reflecting optimistic investor expectations for the future.
- Merchant Base Expansion: Shift4's acquisition of Bambora North America adds 140,000 merchants, significantly enhancing its market presence in North America and strengthening its competitive position in integrated payments and commerce technology.
- Cross-Sell Opportunities: By integrating Bambora's gateway platform, Shift4 will offer these merchants comprehensive payments and commerce solutions, expected to create substantial cross-sell opportunities that will drive revenue growth.
- Strategic Growth: This acquisition not only strengthens Shift4's footprint across key verticals in North America but also advances its strategic expansion of the integrated payments and commerce ecosystem, aligning with the company's long-term growth objectives.
- Enhanced Payment Experience: Shift4 CEO Taylor Lauber noted that this deal will provide merchants with a better payments experience by streamlining the end-to-end commerce solution, thereby improving customer satisfaction and loyalty.
- Citrini Report Analysis: The video analyzes the Citrini report, indicating that its content fails to effectively explain the reasons behind the market pullback, potentially undermining investor confidence in market outlook.
- Earnings Reports Overview: It covers earnings reports from Mercadolibre, Nu Holdings, Salesforce, and Shift4, noting that while performances varied, the overall impact on market sentiment was muted, reflecting a lack of significant investor reaction to the reports.
- Market Dynamics Observation: The video emphasizes that in certain economic contexts, the rationale for a market pullback is unfounded, likely driven by fluctuations in investor sentiment rather than fundamental changes.
- Investor Recommendations: Viewers are advised to focus on long-term market trends rather than short-term volatility, with encouragement to subscribe for more market analysis and investment insights.
- Shift4 Payments Bulk Purchase: Jared Isaacman purchased 296,237 shares of FOUR at $46.11 each for a total of $13.66 million on Friday, indicating confidence in the company's growth while providing investors an opportunity to enter at a lower price.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Despite Isaacman's purchase signaling positivity, FOUR traded down about 1% on Monday, with shares at $43.36, reflecting a 6.0% discount from his purchase price, indicating market caution.
- Freedom Holding Insider Trading: Sergey Lukyanov bought 20,000 shares of FRHC at $120.52 each for a total of $2.41 million on Wednesday, suggesting optimism about the company's future performance.
- Historical Trading Comparison: Prior to this transaction, Lukyanov had purchased FRHC on two other occasions in the past year, totaling $1.98 million at an average price of $157.21, demonstrating his sustained interest and confidence in the stock.










