Oversold Energy Stocks: Delek, Expand, XCF Present Buying Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 16 2026
0mins
Source: Benzinga
- Delek US Holdings: JP Morgan analyst lowered the price target for Delek US from $42 to $38, resulting in a 9% decline in stock price over the past month, with an RSI of 29.9 indicating oversold conditions that may present a buying opportunity for investors.
- Expand Energy Corp: UBS analyst maintained a Buy rating on Expand Energy but reduced the price target from $154 to $150, with the stock falling approximately 7% in the last month and an RSI of 28.7, suggesting it is also in oversold territory, attracting investor interest.
- XCF Global Inc: XCF Global filed for an offering of up to 187.18 million shares of Class A common stock, with the stock plummeting around 65% over the past month and an RSI of 21.4 indicating extreme oversold conditions, potentially appealing to risk-tolerant investors.
- Market Trend Analysis: According to Benzinga Pro data, oversold stocks are often viewed as investment opportunities, and these companies in the energy sector may rebound in the short term, warranting close attention from investors.
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Analyst Views on DK
Wall Street analysts forecast DK stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 43.180
Low
33.00
Averages
41.00
High
53.00
Current: 43.180
Low
33.00
Averages
41.00
High
53.00
About DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc. is a diversified downstream energy company with assets in petroleum refining, logistics, pipelines, and renewable fuels. The Company's segments include Refining and Logistics. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstocks for the manufacture of transportation motor fuels, including various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel and aviation fuel, asphalt and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminals. The Refining segment also owns three biodiesel facilities, located in Crossett, Arkansas, Cleburne, Texas and New Albany, Mississippi. The Logistics segment is engaged in gathering, transporting and storing crude oil and natural gas, marketing, distributing, transporting and storing intermediate and refined products and disposing and recycling water in select regions of the southeastern United States and North Dakota, the Midland Basin in Texas, the Delaware Basin in New Mexico and West Texas.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Delek US Holdings Reports Fourth Quarter Profit Turnaround
- Revenue Growth: Delek US Holdings reported fourth quarter 2025 revenue of nearly $2.43 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year, indicating a recovery in the market despite analysts' expectations of $2.55 billion.
- Surprise Profit: The company posted a non-GAAP net profit of $143 million ($2.31 per share), a significant turnaround from a loss of nearly $161 million in Q4 2024, reflecting a strong recovery in profitability.
- Refining Segment Performance: Delek's refining segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $314 million, a substantial improvement from a loss of nearly $69 million a year ago, primarily driven by an increase in refining margins.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, Delek's stock surged nearly 5%, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's financial recovery, although analysts remain cautious about sustained growth moving forward.
See More
Delek US Holdings Reports Strong Q4 Earnings Recovery
- Revenue Growth: Delek US Holdings reported nearly $2.43 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, marking a 2% increase from the previous year, indicating robust performance and growth potential in the market.
- Profit Reversal: The company achieved a net profit of $143 million ($2.31 per share) in Q4, a significant turnaround from a loss of nearly $161 million in Q4 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency and financial health.
- Refining Segment Performance: Delek's refining segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $314 million this quarter, a substantial recovery from a loss of $69 million a year ago, primarily driven by an increase in refining margins, showcasing the segment's strong rebound.
- Market Expectations and Analysis: Although analysts had projected Delek's revenue at $2.55 billion with an expected adjusted net loss of $0.07 per share, the strong actual results may prompt a reassessment of the company's future performance in the market.
See More
Delek US Holdings, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Strong Financial Performance: Delek reported an adjusted EPS of $0.44 and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $226 million for Q4 2025, indicating significant improvements in free cash flow that are expected to drive future investments and shareholder returns.
- Enhanced Enterprise Optimization Plan: Management raised the enterprise optimization plan target to at least $200 million annually, estimating a $50 million contribution to Q4 2025 P&L, which will further enhance the company's financial flexibility and operational efficiency.
