Oklo's Stock Volatility and Future Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy OKLO?
Source: Fool
- Stock Volatility: Oklo experienced a remarkable 238% gain in 2025, yet has seen a 15% decline in 2026, indicating investor concerns about its current valuation and future prospects, necessitating careful evaluation before investing.
- Collaborative Projects: The partnership with Meta to develop a 1.2GW nuclear energy campus involves deploying multiple Aurora reactors, but the lack of Nuclear Regulatory Commission approval raises questions about the project's feasibility and timeline.
- Fuel Supply Challenges: The Aurora reactors require high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU), which is currently in short supply in the U.S., with only 0.9 metric tons delivered in 2025, potentially hindering the commercialization timeline.
- Future Risks: With commercialization expected by 2027 or 2028, Oklo faces execution risks and market volatility, making it crucial for investors to weigh its long-term potential against short-term uncertainties.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy OKLO?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on OKLO
Wall Street analysts forecast OKLO stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 72.500
Low
90.00
Averages
125.11
High
175.00
Current: 72.500
Low
90.00
Averages
125.11
High
175.00
About OKLO
Oklo Inc. is an advanced nuclear technology company. The Company is engaged in developing fast fission power plants to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale. It is developing advanced fuel recycling technologies in collaboration with the United States Department of Energy and United States National Laboratories. It provides 24/7 clean energy to data centers, factories, industrial sites, communities, and defense facilities. It offers heat and power through power purchase agreements. Its powerhouse product line, Aurora, is designed to be inherently safe, to be able to run on fresh or recycled fuel, and to produce 15-50 megawatts electric (MWe) and with the potential to expand powerhouse size to produce 100 MWe of electricity. The Company intends to develop specialized radioisotope production capabilities to address urgent supply shortages in life-saving medical radioisotopes and advanced industrial applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Oklo's Small Nuclear Reactor Aims for Clean Energy Revolution
- Massive Market Potential: Oklo's Aurora Powerhouse small nuclear reactors are poised to tap into a nuclear power market projected to be worth around $10 trillion by 2050, particularly in high-demand sectors like data centers.
- Customer Partnership Agreement: Oklo has secured a deal with Meta to supply power to a 1.2-gigawatt data center campus in Ohio, demonstrating its appeal among large clients, while also boasting a backlog of over 14 gigawatts in customer orders.
- Investment Risks and Returns: With a market valuation of $13 billion but no revenue and lacking regulatory approval, Oklo's stock is considered high-risk, requiring investors to be cautious as they could face significant losses or substantial gains.
- Cash Flow Position: Oklo currently holds approximately $1.2 billion in cash with an annual cash burn rate of about $100 million; however, the absence of an operational reactor introduces uncertainty regarding its future growth prospects.
See More
Jim Cramer Discusses Oklo Inc. Stock Prospects
- Market Performance Analysis: Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) was highlighted by Jim Cramer, who noted a 10% stock drawdown and advised against adding to positions, indicating concerns about its speculative nature and future profitability.
- Business Model Overview: Oklo focuses on designing advanced fission power plants for scalable clean energy and developing nuclear fuel recycling technology that converts waste into usable reactor fuel, yet its profitability prospects remain unclear despite technological recognition.
- Investment Advice: Cramer emphasized that while Oklo is not a complete science project, its future earnings outlook is very limited, urging investors to be cautious, especially as AI stocks present greater upside potential and lower downside risks.
- Market Trend Comparison: Cramer mentioned that other AI stocks may offer more investment value, suggesting that Oklo could face greater competitive pressure in the current market environment, prompting investors to seek more promising opportunities.
See More
Nvidia and Oklo Partner to Advance AI-Powered Nuclear Energy Solutions
- Collaboration Background: Nvidia's partnership with Oklo and Los Alamos National Laboratory aims to integrate AI computing with nuclear technology to address the energy bottleneck faced by data centers, enhancing nuclear fuel development.
- Technology Application: The collaboration will leverage Nvidia's AI infrastructure for digital twins, modeling, and simulation to accelerate the analysis and optimization of uranium and plutonium fuels, improving reactor performance validation efficiency.
- Market Reaction: Oklo's stock saw a brief surge following the announcement, reflecting market recognition of Nvidia's technology, but investors should be cautious as Oklo remains pre-revenue and faces execution risks.
