APD Stock Analysis Using Quantitative Methods
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 26 2025
0mins
Should l Buy APD?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Investment Strategy Overview: AIR PRODUCTS AND CHEMICALS INC (APD) is evaluated using Validea's Multi-Factor Investor model, which focuses on low volatility stocks with strong momentum and high net payout yields.
Stock Rating: APD received a rating of 75% based on its fundamentals and valuation, indicating moderate interest from the investment strategy; scores above 80% suggest stronger interest.
Pim van Vliet's Approach: The strategy was developed by Pim van Vliet, who emphasizes that low volatility stocks can outperform high volatility ones with less risk, as outlined in his book "High Returns From Low Risk."
Validea's Research Service: Validea provides investment research based on strategies from renowned investors like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham, aiming to identify stocks that have historically outperformed the market.
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Analyst Views on APD
Wall Street analysts forecast APD stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APD is 283.00 USD with a low forecast of 245.00 USD and a high forecast of 345.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 283.500
Low
245.00
Averages
283.00
High
345.00
Current: 283.500
Low
245.00
Averages
283.00
High
345.00
About APD
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. is an industrial gases company. The Company is focused on serving energy, environmental, and emerging markets. Its base business provides essential industrial gases, related equipment and applications expertise to customers in dozens of industries, including refining, chemicals, metals, electronics, manufacturing, and food. The Company also develops, engineers, builds, owns and operates clean hydrogen projects supporting the transition to low- and zero-carbon energy in the heavy-duty transportation and industrial sectors. In addition, the Company provides turbomachinery, membrane systems and cryogenic containers globally. The Company has operations in approximately 50 countries. Its industries include aerospace, analytical labs & research/science, automotive, beverages, bioenergy, biotechnology, cement and lime, chemicals, electronics, food, glass and frit, hydrogen energy, medical, metals and materials processing, metals production, medical and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Adjusted EPS Increase: The adjusted EPS reached $3.16, up 10% year-over-year, exceeding the top end of company guidance and the analyst estimate of $3.04, reflecting enhanced profitability and operational efficiency.
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See More
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- Producer Prices Rise: The US December Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.5% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, both exceeding market expectations, indicating heightened inflationary pressures that could influence the Fed's policy decisions moving forward.
- Mining Stocks Plummet: Mining stocks faced significant sell-offs as gold and silver prices dropped sharply, with Coeur Mining and Hecla Mining declining over 17% and 15%, respectively, reflecting a pessimistic outlook on precious metals amid rising dollar strength.
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- Project Optimization Strategy: The CEO emphasized a continued focus on the core industrial gas business, implementing project cancellations, headcount optimization, and asset rationalization to enhance performance, which is expected to drive future earnings growth.
- Sustained Shareholder Returns: The company announced a dividend increase, marking the 44th consecutive year of raising dividends, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns while returning nearly $400 million in cash to shareholders in the quarter.
- Stable Outlook: Despite ongoing helium demand pressures, management maintained its fiscal year EPS guidance of $12.85 to $13.15, anticipating growth primarily through pricing actions and productivity improvements.
See More
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- Fed Chair Nomination: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, with markets perceiving him as cautious towards rate cuts, which pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to a one-week high of 4.277%, exacerbating downward pressure on stocks.
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See More
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- Fed Chair Nomination Impact: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, with markets perceiving him as more hawkish, leading to a rise in the 10-year T-note yield to a one-week high of 4.277%, further exacerbating downward pressure on stocks.
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