Royal Gold Reports Q4 Revenue of $375.3M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 12 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy RGLD?
Reports Q4 revenue $375.3M, two estimates $386.67M. "2025 was a transformational year for Royal Gold," commented Bill Heissenbuttel, President and CEO of Royal Gold. "In addition to record financial results, we completed several large transactions and saw mine life extensions, expansions and exploration success at some of the key assets in our portfolio. Together, these developments significantly enhance the scale, duration and diversification of our portfolio and provide embedded growth and optionality that should generate benefits over the long term. We also maintained our focus on increasing returns to shareholders and increased our annual dividend for the 25th consecutive year, and we have aggressively paid down debt from cash flow and rebuilt our liquidity after an active year. Our activity this year leaves us with an expanded business designed to perform in any metal price environment, and we are exceptionally well-positioned to take full advantage of materially higher current metal prices."
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Analyst Views on RGLD
Wall Street analysts forecast RGLD stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 279.070
Low
205.00
Averages
253.11
High
280.00
Current: 279.070
Low
205.00
Averages
253.11
High
280.00
About RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc. is a high-margin, large-capitalization company that generates cash flows from a large and well-diversified portfolio of precious metal streams, royalties and similar production-based interests located in mining-friendly jurisdictions. It owns a large portfolio of producing, development, evaluation and exploration stage streams and royalties on properties located in gold regions and operated by companies in the mining industry. Its Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests segment includes a metal stream, which is a purchase agreement that provides the right to purchase all or a portion of one or more metals produced from a mine, at a price determined for the life of the transaction by the purchase agreement. Its Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests segment includes non-operating interests in mining projects that provide the right to revenue or metals produced from the project after deducting specified costs, if any.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Royal Gold (RGLD) is set to release its Q4 fiscal year 2023 earnings on February 18 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $2.64, reflecting a significant 62% year-over-year increase, indicating strong profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The revenue for the quarter is projected at $386.67 million, representing a 90.9% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust performance in the gold market and sensitivity to rising gold prices, which may further bolster investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, RGLD has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, indicating stability in financial performance and effective management of market expectations.
- Estimates Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 3 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have had 1 upward revision and no downward revisions, reflecting analyst divergence on the company's future performance and market uncertainty.
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- Strong Cash Flow: The company reported operating cash flow of $241.7 million in the fourth quarter, a 70.5% increase from the prior year, providing greater financial flexibility for future investment opportunities and debt repayment.
- Consistent Shareholder Returns: Royal Gold increased its annual dividend for the 25th consecutive year from $1.80 to $1.90 per share, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns while reflecting the company's robust financial health and profitability.
- Successful Strategic Acquisitions: The completion of the acquisitions of Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper has strengthened the company's asset portfolio, expected to provide more growth opportunities in the current high metal price environment.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Royal Gold (RGLD) is set to release its Q4 fiscal year 2023 earnings on February 18 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $2.64, reflecting a significant 62% year-over-year increase, indicating strong profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The revenue for the quarter is projected at $386.67 million, representing a 90.9% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust performance in the gold market and sensitivity to rising gold prices, which may further bolster investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, RGLD has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, indicating stability in financial performance and effective management of market expectations.
- Estimates Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 3 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have had 1 upward revision and no downward revisions, reflecting analyst divergence on the company's future performance and market uncertainty.
See More
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- Record Financial Performance: Royal Gold achieved a record revenue of $1.0305 billion for fiscal year 2025, representing a 43.2% increase year-over-year, with gold revenue comprising 78%, indicating strong performance amid rising metal prices, which is expected to enhance shareholder returns further.
- Strong Cash Flow: The company reported operating cash flow of $241.7 million in the fourth quarter, a 70.5% increase from the prior year, providing greater financial flexibility for future investment opportunities and debt repayment.
- Consistent Shareholder Returns: Royal Gold increased its annual dividend for the 25th consecutive year from $1.80 to $1.90 per share, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns while reflecting the company's robust financial health and profitability.
- Successful Strategic Acquisitions: The completion of the acquisitions of Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper has strengthened the company's asset portfolio, expected to provide more growth opportunities in the current high metal price environment.
See More
GDXJ ETF Trading Dynamics Analysis
- Price Range Analysis: GDXJ ETF's 52-week low is $47.29 per share and high is $152.24, with the latest trade at $134.66, indicating a relatively strong performance in the current market that may attract more investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the recent share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper technical insights, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buy or sell timing, thus optimizing investment decisions.
- Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors are buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, providing flexibility and adaptability in volatile market conditions.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs, focusing on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), helps investors identify market trends and their potential impact on ETF components.
See More
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- Consumer Spending Data Focus: This week's highlight will be the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will provide insights into consumer spending in December and inflation trends, especially following last week's unexpected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Corporate Earnings in Spotlight: Walmart (WMT) is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, marking the first report under new CEO John Furner, making it a key indicator of consumer spending that the market is eagerly anticipating.
- Ongoing AI Impact: As AI tools' potential effects intensify across various sectors, software stocks like Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW) have seen significant declines, reflecting the market's heightened vigilance regarding AI disruptions, necessitating close monitoring of future industry developments.
See More
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- Trend Analysis: The recent downturn in silver prices indicates a potential shift in market dynamics.
See More
Ryan Kalt Divests Shares of Red Lake Gold Inc.
- Divestment Details: Ryan Kalt reported the divestment of 1,167,000 common shares of Red Lake Gold Inc. between January 26 and February 3, 2026, indicating a potential shift in his investment strategy that may affect market confidence in the issuer.
- Ownership Proportion: As of this release, Kalt retains ownership of 29,385,300 shares, representing approximately 58.14% of Red Lake Gold Inc.'s outstanding shares, maintaining his status as a significant shareholder and indicating ongoing interest in the company's future.
- Price Analysis: The average sale price during the divestment was $0.05970 per share, reflecting the current market valuation of the stock, which could influence investor expectations regarding the company's future performance.
- Future Investment Intentions: Kalt indicated that he may acquire additional shares or divest further depending on market conditions and investment objectives, showcasing a flexible investment strategy and responsiveness to market dynamics.
See More