- Strategic Significance: This partnership not only acknowledges nuclear energy as a preferred baseload power for AI but also demonstrates Nvidia's classic vertical integration strategy by controlling energy inputs to secure computing outputs.
See More
Nvidia and Oklo Collaborate to Power AI Data Centers with Nuclear Energy
- Surging Energy Demand: The skyrocketing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) is straining traditional power grids, prompting Oklo's design of small modular reactors to provide reliable, low-cost baseload power for next-generation data centers, thereby alleviating energy bottlenecks.
- Deepening Technological Collaboration: Nvidia's partnership with Oklo and Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) leverages Nvidia's simulation and modeling tools to accelerate nuclear fuel development, with initial focuses on analyzing and optimizing plutonium-bearing fuel physics and chemistry models, advancing nuclear technology.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the collaboration, Oklo's stock experienced a brief surge, reflecting market recognition of Nvidia's technological support, although Oklo remains pre-revenue and faces multi-year regulatory and construction risks, making near-term cash flows unlikely.
- Far-Reaching Strategic Implications: This partnership represents not only a technological advancement but also Nvidia's classic vertical integration strategy of controlling power inputs to safeguard computing outputs, aiming to directly tackle the fuel bottleneck that has hindered nuclear deployment, positioning nuclear energy as AI's preferred baseload power.
See More
Oklo's Micro Nuclear Reactors: A Future Energy Solution
- Massive Market Potential: Oklo's Aurora Powerhouse micro nuclear reactors are projected to tap into a $10 trillion nuclear energy market by 2050, highlighting its significance in the future energy landscape.
- Strong Customer Demand: Oklo has secured an agreement with Meta to supply 1.2 gigawatts of power for its data centers in Ohio, alongside a backlog of over 14 gigawatts in customer orders, indicating robust demand for its offerings.
- Surging Power Demand: U.S. electricity demand is expected to grow by 78% over the next 25 years, primarily driven by new data centers, making Oklo's solutions increasingly urgent to alleviate grid pressure.
- Significant Investment Risks: Despite a market valuation of around $13 billion and a strong cash position, Oklo's lack of revenue and regulatory approval heightens investment risks, necessitating careful consideration of potential gains versus losses.
See More
Analysis of Nuclear Stocks Market Outlook
- Market Performance Decline: In 2026, both Oklo and NuScale Power have seen declines, with Oklo down approximately 11% year-to-date and NuScale nearly 27%, indicating market caution towards nuclear stocks.
- Market Value Comparison: NuScale's market cap stands at about $3.6 billion, significantly lower than Oklo's $11.3 billion, suggesting a more attractive market positioning for NuScale, especially with its NRC-certified small modular reactor design.
- Revenue Expectation Discrepancy: NuScale is expected to generate significantly higher revenue over the next two years compared to Oklo, which likely won't have a deployable reactor certification until 2027 or 2028, causing a lag in its commercialization process.
- Investment Risk Assessment: While NuScale holds an advantage in small reactor design, it has yet to secure any sales, and its business path is primarily tied to large power providers, necessitating cautious evaluation of its future growth potential.
See More
Oklo's Small Nuclear Reactor Aims for Clean Energy Revolution
- Massive Market Potential: Oklo's Aurora Powerhouse small nuclear reactors are poised to tap into a nuclear power market projected to be worth around $10 trillion by 2050, particularly in high-demand sectors like data centers.
- Customer Partnership Agreement: Oklo has secured a deal with Meta to supply power to a 1.2-gigawatt data center campus in Ohio, demonstrating its appeal among large clients, while also boasting a backlog of over 14 gigawatts in customer orders.
- Investment Risks and Returns: With a market valuation of $13 billion but no revenue and lacking regulatory approval, Oklo's stock is considered high-risk, requiring investors to be cautious as they could face significant losses or substantial gains.
- Cash Flow Position: Oklo currently holds approximately $1.2 billion in cash with an annual cash burn rate of about $100 million; however, the absence of an operational reactor introduces uncertainty regarding its future growth prospects.
See More
Jim Cramer Discusses Oklo Inc. Stock Prospects
- Market Performance Analysis: Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) was highlighted by Jim Cramer, who noted a 10% stock drawdown and advised against adding to positions, indicating concerns about its speculative nature and future profitability.
