Oversold Energy Stocks: Delek, Expand, XCF Present Buying Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 16 2026
0mins
Should l Buy DK?
Source: Benzinga
- Delek US Holdings: JP Morgan analyst lowered the price target for Delek US from $42 to $38, resulting in a 9% decline in stock price over the past month, with an RSI of 29.9 indicating oversold conditions that may present a buying opportunity for investors.
- Expand Energy Corp: UBS analyst maintained a Buy rating on Expand Energy but reduced the price target from $154 to $150, with the stock falling approximately 7% in the last month and an RSI of 28.7, suggesting it is also in oversold territory, attracting investor interest.
- XCF Global Inc: XCF Global filed for an offering of up to 187.18 million shares of Class A common stock, with the stock plummeting around 65% over the past month and an RSI of 21.4 indicating extreme oversold conditions, potentially appealing to risk-tolerant investors.
- Market Trend Analysis: According to Benzinga Pro data, oversold stocks are often viewed as investment opportunities, and these companies in the energy sector may rebound in the short term, warranting close attention from investors.
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Analyst Views on DK
Wall Street analysts forecast DK stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 45.910
Low
33.00
Averages
41.00
High
53.00
Current: 45.910
Low
33.00
Averages
41.00
High
53.00
About DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc. is a diversified downstream energy company with assets in petroleum refining, logistics, pipelines, and renewable fuels. The Company's segments include Refining and Logistics. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstocks for the manufacture of transportation motor fuels, including various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel and aviation fuel, asphalt and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminals. The Refining segment also owns three biodiesel facilities, located in Crossett, Arkansas, Cleburne, Texas and New Albany, Mississippi. The Logistics segment is engaged in gathering, transporting and storing crude oil and natural gas, marketing, distributing, transporting and storing intermediate and refined products and disposing and recycling water in select regions of the southeastern United States and North Dakota, the Midland Basin in Texas, the Delaware Basin in New Mexico and West Texas.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Transaction Overview: Zohar Shlomo, Director at Delek US Holdings, sold 7,343 shares of common stock on March 19, 2026, for approximately $338,000, reducing his direct holdings to 6,646 shares, which represents a 52.49% decrease, indicating a strategic response to market volatility.
- Trade Context Analysis: The transaction was executed under a Rule 10b5-1 plan, suggesting that the timing was predetermined, which limits investor interpretation of the sale as a reaction to market conditions; however, trimming such a significant position after an 180% stock surge may indicate risk management.
- Company Financial Status: Delek US Holdings reported a trailing twelve-month revenue of $10.72 billion and a net loss of $22.80 million, with a dividend yield of 2%, reflecting a degree of financial stability amid energy market fluctuations.
- Market Performance and Outlook: Despite recent market volatility, Delek's vertically integrated business model provides flexibility across refining, logistics, and retail, allowing it to capture margins during fuel demand cycles, with future profitability supported by favorable crack spreads and disciplined capital allocation.
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- Sale Details: Zohar Shlomo, a director at Delek US Holdings, sold 7,343 shares of common stock for approximately $338,000 on March 19, 2026, with a reported price of $46.00 per share, leaving him with 6,646 shares post-transaction.
- Transaction Context: The sale was executed under a Rule 10b5-1 plan, indicating that the timing was likely predetermined, which limits the interpretation of this sale as a reaction to the stock's recent 180% surge, suggesting it is more about portfolio management.
- Company Overview: Delek is an integrated downstream energy company with operations in refining, logistics, and retail, leveraging strategically located refineries and extensive pipeline assets to supply transportation fuels across the southern U.S., showcasing a strong competitive position.
- Market Performance and Outlook: Despite volatility in broader energy markets, Delek's profitability has benefited from favorable crack spreads and disciplined capital allocation, with its vertically integrated model providing flexibility to capture margins across the value chain, indicating potential for sustained performance amid fuel demand cycles.
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- Stock Surge: Delek US (DK) shares rose by 8.6% today to $45.91, driven by rising oil prices and a Bank of America analyst raising the price target from $28 to $40, although the analyst maintains an underweight rating, indicating market caution.
- 2026 Performance: The stock has surged nearly 55% so far in 2026, closely linked to a significant increase in refining crack spreads, particularly following the onset of hostilities in the Persian Gulf, which has widened the gap between crude oil costs and refined product prices.
- Supply Chain Impact: The conflict in the Persian Gulf has led to the near closure of the Strait of Hormuz, creating supply issues for global refiners; however, Delek US benefits from sourcing crude oil from the Permian Basin and East Texas, ensuring raw material supply for its four refineries.
- Geopolitical Risk Hedge: While a resolution to the conflict could lead to a significant decline in crack spreads, Delek US remains a strong hedge against geopolitical risks in the current environment, especially as persistently high oil prices may lead to demand destruction for transportation fuels.
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- Stock Price Surge: Delek US (NYSE: DK) shares rose by 8.6% today, driven by rising oil prices and a BofA analyst raising the price target from $28 to $40, although the analyst maintained an underweight rating, indicating a cautious market outlook.
- Refining Profit Boost: The significant increase in refining crack spreads has led to a nearly 55% rise in Delek US's stock price so far in 2026, reflecting the widening gap between crude oil costs and refined product prices, which enhances profitability.
- Geopolitical Risk Hedge: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to ongoing Gulf conflicts has created supply issues for global refiners, but Delek US's reliance on crude from the Permian Basin and East Texas ensures a steady supply for its four refineries, effectively hedging against geopolitical risks.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: While the current crack spread benefits Delek US, a resolution to the conflict could lead to Gulf energy and refined products re-entering the market, potentially causing a significant decline in crack spreads, and persistently high oil prices may lead to demand destruction for transportation fuels, posing challenges for the company's future performance.
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- ETF Performance: The ARK Fintech Innovation ETF is down approximately 4.6% in Tuesday afternoon trading, indicating a weak performance that reflects diminishing investor confidence in the sector.
- Component Stock Declines: Within the ETF, Circle Internet Group shares fell by about 21.7%, while Coinbase Global shares dropped by approximately 10.9%, with these declines dragging down the overall ETF returns and suggesting cautious market sentiment towards these companies' prospects.
- Market Reaction: As the fintech sector faces challenges, investors may reassess their investment strategies regarding related ETFs, potentially impacting future capital inflows and market dynamics.
- Investor Confidence: The poor performance of ARKF could lead to a decline in investor confidence in the fintech sector, which may affect the fundraising capabilities and market valuations of related companies, potentially having negative implications for the industry's long-term development.
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- Sector Performance: The oil and gas refining and marketing sector rose approximately 3.4%, indicating a renewed market confidence likely driven by rising oil prices and recovering demand.
- Delek US Holdings: Delek US Holdings saw its stock price increase by about 8.2%, leading the sector, reflecting investor optimism regarding its future profitability, potentially linked to recent business expansions and market strategies.
- Par Pacific Holdings: Par Pacific Holdings' stock rose approximately 7%, showcasing market recognition of its operational efficiency and profitability, likely benefiting from the overall industry recovery and internal optimization measures.
- Market Trend Analysis: As oil and gas demand rebounds, investor interest in the refining and marketing sector is increasing, suggesting that this industry may continue to receive support from capital inflows in the coming months.
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