Oppenheimer: Wall Street Fails to Recognize IBM's Transition Value
Investment Outlook: Oppenheimer has initiated coverage of IBM with an outperform rating and a price target of $360, suggesting a 24% upside due to anticipated growth in its software portfolio.
Software Growth: Analyst Param Singh forecasts a 10% compound annual growth rate for IBM's software segment over the next two years, driven by strengths in automation and Red Hat.
Consulting Revenue Recovery: IBM's consulting revenue showed positive growth in Q3 2025, with expectations for low single-digit growth moving forward, as organizations leverage AI infrastructure.
Margin Expansion: Singh believes that IBM's transition to a software-centric model will lead to higher gross and pre-tax margins, justifying a re-rating of the stock to align with industry averages.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on IBM
About IBM
About the author

- Global RFP Announcement: IBM has launched a global request for proposals aimed at leveraging AI technology to support education and workforce development, inviting nonprofits and government organizations to collaborate in addressing the learning-employment gap, which is expected to enhance economic resilience.
- Skills Shortage Challenge: Research from the IBM Institute for Business Value indicates that 67% of executives believe job roles are becoming increasingly short-lived, with 57% anticipating that most current employee skills will be obsolete by 2030, a trend that forces workers to upskill rapidly, impacting labor market stability.
- Economic Loss Estimate: Pearson estimates that slow transitions between education and work cost the U.S. economy approximately $1.1 trillion annually, highlighting the urgency and necessity for educational institutions to adapt to market demands.
- Technology Support Program: The new cohort of the IBM Impact Accelerator will provide selected organizations with a two-year technology and implementation grant, including access to IBM's AI technologies and cloud services, aimed at fostering innovative solutions that effectively connect education to employment.
- Market Potential: Research from McKinsey indicates that the quantum technology market could reach nearly $100 billion annually over the next decade, with quantum computing being the largest segment, highlighting significant investment appeal.
- Microsoft's Quantum Strategy: Microsoft's development of a quantum processing chip aims to scale quantum computer systems to 1 million qubits, far exceeding the current maximum of over 6,000 qubits, which could unlock new capabilities for its cloud and AI businesses.
- IBM's Quantum Development: IBM is a leading player in quantum computing, having generated over $1 billion from this sector, despite it being a minor part of its overall business, showcasing its commercial potential in the field.
- Investment Opportunities: Given IonQ's high valuation and limited success, investors should consider Microsoft and IBM as strong contenders in the quantum computing space, potentially benefiting from future technological advancements.
- Historic Milestone: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 50,000 for the first time in 2026, marking a significant achievement since its inception in 1896, reflecting sustained investor confidence amid economic fluctuations.
- Tech Stock Influence: This milestone was largely driven by strong performances from technology stocks, particularly Nvidia's replacement of Intel, highlighting the market's heightened focus and investment enthusiasm in the artificial intelligence sector.
- Market Rebound: Following a downturn in 2022, the Dow rebounded nearly 13% in 2023, with this breakthrough occurring against the backdrop of the index climbing over 1,100 points, demonstrating a robust market recovery.
- Changing Economic Landscape: Despite concerns over Trump's tariff policies and the impact of AI spending, the market has shown resilience, indicating investor optimism regarding future economic growth.
- Growing Market Demand: As more companies scramble to upgrade their AI infrastructure, the demand for data center REITs is expected to soar in the coming years, positioning Digital Realty as a leading player to capitalize on this trend and ensure long-term growth potential.
- Profitability Improvement: Digital Realty's core funds from operations (FFO) per share are projected to rise by 9%-10% in 2025, reaching $7.32 to $7.38 per share, which comfortably covers its forward dividend of $4.88 per share, demonstrating its stable profitability and appeal.
- Leasing Model Advantage: As a triple-net-lease data center REIT, Digital Realty's tenants are responsible for maintenance, insurance, and property taxes, which reduces operational risks and allows the company to focus on core business growth while maintaining high dividend payouts.
- Attractive Valuation for Investors: With a current stock price of $165 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 22, Digital Realty presents a relatively reasonable valuation compared to higher-growth AI stocks, making it an appealing choice for conservative investors seeking stable dividends.
- Core Profit Growth: Digital Realty's core funds from operations (FFO) per share is projected to rise from $6.22 in 2020 to $7.32-$7.38 by 2025, reflecting a 9%-10% CAGR, which easily covers its forward dividend of $4.88 per share, demonstrating stable profitability and cash flow.
- Occupancy Rate Expectations: While maintaining occupancy rates in the mid-80s over the past five years, Digital Realty anticipates an increase of 100-200 basis points to 83.9%-84.9% by 2025, indicating sustained demand in the data center market and bolstering investor confidence.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: With a dividend yield of 2.9%, Digital Realty appears particularly appealing in the current interest rate environment, especially for conservative income-oriented investors, as its lower valuation offers a favorable alternative to higher-growth AI stocks.
- Rising Market Demand: As more companies scramble to upgrade their AI infrastructure, the demand for Digital Realty's AI-ready data centers is expected to soar in the coming years, driving long-term growth, even if its growth rate may not match that of Nvidia or Palantir.
- IonQ's Market Position: IonQ claims to be the largest pure-play company in quantum computing, highlighting its commercial lead over competitors D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing.
- Revenue Growth: The company points to its rapidly increasing revenue, which is driven by contracts with significant customers, including the Defense Department.










