Putting the Pieces Together: PSI May Have a Value of $69
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 20 2025
0mins
Should l Buy NVMI?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) has an implied analyst target price of $68.78, indicating a potential upside of 13.83% from its current trading price of $60.42.
Key Holdings: Notable underlying holdings with significant upside include Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM), Camtek Ltd (CAMT), and Nova Ltd (NVMI), which have target prices substantially higher than their recent trading prices.
Performance Insights: TSEM's average target is $63.26 (25.72% upside), CAMT's is $99.10 (18.88% upside), and NVMI's is $284.17 (13.95% upside), collectively representing 8.93% of the PSI ETF.
Analyst Justification: Questions arise regarding whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting the need for further investor research into company and industry developments.
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Analyst Views on NVMI
Wall Street analysts forecast NVMI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVMI is 355.25 USD with a low forecast of 335.00 USD and a high forecast of 390.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 475.830
Low
335.00
Averages
355.25
High
390.00
Current: 475.830
Low
335.00
Averages
355.25
High
390.00
About NVMI
Nova Ltd, former Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd,is an Israel based company which provides metrology solutions for the semiconductor manufacturing industry. The Company offers in-line Optical and x-ray stand-alone metrology systems, as well as integrated optical metrology systems, which are attached directly to wafer fabrication process equipment. Its metrology systems measure various film thickness and composition properties, as well as critical-dimension (CD) variables during various front-end and back-end of line steps in the semiconductor wafer fabrication process. Its product portfolio includes a set of in-situ, integrated and stand-alone metrology platforms suited for dimensional, films and material metrology measurements for process control across multiple semiconductor manufacturing process steps. Its products include NovaScan 2040, NovaScan 3090Next, Nova i500, Nova T500, Nova T600, Nova V2600 TSV metrology system among others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $220.83 million, representing a 13.4% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's steady sales growth amid strong market demand.
- Consistent Outperformance: Over the past two years, Nova has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, demonstrating financial consistency and reliability, which enhances investor confidence.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Nova Measuring Instruments is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 12 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $2.12, reflecting a 9.3% year-over-year growth, indicating sustained profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $220.83 million, representing a 13.4% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's steady sales growth amid strong market demand.
- Consistent Outperformance: Over the past two years, Nova has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, demonstrating financial consistency and reliability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Forecast Revision Trends: In the last three months, both EPS and revenue estimates have seen one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially driving stock price increases.
See More
Nova Measuring Instruments Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Surprise: Nova Measuring Instruments reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.14, beating expectations by $0.02, which reflects the company's strong performance in the market and boosts investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $222.6 million in Q4, representing a 14.3% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $1.77 million, indicating sustained demand for its products and further solidifying its market position.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management provided a revenue forecast for Q1 2026, estimating between $222 million and $232 million, slightly below the consensus of $223.55 million, yet still demonstrating stable growth potential and reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Earnings Guidance: The expected diluted GAAP EPS for Q1 2026 is projected to be between $1.90 and $2.02, while the non-GAAP EPS is anticipated to range from $2.13 to $2.25, showcasing the company's ongoing enhancement in profitability.
See More
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- Record Net Income: The company reported a GAAP net income of $259.2 million for 2025, with earnings per share of $7.96, significantly up from $183.7 million and $5.75 in 2024, reflecting ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Stable Gross Margin: The gross margin for 2025 was 57.4%, slightly down from 57.6% in 2024, yet indicating robust cost control and operational efficiency, ensuring sustainable profitability.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management anticipates continued growth in Q1 2026, projecting GAAP net income per share between $1.90 and $2.02, highlighting confidence in future market opportunities and the effectiveness of strategic positioning.
See More
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- Strong Quarterly Performance: In Q4 2025, Nova achieved revenue of $222.6 million, a 14% year-over-year increase, with net income of $64.7 million, reflecting a 23% growth compared to the same quarter last year, indicating robust demand and profitability in the semiconductor market.
- Record Annual Revenue: For the full year 2025, Nova reported a record revenue of $880.6 million, up 31% year-over-year, with net income reaching $259.2 million, a 38% increase from 2024, showcasing significant market share gains in optical, materials, and chemical metrology products.
- Improving Gross Margin: The gross margin for Q4 2025 was 57.6%, up from 56.7% in Q3, demonstrating positive progress in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances future profitability prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expects Q1 2026 revenue to be between $222 million and $232 million, with diluted GAAP EPS projected at $1.90 to $2.02, reflecting confidence in future market demand and continued growth potential.
See More
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- Market Impact: The sale resulted in a $326.68 million decline in the value of its KBWB position, reflecting negative market movements and raising concerns about the future profitability of the banking sector amid changing interest rates.
- Strategic Shift: While reducing its KBWB holdings, Harel Insurance increased investments in healthcare (TEVA and XLV) and technology (GOOGL, NVMI, and SMH), suggesting a strategic pivot towards sectors expected to benefit from improving economic conditions and rising corporate spending on AI.
- ETF Performance Overview: As of February 2, 2026, KBWB was priced at $87.64, up 26.2% over the past year; however, in a declining interest rate environment, the potential for modest gains in bank ETFs like KBWB may necessitate cautious investor evaluation of future market performance.
See More
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- Share Sale Scale: Harel Insurance disclosed in its SEC filing on February 3, 2026, that it sold 4,177,000 shares of the Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB), with an estimated transaction value of approximately $330 million, reflecting its sensitivity to market dynamics.
- Asset Management Changes: This transaction resulted in a decline of $326.68 million in Harel's quarter-end position value, indicating a 2.9% negative impact on its assets under management (AUM), suggesting a need for reevaluation of its investment strategy.
- Portfolio Adjustment Strategy: Following the sale of KBWB shares, Harel holds only 620 shares valued at about $52,000, indicating a potential shift towards increasing investments in healthcare and technology sectors to navigate economic uncertainties.
- Market Environment Impact: With two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, investors are cautious about the future performance of bank ETFs like KBWB, anticipating that lower interest rates will pressure banks' net interest margins and profits, potentially leading to slower growth in ETF returns.
See More
