Raises FY26 Revenue Outlook to $1.0595B-$1.0705B
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy ALRM?
Consensus $2.79. Raises FY26 revenue view to $1.0595B-$1.0705B from $1.058B-$1.065B, consensus $1.06B.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy ALRM?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on ALRM
Wall Street analysts forecast ALRM stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 47.600
Low
55.00
Averages
70.00
High
85.00
Current: 47.600
Low
55.00
Averages
70.00
High
85.00
About ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides a platform for intelligently connected property. Its cloud-based platform offers a suite of Internet of Things (IoT) solutions addressing global opportunities in the residential, multi-family, small business and enterprise commercial markets. The Company's segments include Alarm.com and Other. Its Alarm.com segment represents its cloud-based and Software platforms for intelligently connected property and related solutions. Its Other segment is focused on researching, developing and offering residential and commercial automation solutions and energy management products and services in adjacent markets. This segment also includes advanced grid services and virtual power plant (VPP) solutions for utilities. Its solution suite includes security, video and video analytics, energy management, access control, electric utility grid management, indoor gunshot detection, water management, health and wellness, personal safety and data-rich emergency response.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Alarm.com (ALRM) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
See More
Software Stocks Surge on Strong Earnings Reports
- Sector Recovery: Strong earnings reports from several software companies have rejuvenated sentiment across the software sector, particularly after Atlassian raised its annual forecast, leading to significant stock price increases for peers like Salesforce and ServiceNow.
- Twilio's Positive Outlook: Twilio reported first-quarter revenue that exceeded expectations and raised its forecast, with the CEO highlighting artificial intelligence as a key catalyst, which further bolstered market confidence in software stocks.
- Market Response: Following a valuation reset, the market is optimistic about the recovery of software stocks, especially as high-growth companies like Datadog and ServiceNow lead the rebound, indicating that enterprise software remains structurally advantageous despite short-term macro turbulence.
- SentinelOne Volatility Analysis: SentinelOne's stock has experienced 19 moves greater than 5% in the past year, and while it has risen 1.1% year-to-date, it still trades 27.2% below its 52-week high, reflecting cautious optimism about its future performance.
See More
Alarm.com Stock Decline and Outlook Analysis
- Weak Performance: Alarm.com reported billings of $260.5 million over the last four quarters with a year-on-year growth of only 7.2%, indicating challenges in customer acquisition and retention due to increasing competition, which negatively impacts market performance.
- Slim Revenue Growth: Wall Street analysts forecast a mere 5% revenue growth for Alarm.com over the next 12 months, a deceleration from the 10.3% annualized growth rate of the past five years, suggesting potential demand headwinds for its products and services, which may undermine investor confidence.
- Improved Profitability: Alarm.com’s GAAP operating margin rose by 1.7 percentage points to 13.2% over the past two years, reflecting enhanced profitability; however, the overall stock performance remains subdued due to intensified market competition.
- Cautious Investment Advice: Despite Alarm.com trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.5 and a current share price of $43.44, analysts express a lack of confidence in its future performance, recommending investors to consider other more attractive stocks to optimize their portfolios.
See More
Alarm.com Enhances Universal Communicator for Legacy Security Upgrades
- Feature Enhancements: Alarm.com's new features for the Universal Communicator include Smart Connector functionality and Verizon LTE support, allowing users to upgrade to modern security systems flexibly without replacing existing panels, thereby improving installation efficiency and user experience.
- Cost Efficiency: These software-driven enhancements enable users to modernize their systems at a lower cost, while service providers can quickly deliver modern security experiences to customers without incurring additional hardware costs, significantly reducing installation time.
- Multi-Location Management: Business customers can manage alarms, video, and access control across multiple sites through Alarm.com's Business platform, streamlining operations and enhancing control over multi-location systems, thereby improving operational efficiency.
- Market Coverage: Alarm.com's systems are professionally installed and monitored across the U.S., Canada, and select international markets, further solidifying its leadership position in the smart security solutions market to meet the growing demand for security.
See More
Middle East Ceasefire Breach Triggers Market Volatility
- Market Volatility Intensifies: Reports of a ceasefire breach in the Middle East have triggered panic selling, causing multiple stocks to decline in morning trading, particularly as traditional SaaS models face threats from AI systems, leading to widespread negative sentiment.
- Short Seller Warning: Short seller Michael Burry hinted on social media that Anthropic is “eating Palantir’s lunch,” which heightened investor concerns about the vulnerability of legacy platforms, resulting in a broad sell-off of related stocks.
- Alarm.com Stock Decline: Alarm.com has seen a 15.7% drop since the beginning of the year, currently trading at $43.21 per share, which is 28.8% below its 52-week high of $60.68, indicating a lack of confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Investor Reaction: The market experienced a “basket-style reaction,” where investors reduced exposure across the entire sector, leading to a nearly 3% decline in the S&P 500 Information Technology Sector, reflecting widespread concerns about the potential impact of AI.
See More
Alarm.com Unveils AI-Driven Video Security Updates
- AI Video Event Search: Alarm.com's newly launched AI Video Event Search feature allows users to quickly locate important video activity using natural language queries, significantly enhancing efficiency in incident investigation and daily operations management, thereby enabling users to obtain necessary information faster.
