Nebius Group Shares Rise $12.10 to $157.07
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 13 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NBIS?
Moderately bullish activity in Nebius Group NV (NBIS), with shares up $12.10, or 8.35%, near $157.07. Options volume more than double the daily average with 176k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.36, compared to a typical level near 0.6. Implied volatility (IV30) is higher by 5.9 points near 96.23,in the top quartile of the past year, suggesting an expected daily move of $9.52. Put-call skew flattened, suggesting a modestly bullish tone, following a downgrade to Hold at Freedom Capital.Looking ahead: Nebius Group NV (NBIS) will report earnings after the close on None.Option markets are pricing in a 50% probability of a move greater than 0.0% or $0.00.
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Analyst Views on NBIS
Wall Street analysts forecast NBIS stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 159.160
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
Current: 159.160
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
About NBIS
Nebius Group NV is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company operating in the technology industry. The Company is engaged in developing a portfolio of artificial intelligence-related technology assets. It is involved in creating an artificial intelligence-centric player to integrate the essential elements of artificial intelligence development with infrastructure, data and advisory globally. It offers products and services such as a cloud platform for artificial intelligence-related workloads, development team services for autonomous vehicles, development of generative artificial intelligence. Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure to service the growth of the global AI industry, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers. Company is developing three other businesses that operate under their own brands: Toloka AI, TripleTen and Avride.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Investment Analysis of Nebius and CoreWeave
- Market Growth Potential: Nebius reported an astonishing annualized growth rate of 501% in its latest quarter, with projections of 523% growth in 2025 and 206% in 2026, indicating revenue could soar from $530 million to $10.1 billion, reflecting strong demand and future growth potential in AI infrastructure.
- Business Model Differences: Nebius offers a full-stack computing solution that meets clients' needs for training and running AI models, while CoreWeave focuses on providing versatile GPU computing power; although both have their strengths, Nebius appears more comprehensive in addressing market demands.
- Valuation Comparison: Despite Nebius's higher valuation, its massive growth potential is evident, while CoreWeave attracts investors with a lower valuation, expecting revenue to reach $23.5 billion by 2026, showcasing its competitiveness in the market.
- Investment Dilemma: While Nebius has the edge in growth speed, CoreWeave's scale and stability are also noteworthy, leading investors to choose based on personal preference, with both companies likely to deliver strong growth in the coming years.
See More
Meta Signs Huge Deals with Neocloud Providers for AI Infrastructure
- Massive Investment: Meta Platforms has signed a $21 billion deal with CoreWeave and up to $27 billion with Nebius, indicating a substantial commitment to AI infrastructure aimed at ensuring ongoing growth in AI training and inference capabilities.
- Long-Term Contract Benefits: Both Nebius and CoreWeave are securing long-term contracts with major AI companies like Meta, guaranteeing payment regardless of usage, which allows them to obtain capital at relatively low interest rates, enhancing their financial stability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's sales surged 168% last year to $5.1 billion, while Nebius grew 479% to $530 million, demonstrating strong execution capabilities amid skyrocketing demand for AI cloud capacity.
- Profitability Challenges: Despite rapid growth, both companies are currently loss-making, with Nebius losing $447 million last year and CoreWeave $1.2 billion, prompting investors to closely monitor the sustainability of their capital expenditure returns.
See More
Fluor's Opportunities in Data Center Construction
- Industry Leadership: Fluor boasts over 100 years of experience in data center construction and was named the top construction company by Data Centre Magazine in 2025, highlighting its leadership in global data center megaprojects.
- Major Project Collaboration: Fluor signed an agreement with TeraWulf to build a 480-megawatt data center, with project estimates ranging from $3 billion to $4 billion, further solidifying its role in AI infrastructure development.
- Revenue Growth Potential: The data center business is part of Fluor's urban solutions segment, which accounted for over 59% of the company's revenue in 2025, indicating significant growth opportunities recognized by management.
- Market Investment Trends: Research indicates that global spending on data centers reached $1 trillion last year, projected to rise to $4 trillion by 2030, positioning Fluor to benefit as a key player in infrastructure development.