- Business Model Overview: Oklo focuses on designing advanced fission power plants for scalable clean energy and developing nuclear fuel recycling technology that converts waste into usable reactor fuel, yet its profitability prospects remain unclear despite technological recognition.
- Investment Advice: Cramer emphasized that while Oklo is not a complete science project, its future earnings outlook is very limited, urging investors to be cautious, especially as AI stocks present greater upside potential and lower downside risks.
- Market Trend Comparison: Cramer mentioned that other AI stocks may offer more investment value, suggesting that Oklo could face greater competitive pressure in the current market environment, prompting investors to seek more promising opportunities.
See More
Nvidia and Oklo Partner to Advance AI-Powered Nuclear Energy Solutions
- Collaboration Background: Nvidia's partnership with Oklo and Los Alamos National Laboratory aims to integrate AI computing with nuclear technology to address the energy bottleneck faced by data centers, enhancing nuclear fuel development.
- Technology Application: The collaboration will leverage Nvidia's AI infrastructure for digital twins, modeling, and simulation to accelerate the analysis and optimization of uranium and plutonium fuels, improving reactor performance validation efficiency.
- Market Reaction: Oklo's stock saw a brief surge following the announcement, reflecting market recognition of Nvidia's technology, but investors should be cautious as Oklo remains pre-revenue and faces execution risks.
- Strategic Significance: This partnership not only acknowledges nuclear energy as a preferred baseload power for AI but also demonstrates Nvidia's classic vertical integration strategy by controlling energy inputs to secure computing outputs.
See More
Nvidia and Oklo Collaborate to Power AI Data Centers with Nuclear Energy
- Surging Energy Demand: The skyrocketing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) is straining traditional power grids, prompting Oklo's design of small modular reactors to provide reliable, low-cost baseload power for next-generation data centers, thereby alleviating energy bottlenecks.
- Deepening Technological Collaboration: Nvidia's partnership with Oklo and Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) leverages Nvidia's simulation and modeling tools to accelerate nuclear fuel development, with initial focuses on analyzing and optimizing plutonium-bearing fuel physics and chemistry models, advancing nuclear technology.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the collaboration, Oklo's stock experienced a brief surge, reflecting market recognition of Nvidia's technological support, although Oklo remains pre-revenue and faces multi-year regulatory and construction risks, making near-term cash flows unlikely.
- Far-Reaching Strategic Implications: This partnership represents not only a technological advancement but also Nvidia's classic vertical integration strategy of controlling power inputs to safeguard computing outputs, aiming to directly tackle the fuel bottleneck that has hindered nuclear deployment, positioning nuclear energy as AI's preferred baseload power.
See More
Oklo's Micro Nuclear Reactors: A Future Energy Solution
- Massive Market Potential: Oklo's Aurora Powerhouse micro nuclear reactors are projected to tap into a $10 trillion nuclear energy market by 2050, highlighting its significance in the future energy landscape.
- Strong Customer Demand: Oklo has secured an agreement with Meta to supply 1.2 gigawatts of power for its data centers in Ohio, alongside a backlog of over 14 gigawatts in customer orders, indicating robust demand for its offerings.
- Surging Power Demand: U.S. electricity demand is expected to grow by 78% over the next 25 years, primarily driven by new data centers, making Oklo's solutions increasingly urgent to alleviate grid pressure.
- Significant Investment Risks: Despite a market valuation of around $13 billion and a strong cash position, Oklo's lack of revenue and regulatory approval heightens investment risks, necessitating careful consideration of potential gains versus losses.
See More
Analysis of Nuclear Stocks Market Outlook
- Market Performance Decline: In 2026, both Oklo and NuScale Power have seen declines, with Oklo down approximately 11% year-to-date and NuScale nearly 27%, indicating market caution towards nuclear stocks.
- Market Value Comparison: NuScale's market cap stands at about $3.6 billion, significantly lower than Oklo's $11.3 billion, suggesting a more attractive market positioning for NuScale, especially with its NRC-certified small modular reactor design.
- Revenue Expectation Discrepancy: NuScale is expected to generate significantly higher revenue over the next two years compared to Oklo, which likely won't have a deployable reactor certification until 2027 or 2028, causing a lag in its commercialization process.
- Investment Risk Assessment: While NuScale holds an advantage in small reactor design, it has yet to secure any sales, and its business path is primarily tied to large power providers, necessitating cautious evaluation of its future growth potential.
See More
