Rumors of SpaceX-Tesla Merger Heat Up
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Merger Rumors Intensify: The rumors surrounding a potential merger between SpaceX and Tesla are growing, as the synergy from their overlapping projects could significantly enhance both companies' competitive positions and resource sharing in the market.
- Tesla Stock Pressure: Tesla's stock has declined approximately 9% this year, and with increasing competition in the electric vehicle market, investor confidence in its future growth is waning, making a merger a strategic option to enhance shareholder value.
- Strong SpaceX IPO Performance: SpaceX's IPO saw shares jump nearly 20% on its first trading day, generating excitement among investors about its growth potential, which may shift focus away from Tesla.
- Future Merger Possibility: Reports suggest that a merger between SpaceX and Tesla could occur as early as next year, and given their collaboration on projects like the Terafab chip factory, a merger could help both companies tackle market challenges and accelerate their growth plans.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 396.380
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 396.380
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Continued Price Surge: Currently, SpaceX shares have risen 58% from the $135 IPO price, indicating investor optimism regarding its business model and future profitability, particularly given its dominant position in the commercial space launch market.
- Future Revenue Expectations: Elon Musk stated that SpaceX aims to generate $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, a target that fuels investor enthusiasm, even as the current valuation approaches $3 trillion, with the market remaining optimistic about its growth trajectory.
- Investment Strategy Advice: While short-term price volatility is likely, long-term investors should exercise patience and consider entering after the initial hype subsides to avoid buying at peak prices, mirroring the investment strategy seen with Tesla.
See More
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- Executive Appointment: Intel has appointed Seok-Hee Lee as executive vice president of its contract chip-manufacturing division, aiming to enhance its advanced packaging business and regain competitiveness after missing the AI boom.
- Strategic Focus: Lee will report directly to CEO Lip-Bu Tan and oversee all advanced packaging, system integration, and back-end technology development, indicating Intel's commitment to improving its technological integration capabilities in a competitive market.
- Customer Collaboration: President Trump announced that Apple has agreed to collaborate with Intel to design and manufacture chips in the U.S., injecting new momentum into Intel's contract manufacturing business and potentially increasing its market share.
- Technology Development: Intel plans to accelerate the development of its 18A and 14A technologies, with Lee's appointment clarifying the division of responsibilities between front-end and back-end manufacturing, thereby enhancing overall production efficiency and technological innovation.
See More
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- Regulatory Warning: The Swedish Transport Agency (TRV) has sent a letter to the EU's Technical Committee on Motor Vehicles (TCMV), urging rejection of Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system due to concerns that its speed offset feature could undermine legal frameworks and safety benefits.
- Voting Conditions: A TRV spokesperson stated that Sweden's representative in the TCMV will only vote in favor if Tesla removes the speeding functionality, indicating a stringent regulatory stance towards the company.
- European Expansion Hurdles: While countries like the Netherlands have approved Tesla's FSD, concerns from Swedish regulators may hinder the company's rollout across Europe, impacting its market position and sales outlook.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around TSLA stock has shifted from 'neutral' to 'bearish', reflecting investor concerns about Tesla's future performance, despite the ongoing structural demand for electric vehicles.
See More
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- Recall Announcement: Waymo is recalling nearly 3,900 robotaxis to address software issues, marking the company's second recall in just over a month, following 13 incidents where robotaxis entered freeway construction zones, highlighting deficiencies in its autonomous driving systems under complex conditions.
- Safety Risks: According to notices from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Waymo's fifth-generation automated driving systems exhibit performance issues in construction zones, increasing the likelihood of accidents, which has compelled the company to restrict freeway operations to ensure passenger safety.
- Expansion Constraints: Waymo currently operates commercial robotaxi services in 11 U.S. markets, but the ongoing freeway issues are limiting the company's expansion velocity, particularly against the backdrop of plans to enter international markets like London and Tokyo.
- New Subscription Model: Waymo recently introduced a $29.99 monthly subscription service aimed at high-demand cities, but until the freeway issues are resolved, user experience and market confidence may be adversely affected.
See More
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- Future Revenue Outlook: Goldman Sachs forecasts that by 2030, SpaceX's AI division will generate $322 billion in revenue, with total revenue reaching $474 billion, marking a significant increase from $18.7 billion in 2025, highlighting the company's immense potential and market demand in the AI sector.
- Chip Supply Chain Advantage: Nvidia supplies over 220,000 GPUs for SpaceX's data centers, playing a crucial role in a $1.2 billion monthly leasing agreement with AI startup Anthropic, further solidifying its leadership position in the AI market.
- Strategic Collaboration with Alphabet: Alphabet, an early investor in SpaceX, collaborates through a $920 million monthly compute capacity leasing agreement, leveraging its strengths in space imagery and satellite launches to advance its Project Suncatcher initiative.
- Tesla's Shared Project: Tesla benefits from a shared semiconductor project, Terafab, with SpaceX, which is expected to enhance the production efficiency of its robots and autonomous vehicles, thereby gaining a competitive edge and new revenue streams in the future.
See More
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- Market Growth Outlook: Grand View Research forecasts a 26.7% CAGR for the global EV market from 2026 to 2033, indicating strong growth potential despite challenges such as reduced government subsidies and supply chain disruptions.
- Rivian's Production Issues: Rivian's stock has plummeted from $78 in 2021 to around $16 today, yet it anticipates delivering 62,000-67,000 vehicles in 2023; however, production challenges and high starting prices have limited its market appeal, resulting in a market cap of only $20 billion.
- Nio's Market Share Growth: Nio's annual deliveries surged from 43,728 in 2020 to 326,028 by 2025, with its current stock price at $5, while its share in China's premium EV market continues to expand, projecting revenues nearing $25.8 billion by 2028.
- Improving Profitability: Nio has recently spun off its unprofitable chip-making segment, reducing operating costs, and has maintained profitability over the past two quarters, with analysts expecting it to achieve its first full-year profit in 2027, suggesting significant undervaluation of its stock.
See More
