Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and Morgan Stanley's upgrade, here's a concise analysis of TWLO's current situation:

Technical Analysis

• The stock has experienced a significant decline of 22.39% following mixed Q4 results
• Current price at $118.81 shows signs of recovery with +3.94% gain during regular market hours
• RSI-14 at 33.28 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential for a technical bounce
• MACD shows bearish momentum with -4.67 histogram value

Recent Developments

• Morgan Stanley upgraded TWLO to Overweight from Equal-Weight with a price target increase to $160 from $144
• Analyst Meta Marshall expressed confidence in Twilio's execution toward double-digit growth
• The company is expected to achieve management targets (21-22% operating margins) a year ahead of schedule
• The recent selloff is considered "overdone," creating an attractive entry point at 19x 2026 FCF estimates, below peer average of 24.5x

Buy Recommendation The stock appears attractive for purchase at current levels due to:

• Oversold technical conditions
• Positive analyst upgrade
• Improving execution metrics
• Attractive valuation compared to peers
• Strong potential for margin expansion

Based on the provided data and recent market events, here's a price prediction analysis for TWLO stock in 2025:

Recent Market Performance TWLO has shown significant volatility in recent months, with a notable decline of 15% to $125.17 in mid-February 2025 following weaker-than-expected guidance. However, the stock has since recovered and is currently trading at $118.91 during regular market hours on February 24, 2025.

Price Target Analysis The stock is expected to reach $140-145 by end of 2025, representing a ~18-22% upside from current levels, driven by:

1. Improved earnings performance with narrowed losses by 96% in Q4 2024
2. Revenue growth projection of 8-9% for upcoming quarters
3. Strong analyst sentiment with recent price target upgrades, including Baird's upgrade to $160 and JP Morgan's target of $130

Key Drivers Supporting the Prediction

• Consistent success with AI product adoption
• Better than expected Q4 2024 revenue growth of 11% vs guided 7-8%
• Positive GAAP income from operations achievement

The prediction assumes continued execution on AI initiatives and maintaining current growth trajectory. However, market volatility and tech sector sentiment could impact this target.

The S1 support level for TWLO Stock is $113.47 ,The R1 resistant level for TWLO Stock is $140.73.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-28, the price of TWLO Stock was $116.44.

The target price for TWLO Stock according to analyst rating is 147.23, with the highest price target at 185.00 and the lowest at 75.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on TWLO Stock overall.

The market cap of TWLO is $17.9B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of TWLO's valuation:

Technical Analysis

• RSI (14) at 33.28 indicates oversold conditions
• Trading below SMA-20 (138.99) but above SMA-200 (81.12), suggesting short-term weakness but maintaining long-term uptrend
• Bollinger Band Position (BBP) at 0.13 indicates price is near the lower band, suggesting potential oversold conditions

Fundamental Valuation

• Price/Sales (TTM): 3.35x, higher than 2022's 2.34x
• Price/Book: 1.42x, showing moderate valuation compared to historical levels
• No P/E ratio due to negative earnings, indicating profitability challenges

Recent Events & Market Sentiment

• Stock dropped 15% on February 16th after weak Q1 2025 guidance despite improved 2024 earnings
• Q1 2025 EPS guidance of $0.88-0.93 missed analysts' consensus of $0.99
• Revenue growth projected at 8-9% for upcoming quarter, showing moderate growth

Growth & Profitability

• Net losses narrowed by 96% to $12.47M in latest quarter
• Full-year 2024 net loss improved significantly, shrinking 89% to $109M from $1.01B in 2023
• Revenue grew 11% YoY to $1.194B in latest quarter

Based on this analysis, TWLO appears moderately overvalued at current levels due to:

1. Premium valuation multiples despite profitability challenges
2. Weak near-term guidance impacting growth expectations
3. Technical indicators suggesting potential further downside
4. Recent price decline reflecting market's concerns about growth deceleration

Twilio Inc. provides a customer engagement platform comprising communications application programming interfaces. It enables developers to embed numerous forms of messaging, voice, and email interactions into their customer-facing applications, and software products that target specific engagement needs, including its customer data platform, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns and advanced account security solutions. Its platform provides developers tools to build, scale, and deploy real-time communications within software applications. Its APIs and software products include Twilio Flex and Twilio Engage. It operates through two business units: Twilio Communications (Communications) and Twilio Data & Applications. Its communication solutions consist of customizable APIs and products that can be used individually or in combination to build rich contextual communications within applications. Its key communication offerings include Messaging, Voice, Email, Flex and others.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for TWLO's price prediction for 2030:

Current Market Position and Recent Developments

Technical Analysis & Price Trends

• TWLO is currently trading at $118.87, showing significant volatility in recent months
• The stock has experienced a notable decline from its recent high of $125.17
• Current technical indicators show:
  • RSI (14) at 33.28 indicating oversold conditions
  • MACD showing bearish momentum with -4.67 histogram
  • Trading below both 200-day SMA ($81.12) and 250-day SMA ($76.98)

Fundamental Growth Drivers for 2030

• Strong revenue growth potential in cloud communications sector
• Expanding AI integration capabilities
• Improving profitability metrics with narrowed losses by 89% in 2024
• Strategic focus on operational efficiency and margin expansion

2030 Price Target Scenarios

Based on current growth trajectory and market position:

Base Case Price Target: $240 Primary drivers:

• Continued market leadership in CPaaS
• Successful AI product adoption
• Improved operational efficiency
• Market expansion in enterprise communications

The stock is expected to reach approximately $240 by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly 12.4% from current levels. This projection considers both the company's improving fundamentals and market position in the growing cloud communications sector.

TWLO has a total of 5867 employees.