Should I Buy NVMI? NVMI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Nova Ltd (NVMI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

497.630

1 Day change

2.14%

52 Week Range

507.270

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Nova Ltd (NVMI) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock shows strong financial growth, bullish technical indicators, and positive analyst sentiment, making it a solid choice for long-term investment.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bullish trend with MACD above 0 and positively contracting, RSI indicating overbought conditions at 88.798, and moving averages showing a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at 465.699 and 487.999, with support at 393.509 and 371.209.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Strong financial performance in Q3 2025 with 25.50% YoY revenue growth and 19.78% YoY net income growth.
Upgraded analyst ratings with a price target of $500 and positive commentary on industry conditions.
Bullish technical indicators and a projected 6.73% price increase in the next month.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting potential short-term pullback.
No recent news or congress trading data to provide additional sentiment support.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, Nova Ltd reported a 25.50% YoY increase in revenue to $224.61M, a 19.78% YoY increase in net income to $61.42M, and an 18.87% YoY increase in EPS to $1.89. Gross margin also improved slightly to 56.73%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Needham upgraded the stock to Buy with a $500 price target, citing improving industry conditions and Nova's unique position in the China memory WFE market. Benchmark also raised its price target to $345, highlighting record memory sales and projected 12% YoY EPS growth for 2026.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NVMI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVMI is 355.25 USD with a low forecast of 335 USD and a high forecast of 390 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 487.180

Low

335

Averages

355.25

High

390

Current: 487.180

Low

335

Averages

355.25

High

390

Needham

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$500

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

Reason

Needham

Price Target

$500

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Needham upgraded Nova to Buy from Hold with a $500 price target. Improving industry conditions are expected to benefit the broader semicap group, including Nova, and its outperformance relative to peers may further widen this year due to its unique participation in China memory WFE upside, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Commentary from the Needham Growth Conference highlighted widespread demand improvement over the past 90 days, reinforcing a broadly bullish outlook across the sector.

Benchmark

NULL -> Buy

upgrade

$280 -> $345

2025-11-07

Reason

Benchmark

Price Target

$280 -> $345

2025-11-07

upgrade

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Benchmark raised the firm's price target on Nova to $345 from $280 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company posted upside for Q3 with record memory sales driven by DRAM and HBM. For 2026, the firm projects non-GAAP EPS growing 12% year-over-year to $9.76 on sales of $932M, the analyst noted.

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NVMI Should I Buy

NVMI Should I Buy

Should You Buy Nova Ltd (NVMI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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