Nvidia's Earnings Could Shift Market Dynamics
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Fool
- Market Influence: As the world's largest company by market cap, Nvidia's 7.1% weight in the S&P 500 and over 13% in the Nasdaq Composite means its earnings report could significantly impact market movements, likely causing volatility on February 26.
- Financial Performance Expectations: Analysts project Nvidia's fiscal year 2026 growth at 57% and 65% for fiscal year 2027, indicating substantial growth potential driven by rising AI spending, new chip architectures, and a rebound in GPU sales to China.
- Valuation Attractiveness: Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 23.6, Nvidia is relatively cheap compared to the S&P 500's 21.9 and Nasdaq 100's 25.3, making it an attractive buy ahead of earnings.
- Market Spillover Effect: A positive earnings report from Nvidia could uplift competitors like Broadcom and AMD, as well as suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor, creating a ripple effect that boosts overall market sentiment and investor buying activity.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 187.900
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 187.900
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Staggering Investment Returns: Over the past decade, Nvidia's stock has surged nearly 27,000%, meaning a $10,000 investment is now worth $2.7 million, a life-changing amount for most retail investors.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts expect Nvidia to report a 57% revenue growth for fiscal 2026, accelerating to 65% in fiscal 2027, indicating strong growth momentum amid a surge in AI infrastructure spending.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The four major hyperscalers plan to spend $650 billion on capital expenditures this year, further driving demand for Nvidia's products, with expectations for sustained demand growth in the coming years.
- Attractive Valuation: Despite the bullish outlook, Nvidia's forward P/E ratio is under 24, making the current stock price attractive, and investors should seize the opportunity to buy shares ahead of the upcoming earnings report on February 25.
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- Stock Surge: Nvidia's (NVDA) stock has skyrocketed over 1,150% since the beginning of 2023, and despite relatively tame results in recent months, it is expected to soar after the earnings report on February 25, indicating strong market potential.
- Strong Growth Expectations: Analysts project Nvidia's revenue to grow by 65% this year, making it one of the fastest-growing stocks while its forward P/E ratio remains relatively low, suggesting that its value is underestimated and attracting more investor interest.
- Industry Standard: Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) remain the industry standard in AI computing, and with major hyperscalers increasing their AI spending, Nvidia is poised to capture a significant share of the market, further solidifying its leadership position.
- Long-Term Investment Potential: With projections indicating that AI spending will last through at least 2030, Nvidia is not only expected to achieve significant growth in 2026 but also possesses strong long-term investment value as a key player in this technological revolution.
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- Market Volatility Expected: The SCOTUS ruling on tariffs is anticipated to have a profound impact on the market, particularly affecting tech stocks like Nvidia and Apple, which may experience price fluctuations, prompting investors to closely monitor developments to adjust their strategies.
- Industry Focus Intensifies: Following the ruling, the market will concentrate on the affected sectors, especially technology and strategic industries, with analysts predicting that stocks in these areas may undergo significant short-term volatility, influencing overall market sentiment.
- International Relations Impact: The ruling could exacerbate trade tensions between the U.S. and countries like Iran, further affecting global supply chains and market stability, necessitating investors to assess potential geopolitical risks.
- Investor Strategy Adjustment: In light of uncertainty, investors may reevaluate their portfolios, particularly in the tech sector, seeking safe-haven assets to mitigate potential market volatility.
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- Amazon's AI Investment: Amazon plans to double its capital expenditures to $200 billion, primarily for new AI data center infrastructure, which is expected to enhance AWS capabilities and position the company favorably in the future AI cloud services market.
- AWS Market Share: AWS accounted for 56% of Amazon's operating profit in 2025, and with the AI cloud services market projected to reach $2 trillion by 2030, Amazon's investment in AI is strategically significant despite competitive pressures from Microsoft.
- Home Depot's Sales Challenges: In the first nine months of 2025, Home Depot's sales rose 5.6% to $126.5 billion, but earnings per share fell about 2% to $11.68, indicating that consumer uncertainty is negatively impacting home improvement demand amid a sluggish housing market.
- Impact of Housing Market: The dramatic increase in housing prices and elevated interest rates have effectively frozen the U.S. housing market, leading to sales pressures for Home Depot, with the CEO suggesting that this situation may persist and affect the company's long-term growth potential.
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- Surge in Registrations: According to the White House, over 1 million users have registered for Trump Accounts ahead of the launch, indicating strong public interest in this new initiative, which is expected to inject vitality into future economic activities.
- Government Funding Initiative: The federal government has pledged a one-time $1,000 contribution to accounts for children born after January 1, 2025, which not only incentivizes family participation but could also stimulate capital inflows into related markets.
- Unclear Investment Options: While Trump Accounts are set to invest in broad U.S. equity index funds, specific investment options have yet to be announced, which may affect investor confidence and participation, particularly in the absence of transparency.
- Tax Implications Unresolved: Experts note that the tax implications surrounding withdrawals and gift tax requirements for Trump Accounts remain unclear, which could impact families' willingness to participate, especially given the uncertainties in tax compliance.
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- Market Influence: As the world's largest company by market cap, Nvidia's 7.1% weight in the S&P 500 and over 13% in the Nasdaq Composite means its earnings report could significantly impact market movements, likely causing volatility on February 26.
- Financial Performance Expectations: Analysts project Nvidia's fiscal year 2026 growth at 57% and 65% for fiscal year 2027, indicating substantial growth potential driven by rising AI spending, new chip architectures, and a rebound in GPU sales to China.
- Valuation Attractiveness: Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 23.6, Nvidia is relatively cheap compared to the S&P 500's 21.9 and Nasdaq 100's 25.3, making it an attractive buy ahead of earnings.
- Market Spillover Effect: A positive earnings report from Nvidia could uplift competitors like Broadcom and AMD, as well as suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor, creating a ripple effect that boosts overall market sentiment and investor buying activity.
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