See More
Fluor's Leadership in the Data Center Market
- Market Growth Potential: Global data center spending is projected to reach $4 trillion by 2030, indicating robust market demand, and Fluor, as an industry leader, is actively engaging in this growth trend to enhance its market share.
- Major Project Collaboration: Fluor has signed an agreement with TeraWulf to build a 480-megawatt data center, with project estimates ranging from $3 billion to $4 billion, which not only strengthens Fluor's influence in the AI infrastructure sector but also lays the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Financial Performance Analysis: Despite facing a net loss of $51 million in 2025, Fluor's $25.5 billion backlog indicates strong future profitability potential, and management's focus on data center projects further boosts investor confidence.
- Industry Competitive Landscape: Fluor was named the top data center construction company in 2025, showcasing its expertise in sophisticated engineering and construction solutions, and despite competition from other tech firms, Fluor remains a focal point for investors.
See More
Nebius Group: Potential and Challenges in AI Cloud Computing
- Significant Contract Backlog: Nebius Group has a contracted backlog approaching $50 billion for the 2027-2031 period, with 2025 revenue at $530 million, indicating substantial future growth potential, particularly through long-term partnerships with Microsoft and Meta.
- Market Valuation and Growth Expectations: With a current market cap of approximately $41 billion and analyst price targets ranging from $143 to $211, if Nebius successfully converts its backlog into revenue, projected 2026 revenue could reach $3 billion to $3.4 billion, with an EBITDA margin near 40%.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Nebius plans to invest $16 billion to $20 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, which, while outpacing current revenue, could lay the groundwork for future growth if infrastructure is built on time.
- Technology and Market Risks: Despite Nvidia's investment validating its technology, Nebius faces execution risks, including the timely construction of infrastructure and potential changes in demand from key clients, which will directly impact its market performance.
See More
Nebius Secures $50 Billion Backlog with Microsoft and Meta
- Significant Contract Backlog: Nebius has secured a five-year contract worth up to $19.4 billion with Microsoft and expanded its deal with Meta to $27 billion, resulting in a total contracted backlog approaching $50 billion for the 2027-2031 period, indicating strong visibility into future revenues.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The company aims to scale its data center capacity from 170 megawatts to between 800 megawatts and 1 gigawatt by 2026, with projected revenues of $3 billion to $3.4 billion and an EBITDA margin near 40%, which could significantly enhance market expectations for its valuation.
- Technological Investment Support: Nvidia's $2 billion direct equity investment in Nebius underscores confidence in Nebius as a strategic partner for next-generation hyperscale AI infrastructure, further solidifying its position in the AI cloud computing sector.
- Risks and Challenges: Despite Nebius's competitive advantages, its plan to spend $16 billion to $20 billion in capital expenditures in 2026 presents execution risks and market demand fluctuations, necessitating careful assessment of its long-term growth potential.
See More
Investment Analysis of Nebius and CoreWeave
- Market Growth Potential: Nebius reported an astonishing annualized growth rate of 501% in its latest quarter, with projections of 523% growth in 2025 and 206% in 2026, indicating revenue could soar from $530 million to $10.1 billion, reflecting strong demand and future growth potential in AI infrastructure.
- Business Model Differences: Nebius offers a full-stack computing solution that meets clients' needs for training and running AI models, while CoreWeave focuses on providing versatile GPU computing power; although both have their strengths, Nebius appears more comprehensive in addressing market demands.
- Valuation Comparison: Despite Nebius's higher valuation, its massive growth potential is evident, while CoreWeave attracts investors with a lower valuation, expecting revenue to reach $23.5 billion by 2026, showcasing its competitiveness in the market.
- Investment Dilemma: While Nebius has the edge in growth speed, CoreWeave's scale and stability are also noteworthy, leading investors to choose based on personal preference, with both companies likely to deliver strong growth in the coming years.
See More
Meta Signs Huge Deals with Neocloud Providers for AI Infrastructure
- Massive Investment: Meta Platforms has signed a $21 billion deal with CoreWeave and up to $27 billion with Nebius, indicating a substantial commitment to AI infrastructure aimed at ensuring ongoing growth in AI training and inference capabilities.
