Oil Market Braces for Potential US-Iran Military Conflict
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices have risen nearly 6% this week as the market prices in the risk of military action between the US and Iran, highlighting investor anxiety over potential disruptions to oil flows through the vital Strait of Hormuz.
- Strategic Significance: The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil trade, with over 14 million barrels passing through daily in 2025; any conflict could push prices above $100 per barrel, curbing demand and potentially triggering an economic downturn.
- Military Exercise Impact: Iran's Revolutionary Guard recently partially closed the Strait for military exercises, demonstrating its capability to shut down this crucial passage, which could lead insurers to refuse coverage for tankers, exacerbating market fears.
- US Response Strategy: The Trump administration may opt for limited military actions designed to avoid direct strikes on Iran's oil infrastructure; however, any conflict could prompt the market to reassess risks, especially as Iran may leverage economic instability ahead of the US midterm elections.
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Analyst Views on JPM
Wall Street analysts forecast JPM stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 308.050
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
Current: 308.050
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
About JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company. The Company is engaged in investment banking, financial services for consumers and small businesses, commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management. The Company operates through three segments: Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM). Its CCB segment offers products and services to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, digital and telephone banking. Its CIB segment consists of banking and payments and markets and securities services, and offers a suite of investment banking, lending, payments, market-making, financing, custody and securities products and services to a global base of corporate and institutional clients. AWM segment offers investment and wealth management solutions. It offers multi-asset investment management solutions, retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, estate planning, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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