- Expanded Video Coverage: The introduction of the ADC-V731B Battery Spotlight Camera enables video monitoring in locations without wired power, supporting solar panel options to provide professional-grade video security, thus meeting customer needs for surveillance in various environments.
- Smart Front-Door Security: The ADC-VDB775 Video Doorbell combines high-resolution video with advanced detection features, helping customers identify known visitors and reduce unnecessary notifications while providing real-time response capabilities, thereby enhancing front-door security.
- Unified Platform Benefits: Alarm.com's unified video platform integrates intelligent software, flexible hardware, and professional monitoring, designed to meet real-world security needs, improving the efficiency of video system usage and boosting customer confidence.
See More
Alarm.com (ALRM) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
See More
Software Stocks Surge on Strong Earnings Reports
- Sector Recovery: Strong earnings reports from several software companies have rejuvenated sentiment across the software sector, particularly after Atlassian raised its annual forecast, leading to significant stock price increases for peers like Salesforce and ServiceNow.
- Twilio's Positive Outlook: Twilio reported first-quarter revenue that exceeded expectations and raised its forecast, with the CEO highlighting artificial intelligence as a key catalyst, which further bolstered market confidence in software stocks.
- Market Response: Following a valuation reset, the market is optimistic about the recovery of software stocks, especially as high-growth companies like Datadog and ServiceNow lead the rebound, indicating that enterprise software remains structurally advantageous despite short-term macro turbulence.
- SentinelOne Volatility Analysis: SentinelOne's stock has experienced 19 moves greater than 5% in the past year, and while it has risen 1.1% year-to-date, it still trades 27.2% below its 52-week high, reflecting cautious optimism about its future performance.
See More
Alarm.com Stock Decline and Outlook Analysis
- Weak Performance: Alarm.com reported billings of $260.5 million over the last four quarters with a year-on-year growth of only 7.2%, indicating challenges in customer acquisition and retention due to increasing competition, which negatively impacts market performance.
- Slim Revenue Growth: Wall Street analysts forecast a mere 5% revenue growth for Alarm.com over the next 12 months, a deceleration from the 10.3% annualized growth rate of the past five years, suggesting potential demand headwinds for its products and services, which may undermine investor confidence.
- Improved Profitability: Alarm.com’s GAAP operating margin rose by 1.7 percentage points to 13.2% over the past two years, reflecting enhanced profitability; however, the overall stock performance remains subdued due to intensified market competition.
- Cautious Investment Advice: Despite Alarm.com trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.5 and a current share price of $43.44, analysts express a lack of confidence in its future performance, recommending investors to consider other more attractive stocks to optimize their portfolios.
See More
Alarm.com Enhances Universal Communicator for Legacy Security Upgrades
- Feature Enhancements: Alarm.com's new features for the Universal Communicator include Smart Connector functionality and Verizon LTE support, allowing users to upgrade to modern security systems flexibly without replacing existing panels, thereby improving installation efficiency and user experience.
- Cost Efficiency: These software-driven enhancements enable users to modernize their systems at a lower cost, while service providers can quickly deliver modern security experiences to customers without incurring additional hardware costs, significantly reducing installation time.
- Multi-Location Management: Business customers can manage alarms, video, and access control across multiple sites through Alarm.com's Business platform, streamlining operations and enhancing control over multi-location systems, thereby improving operational efficiency.
- Market Coverage: Alarm.com's systems are professionally installed and monitored across the U.S., Canada, and select international markets, further solidifying its leadership position in the smart security solutions market to meet the growing demand for security.
See More
Middle East Ceasefire Breach Triggers Market Volatility
- Market Volatility Intensifies: Reports of a ceasefire breach in the Middle East have triggered panic selling, causing multiple stocks to decline in morning trading, particularly as traditional SaaS models face threats from AI systems, leading to widespread negative sentiment.
- Short Seller Warning: Short seller Michael Burry hinted on social media that Anthropic is “eating Palantir’s lunch,” which heightened investor concerns about the vulnerability of legacy platforms, resulting in a broad sell-off of related stocks.
- Alarm.com Stock Decline: Alarm.com has seen a 15.7% drop since the beginning of the year, currently trading at $43.21 per share, which is 28.8% below its 52-week high of $60.68, indicating a lack of confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Investor Reaction: The market experienced a “basket-style reaction,” where investors reduced exposure across the entire sector, leading to a nearly 3% decline in the S&P 500 Information Technology Sector, reflecting widespread concerns about the potential impact of AI.
See More
Alarm.com Unveils AI-Driven Video Security Updates
- AI Video Event Search: Alarm.com's newly launched AI Video Event Search feature allows users to quickly locate important video activity using natural language queries, significantly enhancing efficiency in incident investigation and daily operations management, thereby enabling users to obtain necessary information faster.
- Expanded Video Coverage: The introduction of the ADC-V731B Battery Spotlight Camera enables video monitoring in locations without wired power, supporting solar panel options to provide professional-grade video security, thus meeting customer needs for surveillance in various environments.
- Smart Front-Door Security: The ADC-VDB775 Video Doorbell combines high-resolution video with advanced detection features, helping customers identify known visitors and reduce unnecessary notifications while providing real-time response capabilities, thereby enhancing front-door security.
- Unified Platform Benefits: Alarm.com's unified video platform integrates intelligent software, flexible hardware, and professional monitoring, designed to meet real-world security needs, improving the efficiency of video system usage and boosting customer confidence.
See More