- Long-Term Contract Benefits: Both Nebius and CoreWeave are securing long-term contracts with major AI companies like Meta, guaranteeing payment regardless of usage, which allows them to obtain capital at relatively low interest rates, enhancing their financial stability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's sales surged 168% last year to $5.1 billion, while Nebius grew 479% to $530 million, demonstrating strong execution capabilities amid skyrocketing demand for AI cloud capacity.
- Profitability Challenges: Despite rapid growth, both companies are currently loss-making, with Nebius losing $447 million last year and CoreWeave $1.2 billion, prompting investors to closely monitor the sustainability of their capital expenditure returns.
See More
Fluor's Opportunities in Data Center Construction
- Industry Leadership: Fluor boasts over 100 years of experience in data center construction and was named the top construction company by Data Centre Magazine in 2025, highlighting its leadership in global data center megaprojects.
- Major Project Collaboration: Fluor signed an agreement with TeraWulf to build a 480-megawatt data center, with project estimates ranging from $3 billion to $4 billion, further solidifying its role in AI infrastructure development.
- Revenue Growth Potential: The data center business is part of Fluor's urban solutions segment, which accounted for over 59% of the company's revenue in 2025, indicating significant growth opportunities recognized by management.
- Market Investment Trends: Research indicates that global spending on data centers reached $1 trillion last year, projected to rise to $4 trillion by 2030, positioning Fluor to benefit as a key player in infrastructure development.
See More
Fluor's Leadership in the Data Center Market
- Market Growth Potential: Global data center spending is projected to reach $4 trillion by 2030, indicating robust market demand, and Fluor, as an industry leader, is actively engaging in this growth trend to enhance its market share.
- Major Project Collaboration: Fluor has signed an agreement with TeraWulf to build a 480-megawatt data center, with project estimates ranging from $3 billion to $4 billion, which not only strengthens Fluor's influence in the AI infrastructure sector but also lays the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Financial Performance Analysis: Despite facing a net loss of $51 million in 2025, Fluor's $25.5 billion backlog indicates strong future profitability potential, and management's focus on data center projects further boosts investor confidence.
- Industry Competitive Landscape: Fluor was named the top data center construction company in 2025, showcasing its expertise in sophisticated engineering and construction solutions, and despite competition from other tech firms, Fluor remains a focal point for investors.
See More
Nebius Group: Potential and Challenges in AI Cloud Computing
- Significant Contract Backlog: Nebius Group has a contracted backlog approaching $50 billion for the 2027-2031 period, with 2025 revenue at $530 million, indicating substantial future growth potential, particularly through long-term partnerships with Microsoft and Meta.
- Market Valuation and Growth Expectations: With a current market cap of approximately $41 billion and analyst price targets ranging from $143 to $211, if Nebius successfully converts its backlog into revenue, projected 2026 revenue could reach $3 billion to $3.4 billion, with an EBITDA margin near 40%.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Nebius plans to invest $16 billion to $20 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, which, while outpacing current revenue, could lay the groundwork for future growth if infrastructure is built on time.
- Technology and Market Risks: Despite Nvidia's investment validating its technology, Nebius faces execution risks, including the timely construction of infrastructure and potential changes in demand from key clients, which will directly impact its market performance.
See More
Nebius Secures $50 Billion Backlog with Microsoft and Meta
- Significant Contract Backlog: Nebius has secured a five-year contract worth up to $19.4 billion with Microsoft and expanded its deal with Meta to $27 billion, resulting in a total contracted backlog approaching $50 billion for the 2027-2031 period, indicating strong visibility into future revenues.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The company aims to scale its data center capacity from 170 megawatts to between 800 megawatts and 1 gigawatt by 2026, with projected revenues of $3 billion to $3.4 billion and an EBITDA margin near 40%, which could significantly enhance market expectations for its valuation.
- Technological Investment Support: Nvidia's $2 billion direct equity investment in Nebius underscores confidence in Nebius as a strategic partner for next-generation hyperscale AI infrastructure, further solidifying its position in the AI cloud computing sector.
- Risks and Challenges: Despite Nebius's competitive advantages, its plan to spend $16 billion to $20 billion in capital expenditures in 2026 presents execution risks and market demand fluctuations, necessitating careful assessment of its long-term growth potential.
See More
