Netflix Nears Deal with NFL for Key Games
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy NFLX?
Netflix is near a deal with the National Football League that appears likely to include the week one game in Australia, a game the day before Thanksgiving, and the Christmas games, Puck News' John Ourand reports.
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Analyst Views on NFLX
Wall Street analysts forecast NFLX stock price to rise
38 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 88.250
Low
92.00
Averages
114.18
High
150.00
Current: 88.250
Low
92.00
Averages
114.18
High
150.00
About NFLX
Netflix, Inc. is a provider of entertainment services. The Company acquires, licenses and produces content, including original programming. It provides paid memberships in over 190 countries offering television (TV) series, films and games across a variety of genres and languages. It allows members to play, pause and resume watching as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, and can change their plans at any time. The Company offers members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of Internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes and mobile devices. It is engaged in scaling its streaming service, such as introducing games and advertising on its service, as well as offering live programming. It is developing technology and utilizing third-party cloud computing, technology and other services. The Company is also engaged in scaling its own studio operations to produce original content.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Advertising Presentation Schedule: Next week, the media world will converge in New York, with NBCUniversal, Fox, Amazon, Disney, and others showcasing their NFL programming, which is expected to solidify trends observed last year, particularly with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell's attendance at both YouTube and Netflix events.
- Value of NFL Programming: NBCU will highlight the value of 'Sunday Night Football,' the most-watched show on U.S. television for the past 15 years, while Fox will showcase its NFL programming's highest ratings since 2015, averaging 19.63 million viewers last year.
- ESPN's Digital Subscription Success: Disney reported that revenue from ESPN's digital subscription service has more than offset losses from traditional cable cancellations, although the sports segment's operating income is expected to decline by 14% year-over-year due to rising programming fees, potentially leading to a price increase for ESPN Unlimited.
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- Stock Price Decline: Since reporting first-quarter earnings on April 16, Netflix's stock has fallen over 15%, primarily due to earnings missing estimates and a cautious outlook, which dampened investor sentiment and triggered a selloff.
- Buyback Plan Update: Netflix announced an additional $25 billion stock buyback in a regulatory filing last month, on top of the remaining $6.8 billion under its 2024 repurchase program, demonstrating the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder value despite current market challenges.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment regarding NFLX shifted from 'bullish' to 'neutral', with message volumes rising nearly sixfold in the past 24 hours, reflecting mixed investor opinions on the recent price drop, with some viewing it as a buying opportunity.
See More
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- Advertising Presentation Schedule: Next week, the media world will converge in New York, with NBCUniversal, Fox, Amazon, Disney, and others showcasing their NFL programming, which is expected to solidify trends observed last year, particularly with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell's attendance at both YouTube and Netflix events.
- Value of NFL Programming: NBCU will highlight the value of 'Sunday Night Football,' the most-watched show on U.S. television for the past 15 years, while Fox will showcase its NFL programming's highest ratings since 2015, averaging 19.63 million viewers last year.
- ESPN's Digital Subscription Success: Disney reported that revenue from ESPN's digital subscription service has more than offset losses from traditional cable cancellations, although the sports segment's operating income is expected to decline by 14% year-over-year due to rising programming fees, potentially leading to a price increase for ESPN Unlimited.
- NFL and Streaming Partnerships: Netflix and YouTube will leverage the NFL to demonstrate their growing influence in sports and live programming, with plans to acquire four games from the NFL Network and possibly add an additional game, while Netflix aims to renew its Christmas game deal with the NFL.
See More
Warner Bros. Discovery Reports $2.9 Billion Net Loss in Q1
- Significant Net Loss: Warner Bros. Discovery reported a staggering net loss of $2.9 billion in Q1, significantly higher than the $453 million loss from the previous year, primarily due to $1.3 billion in acquisition-related costs and a $2.8 billion termination fee, which severely impacts the company's financial health.
- Streaming Revenue Growth: Despite an overall revenue decline, streaming revenue increased by 9% to approximately $2.89 billion, driven by the expansion of HBO Max in international markets and a rise in subscribers to the ad-supported tier, indicating the company's potential in digital transformation.
- Decline in Linear TV Networks: Revenue from Warner's linear TV networks fell to $4.38 billion, an 8% decrease year-over-year, with advertising revenue down 11%, primarily due to the absence of NBA media rights, reflecting ongoing challenges faced by traditional television businesses.