- Record Performance at DKL: DKL achieved approximately $536 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and set 2026 EBITDA guidance in the range of $520 million to $560 million, indicating strong growth potential in third-party EBITDA.
- Positive Future Outlook: Management expects DKL's third-party EBITDA to exceed 80% in 2026 and provided throughput guidance for Q1, demonstrating confidence in ongoing operational optimization and market share enhancement.
See More
Delek US Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations with Strong EPS
- Earnings Beat: Delek US reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.31, surpassing expectations by $2.50, indicating strong profitability that may boost investor confidence.
- Revenue Miss: The company generated $2.43 billion in revenue for Q4, a 2.5% year-over-year increase, yet fell short of expectations by $120 million, reflecting intensified market competition and cost pressures.
- Positive Guidance: Delek US initiated adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 in the range of $520 million to $560 million, demonstrating management's confidence in future performance, which could attract more investor interest.
- Market Upside Potential: The overall business performance and future growth potential of Delek US are seen as having substantial upside, potentially driving stock price increases and enhancing market recognition of its long-term investment value.
See More
Delek US Highlights Q4 2025 Financial Results
- Financial Recovery: Delek US reported a net income of $78.3 million for Q4 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of $413.8 million in the same quarter last year, indicating substantial improvements in cash flow management and cost control, which is expected to boost investor confidence and drive stock price appreciation.
- Refining Segment Growth: The refining segment's adjusted EBITDA reached $314.1 million, rebounding from a negative $68.7 million year-over-year, primarily driven by increased crack spreads and the implementation of small refinery exemptions, which is anticipated to enhance market competitiveness further.
- Strong Logistics Performance: The logistics segment reported adjusted EBITDA of $141.9 million, up from $114.3 million in the prior year, reflecting contributions from the H2O Midstream acquisition and increased wholesale margins, showcasing the company's ongoing expansion and profitability in the midstream market.
- Shareholder Dividend Policy: The Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share, payable on March 9, 2026, indicating the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders while improving its financial position, thereby enhancing market recognition of its long-term value.
See More
Delek US Holdings to Report Q4 Earnings with Expected Loss
- Earnings Release Announcement: Delek US Holdings is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 27, with analysts forecasting a loss of $0.19 per share, a significant drop from a profit of $2.54 per share in the same period last year, indicating financial challenges ahead for the company.
- Revenue Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, Delek is expected to report quarterly revenue of $2.55 billion, an increase from $2.37 billion last year, demonstrating some resilience in revenue generation despite the anticipated decline in profitability.
- Dividend Declaration: Prior to the earnings report, Delek announced a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share on February 18, indicating the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders, although the loss forecast may impact investor confidence.
- Stock Price Movement: Delek's shares rose by 8.5% to close at $36.38 on Thursday, reflecting a positive market reaction to the upcoming earnings report and dividend announcement, suggesting that investors remain optimistic about the company's future despite the poor financial outlook.
See More
Delek US Holdings Reports Fourth Quarter Profit Turnaround
- Revenue Growth: Delek US Holdings reported fourth quarter 2025 revenue of nearly $2.43 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year, indicating a recovery in the market despite analysts' expectations of $2.55 billion.
- Surprise Profit: The company posted a non-GAAP net profit of $143 million ($2.31 per share), a significant turnaround from a loss of nearly $161 million in Q4 2024, reflecting a strong recovery in profitability.
- Refining Segment Performance: Delek's refining segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $314 million, a substantial improvement from a loss of nearly $69 million a year ago, primarily driven by an increase in refining margins.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, Delek's stock surged nearly 5%, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's financial recovery, although analysts remain cautious about sustained growth moving forward.
See More
Delek US Holdings Reports Strong Q4 Earnings Recovery
- Revenue Growth: Delek US Holdings reported nearly $2.43 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, marking a 2% increase from the previous year, indicating robust performance and growth potential in the market.
