Oracle Reports $638 Billion Backlog, Stock Drops Despite Strong Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 11 2026
0mins
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Significant Revenue Growth: Oracle's fiscal Q4 2026 revenue rose 21% year-over-year to $19.2 billion, reflecting strong performance in cloud computing and databases, yet shares fell 7% in after-hours trading.
- Record Backlog: The company's backlog of contracted future revenue reached a record $638 billion, up from $138 billion a year earlier, with expectations to recognize 12% of this backlog as revenue in the next 12 months, indicating robust market demand.
- Surging Capital Expenditures: Oracle's capital expenditures totaled $55.7 billion in fiscal 2026, more than 2.5 times the previous year, and despite a 54% increase in operating cash flow to $32 billion, free cash flow was negative $23.7 billion, highlighting the pressure from high spending.
- Customer Contracts Support: The company noted that prepaid and customer-supplied hardware portions now total $75 billion, significantly reducing the capital Oracle needs to raise for AI data center construction, although the risk of fulfilling large contracts remains a concern that could impact future revenue realization.
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Analyst Views on ORCL
Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 183.530
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
Current: 183.530
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
About ORCL
Oracle Corporation offers integrated suites of applications plus secure, autonomous infrastructure in the Oracle Cloud. The Company operates through three businesses: cloud and license, hardware and service. Its cloud and license business is engaged in the sale, marketing and delivery of its enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including its cloud services and license support offerings, and its cloud license and on-premise license offerings. Its hardware business provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware-related software to support diverse IT environments. Its services business provides services to customers and partners to help maximize the performance of their investments in Oracle applications and infrastructure technologies.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Amazon's Debt Strategy: Having borrowed over $80 billion since early 2025 across various currencies, Amazon's actions indicate its intent to expand in the AI sector, while also showcasing the profitability of its robust cloud business.
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See More
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- Successful Bond Sale: Nvidia's $25 billion bond issuance this month attracted over $85 billion in orders, reflecting strong market confidence in its financial health, with demand exceeding supply by three times, prompting the company to increase the offering from an initial $20 billion target.
- Strong Profitability: Nvidia reported nearly $43 billion in net income for its fiscal fourth quarter ending January 25, 2026, significantly surpassing the total amount raised through the bond sale, indicating robust profitability and cash flow that can support future investments in the rapidly growing AI market.
- Market Financing Surge: As AI infrastructure spending surges, companies like Amazon and Oracle are also actively raising funds, with Amazon borrowing over $80 billion since early 2025, showcasing the intent and confidence of major tech firms in investing in AI opportunities.
- SpaceX Financing Risks: Although SpaceX plans to issue at least $20 billion in bonds, it reported a nearly $5 billion loss in 2025 and a $4.28 billion loss in Q1 2026, highlighting investment risks in AI, especially given its current lack of profitability and the need for careful financial management.
See More
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- Financing Trend: Amid the AI infrastructure spending surge, Nvidia's recent $25 billion bond issuance exceeded its initial target, reflecting strong market demand with orders surpassing $85 billion, indicating investor confidence in its future growth.
- Borrowing Scale: Oracle plans to raise up to $50 billion in fiscal 2026, despite negative free cash flow, its profitability supports this financing strategy, showcasing its strategic positioning in the AI sector.
- SpaceX's Challenges: SpaceX is preparing to issue at least $20 billion in bonds, despite a nearly $5 billion loss in 2025, suggesting that this financing is primarily for refinancing existing loans rather than funding new growth, highlighting its financial vulnerability.
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See More
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- Increased Debt Financing Demand: With tech giants like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta projected to invest $750 billion in AI infrastructure by 2026, the demand for debt financing has surged, particularly as rising interest rates increase borrowing costs, impacting the present value of future cash flows.
- Cash Flow Strain: An anticipated capital expenditure of up to $920 billion poses a risk of negative free cash flow for many tech companies, with Amazon expected to report negative cash flow, indicating that these firms are facing challenges similar to traditional capital-intensive industries.
- Heightened Rate Impact: Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's indication of a potential rate hike in 2026 has triggered equity sell-offs and rising rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield nearing 4.45%, placing greater pressure on tech companies that rely on future profits, especially smaller firms.
- Shifting Market Reactions: Investors are beginning to pay attention to interest rates and inflation data, requiring tech investors to adapt to a new market environment, where debt financing has become a critical strategy for expansion in the high-risk AI investment sector, despite facing higher borrowing costs.
See More
Tech Giants Face Rising Debt Amid Cash Flow Strains
- Rising Debt Burden: Tech giants are significantly increasing debt for data center expansions, with a potential rate hike in 2026 leading to equity sell-offs and higher borrowing costs, intensifying pressure on smaller tech firms.
- Surge in Capital Expenditure: Goldman Sachs projects capital expenditures to approach $920 billion in 2023, with capital spending as a percentage of cash flow at its highest since the dot-com era, indicating a sharp rise in funding needs for tech companies.
- Cash Flow Volatility: Amazon is expected to report negative free cash flow this year, highlighting the challenges faced by tech firms in capital-intensive sectors, prompting investors to monitor access to debt and equity markets for financing.
- Individual Company Risk Assessment: Despite sector-wide pressures, Nvidia's free cash flow surged to $48.5 billion in the latest quarter, showcasing its strong cash reserves that provide financing flexibility and alleviate concerns over debt risks.
See More
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- GitLab Growth Momentum: GitLab reported approximately $955.2 million in revenue for FY 2026, reflecting a 25.8% year-over-year growth despite a net loss of $56 million, indicating strong market demand for its development tools and enhancing its competitive position in the software development sector.
- Oracle Financial Stability: Oracle's revenue for FY 2026 reached nearly $67.4 billion, up 17.4% from the previous year, with a net income of approximately $17.1 billion and a net margin of 25.4%, showcasing its robust profitability in cloud services and AI infrastructure, thereby solidifying its market leadership.
- Risks and Challenges: GitLab faces risks related to its history of net losses and difficulties in revenue forecasting under a usage-based billing model, alongside intense competition from established players like Microsoft and Atlassian, which could impact its market share and investor confidence.
- Valuation Discrepancy: GitLab's forward P/E ratio stands at 32.7x, significantly higher than Oracle's 23.3x, suggesting that while GitLab's growth potential attracts investors, Oracle's stable profitability and lower valuation multiples make it more appealing among investors.
See More