- Strong Film Division Performance: The film studio division saw a 35% increase in revenue to $3.13 billion year-over-year, indicating robust performance in content creation and market demand, which may support the company's financial recovery in the future.
See More
Warner Bros Reports Better-Than-Expected Quarterly Revenue Growth
- Streaming Revenue Growth: Warner Bros' streaming unit achieved a 9% revenue growth in Q1, reaching $2.89 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of 7.6%, primarily driven by HBO Max's international expansion and increased user engagement.
- Subscriber Growth Driver: The recent launch of HBO Max in the U.K. and Ireland contributed to a 10% rise in subscriber-related revenue, demonstrating the company's ability to leverage its extensive library of HBO originals and global entertainment brands to enhance market competitiveness.
- Significant Loss Impact: Despite strong performance in the streaming segment, Warner Bros reported a net loss of $2.92 billion in Q1, which included a $2.8 billion termination fee paid to Netflix, significantly impacting the company's financial health.
- Decline in Advertising Revenue: The company reported total revenue of $8.89 billion, largely in line with analyst estimates, but advertising revenue fell by 7%, primarily due to the absence of NBA content and continued declines in domestic linear TV audiences.
See More
Warner Bros. Discovery Reports $2.9 Billion Q1 Loss Amid Restructuring Costs
- Significant Loss: Warner Bros. Discovery reported a staggering net loss of $2.9 billion in Q1, significantly higher than the $453 million loss reported in the same quarter last year, primarily due to increased acquisition and restructuring costs.
- Cost Breakdown: The loss included $1.3 billion in pre-tax acquisition-related amortization of intangibles, content fair value step-up, and restructuring expenses, alongside a $2.8 billion termination fee, which has placed substantial pressure on the company's financial health.
- Transaction Impact: The failure to complete the asset sale to Netflix, due to Paramount Skydance's competing offer, has left the termination fee on Warner Bros. Discovery's books, adversely affecting its cash flow and future investment capabilities.
- Future Uncertainty: Although the termination fee is refundable under certain conditions, if Paramount were to terminate the deal for a higher offer, Warner Bros. Discovery would face even greater financial risks, increasing operational uncertainty moving forward.
See More
AMC Reports Q1 Earnings Beat, Optimistic Outlook for 2026
- Earnings Highlights: AMC reported a Q1 adjusted loss per share of $0.36, slightly worse than Wall Street's $0.34 estimate, yet revenue of $1.045 billion exceeded analyst expectations of $968.85 million, indicating a strong post-pandemic recovery trajectory.
- Optimistic Outlook: CEO Adam Aron projected that the 2026 domestic box office could increase by $500 million to $1.2 billion compared to 2025, emphasizing a robust slate of films expected to draw audiences and enhance shareholder value.
- Strong EBITDA Performance: AMC's Q1 adjusted EBITDA reached its highest level since pre-pandemic 2019, up $96 million year-over-year, reflecting increased domestic attendance and rising demand for premium movie formats, marking a significant turnaround in operational performance.
- Debt Reduction: Aron noted that AMC has eliminated one-third of its over $6 billion debt and successfully refinanced $425 million, demonstrating the company's ability to restore financial health post-pandemic while planning to expand its interactive live entertainment business.
See More
Reed Hastings Sells 407,550 Shares of Netflix
- Share Sale Details: Reed Hastings sold 407,550 shares of Netflix for $37.96 million in three transactions at average prices of $92.283, $93.5427, and $94.1689, indicating a strategic reduction in his holdings amid market fluctuations.
- Stock Price Decline: Since reporting first-quarter earnings on April 16, Netflix's stock has fallen over 15%, primarily due to earnings missing estimates and a cautious outlook, which dampened investor sentiment and triggered a selloff.
- Buyback Plan Update: Netflix announced an additional $25 billion stock buyback in a regulatory filing last month, on top of the remaining $6.8 billion under its 2024 repurchase program, demonstrating the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder value despite current market challenges.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment regarding NFLX shifted from 'bullish' to 'neutral', with message volumes rising nearly sixfold in the past 24 hours, reflecting mixed investor opinions on the recent price drop, with some viewing it as a buying opportunity.
See More