- Profit Reversal: The company achieved a net profit of $143 million ($2.31 per share) in Q4, a significant turnaround from a loss of nearly $161 million in Q4 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency and financial health.
- Refining Segment Performance: Delek's refining segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $314 million this quarter, a substantial recovery from a loss of $69 million a year ago, primarily driven by an increase in refining margins, showcasing the segment's strong rebound.
- Market Expectations and Analysis: Although analysts had projected Delek's revenue at $2.55 billion with an expected adjusted net loss of $0.07 per share, the strong actual results may prompt a reassessment of the company's future performance in the market.
See More
Delek US Holdings, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Strong Financial Performance: Delek reported an adjusted EPS of $0.44 and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $226 million for Q4 2025, indicating significant improvements in free cash flow that are expected to drive future investments and shareholder returns.
- Enhanced Enterprise Optimization Plan: Management raised the enterprise optimization plan target to at least $200 million annually, estimating a $50 million contribution to Q4 2025 P&L, which will further enhance the company's financial flexibility and operational efficiency.
- Record Performance at DKL: DKL achieved approximately $536 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and set 2026 EBITDA guidance in the range of $520 million to $560 million, indicating strong growth potential in third-party EBITDA.
- Positive Future Outlook: Management expects DKL's third-party EBITDA to exceed 80% in 2026 and provided throughput guidance for Q1, demonstrating confidence in ongoing operational optimization and market share enhancement.
See More
Delek US Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations with Strong EPS
- Earnings Beat: Delek US reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.31, surpassing expectations by $2.50, indicating strong profitability that may boost investor confidence.
- Revenue Miss: The company generated $2.43 billion in revenue for Q4, a 2.5% year-over-year increase, yet fell short of expectations by $120 million, reflecting intensified market competition and cost pressures.
- Positive Guidance: Delek US initiated adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 in the range of $520 million to $560 million, demonstrating management's confidence in future performance, which could attract more investor interest.
- Market Upside Potential: The overall business performance and future growth potential of Delek US are seen as having substantial upside, potentially driving stock price increases and enhancing market recognition of its long-term investment value.
See More
Delek US Highlights Q4 2025 Financial Results
- Financial Recovery: Delek US reported a net income of $78.3 million for Q4 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of $413.8 million in the same quarter last year, indicating substantial improvements in cash flow management and cost control, which is expected to boost investor confidence and drive stock price appreciation.
- Refining Segment Growth: The refining segment's adjusted EBITDA reached $314.1 million, rebounding from a negative $68.7 million year-over-year, primarily driven by increased crack spreads and the implementation of small refinery exemptions, which is anticipated to enhance market competitiveness further.
- Strong Logistics Performance: The logistics segment reported adjusted EBITDA of $141.9 million, up from $114.3 million in the prior year, reflecting contributions from the H2O Midstream acquisition and increased wholesale margins, showcasing the company's ongoing expansion and profitability in the midstream market.
- Shareholder Dividend Policy: The Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share, payable on March 9, 2026, indicating the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders while improving its financial position, thereby enhancing market recognition of its long-term value.
See More
Delek US Holdings to Report Q4 Earnings with Expected Loss
- Earnings Release Announcement: Delek US Holdings is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 27, with analysts forecasting a loss of $0.19 per share, a significant drop from a profit of $2.54 per share in the same period last year, indicating financial challenges ahead for the company.
- Revenue Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, Delek is expected to report quarterly revenue of $2.55 billion, an increase from $2.37 billion last year, demonstrating some resilience in revenue generation despite the anticipated decline in profitability.
- Dividend Declaration: Prior to the earnings report, Delek announced a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share on February 18, indicating the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders, although the loss forecast may impact investor confidence.
- Stock Price Movement: Delek's shares rose by 8.5% to close at $36.38 on Thursday, reflecting a positive market reaction to the upcoming earnings report and dividend announcement, suggesting that investors remain optimistic about the company's future despite the poor financial outlook.
See More
