Nvidia Earnings Expected to Significantly Impact Market
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: stocktwits
- Earnings Impact Analysis: Nvidia's upcoming Q4 earnings report is expected to significantly impact the market, with analysts forecasting a 68% year-over-year revenue increase to $66.12 billion, indicating strong business growth potential.
- Market Focus: Analyst Jay Woods noted that Nvidia's 7% stake in the S&P 500 makes the earnings impact particularly crucial, especially given the recent declines in Meta and Palantir shares despite their strong results.
- Technical Support Levels: Woods emphasized that if Nvidia's stock falls below the $173 level, it could trigger a significant market pullback, potentially pushing the S&P 500 down to 6,600, highlighting the market's sensitivity to Nvidia's price movements.
- Market Dynamics Update: Ahead of the earnings release, Nvidia shares rose 0.05% in after-hours trading, with a 47% increase over the past year, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF also saw slight gains, reflecting ongoing market interest in tech stocks.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 189.820
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 189.820
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Weight Analysis: Nvidia stock represents over 7% of the S&P 500, making it a significant weight in the index, which could influence overall market performance.
- Earnings Momentum Observation: Despite accelerating earnings trends, Nvidia's stock performance has not necessarily followed suit, as past strong earnings did not always lead to stock price increases, necessitating close attention to Thursday's trading performance.
- Analyst Rating Status: Currently, Nvidia has 77 buy ratings, 5 hold ratings, and 1 sell rating, indicating high market expectations; any disappointment in earnings could lead to potential downgrades.
- Technical Level Analysis: Nvidia's stock has risen 35.5% over the past 52 weeks but only 1.8% year-to-date, with a critical support level at $170; a break above $195 could trigger a larger market rally.
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- Market Dominance: Nvidia continues to dominate the AI data center market with its GPU chips, particularly with the newly launched Rubin platform, which is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in the rapidly evolving AI sector.
- Shift to Inference Computing: Designed with inference in mind, Rubin performs inference computing at 10% of the cost per million tokens compared to the existing Blackwell GB200 NVL72, significantly improving efficiency and meeting AI hyperscalers' demand for cost-effectiveness.
- Sales Growth Expectations: Analysts anticipate Nvidia's sales will grow from $187 billion to $327 billion, and then reach $419 billion in the following fiscal year, indicating strong growth potential, although risks remain due to its concentrated customer base.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: While Nvidia holds a leading position in the AI data center chip market, it faces challenges from competitors like Broadcom, prompting investors to monitor the company's updates on market outlook in the upcoming earnings report to assess the timing for investment.
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- Nebius Group Growth Potential: The Dutch Nebius Group anticipates an annualized revenue of $1.25 billion in 2025, with projections for 2026 revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion, indicating strong market demand and growth potential, particularly in AI cloud platform development.
- Nvidia Market Leadership: Nvidia's market capitalization has reached $4.6 trillion, with a 62% revenue growth in Q3 of fiscal 2026, totaling $57 billion, of which $51.2 billion came from data center sales, underscoring its central role in the global AI investment wave.
- Palantir Software Advantage: Palantir's AI platform achieved $4.475 billion in revenue in 2025, a 56% year-over-year increase, with a projected 60% revenue growth for 2026, showcasing its strong capabilities in data analysis and real-time insights, attracting numerous commercial and government clients.
- Portfolio Allocation Recommendation: It is advised to allocate 50% of a $2,000 investment portfolio to Nvidia, 25% to Nebius, and the remaining 25% to Palantir, leveraging the leadership and growth potential of these three companies in the AI sector to build a robust investment foundation.
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- Earnings Impact Analysis: Nvidia's upcoming Q4 earnings report is expected to significantly impact the market, with analysts forecasting a 68% year-over-year revenue increase to $66.12 billion, indicating strong business growth potential.
- Market Focus: Analyst Jay Woods noted that Nvidia's 7% stake in the S&P 500 makes the earnings impact particularly crucial, especially given the recent declines in Meta and Palantir shares despite their strong results.
- Technical Support Levels: Woods emphasized that if Nvidia's stock falls below the $173 level, it could trigger a significant market pullback, potentially pushing the S&P 500 down to 6,600, highlighting the market's sensitivity to Nvidia's price movements.
- Market Dynamics Update: Ahead of the earnings release, Nvidia shares rose 0.05% in after-hours trading, with a 47% increase over the past year, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF also saw slight gains, reflecting ongoing market interest in tech stocks.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia generated over $130 billion in revenue last year, marking a 114% year-over-year increase, which highlights its strong market demand and profitability in the AI sector, with gross margins consistently exceeding 70%, providing a solid foundation for future investments.
- Market Valuation Decline: Currently, Nvidia's price-to-earnings ratio has dropped to 24x, its lowest level in nearly a year, and historical data indicates that when the stock was similarly undervalued last year, it surged 90% over six months, suggesting a potential rebound opportunity.
- Data Center Sales Outlook: CFO Colette Kress stated that Nvidia is on track to exceed its $500 billion sales forecast for data center products, indicating sustained strong demand in the AI hardware market, which could lay the groundwork for future performance growth.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: While the stock may not double as it did last year in the short term, Nvidia's leadership in AI and evidence of customer support suggest that investors holding the stock for several years are likely to see substantial returns.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia generated over $130 billion in revenue over the past year, reflecting a 114% year-over-year increase, which indicates strong performance in the AI sector and sustained market demand, despite recent stock stagnation, the company's profitability remains robust with gross margins exceeding 70%.
- Cautious Market Expectations: Although Nvidia's stock has reached a forward P/E ratio of 24, its lowest in nearly a year, investor concerns about the economy and the AI market persist, which may impact future stock performance, especially ahead of the upcoming earnings report.
- Strong Demand for Data Center Products: CFO Colette Kress stated that Nvidia is on track to exceed its $500 billion sales forecast for data center products, reflecting ongoing demand for its critical GPUs and solidifying its leadership position in the AI market.
- Historical Performance Suggests Potential: Historical data shows that when Nvidia's stock was at low levels, it climbed 90% over six months, suggesting a potential rebound from current prices, although the market remains cautious about rapid growth, the long-term growth potential still exists.
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