Musk's Wealth Surges to $845 Billion Amid SpaceX-xAI Merger
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 07 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: CNBC
- Wealth Milestone: Musk's net worth surpassed $800 billion for the first time this week, now estimated at $845 billion, exceeding the combined wealth of Google founders and Meta's CEO, highlighting his immense influence in the tech sector.
- Acquisition Impact: Following SpaceX's acquisition of xAI, the merged entity is valued at $1.25 trillion, with Musk's 43% stake worth over $530 billion, marking a rapid shift in his fortunes that may affect his focus on Tesla.
- Market Outlook: SpaceX has secured over $20 billion in government contracts, with more lucrative deals anticipated, as Musk frames the acquisition as a significant step towards
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 381.260
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 381.260
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Retail Investor Opportunities: SpaceX plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors, tripling the typical IPO norm, allowing Tesla's loyal retail investor base direct access from day one, enhancing their investment opportunities.
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- Tesla's Indirect Investment: Tesla has received government approval to convert its investment in Musk's xAI into a small stake in SpaceX, meaning Tesla shareholders will benefit indirectly from SpaceX's growth, with its value set to be publicly reflected in Tesla's assets post-IPO.
- Retail Investor Opportunities: SpaceX plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors, tripling the typical IPO norm, allowing Tesla's loyal retail investor base direct access from day one, enhancing their investment opportunities.
- Potential Merger Outlook: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives predicts a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX as early as 2027, referring to this combination as the “holy grail” that could connect both disruptive tech companies within a single AI-driven ecosystem, showcasing significant strategic potential.
See More
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- Capital Injection: Rivian has secured a $1 billion investment from Volkswagen as part of a larger $5.8 billion funding plan, which will support the launch of a more affordable electric truck, enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Technological Collaboration: Volkswagen's successful testing of Rivian's technology not only provides financial backing but also indicates the recognition of Rivian's technology within the industry, further advancing its supplier strategy.
- Market Positioning: Unlike Tesla, Rivian aims to be both a vehicle manufacturer and an industry supplier, which broadens its sales opportunities and enhances the returns on its technology investments through this dual strategy.
- Competitive Landscape: In an increasingly competitive electric vehicle market, Rivian's success hinges not only on financial support but also on the effective execution of its supplier strategy to ensure long-term survival and growth.
See More
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- Leasing Market Risks: A wave of off-lease EVs is expected to return with values approximately $10,000 lower than projected, potentially costing the finance arms up to $8 billion, which could significantly impact overall industry profitability.
- Surge in Supply: By 2028, around 800,000 EVs are projected to hit the used market, leading to oversupply and further price depreciation, which may put additional financial strain on leasing companies.
- Tesla's Market Dominance: Tesla's leasing volume is substantial, with nearly 229,000 EVs leased last year, far exceeding the combined totals of General Motors and Ford, highlighting its strong influence in the industry.
- Financial Management Strategy: Despite industry challenges, Tesla mitigates its financial risk by managing a portion of its lease portfolio through partnerships with third-party lenders, allowing investors to remain cautiously optimistic while monitoring market developments in the coming years.
See More
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- Leasing Market Risks: Tesla is expected to see a wave of off-lease EVs flooding the market in the coming years, with industry experts projecting these vehicles to return at values approximately $10,000 lower than anticipated, potentially costing the industry about $8 billion.
- Depreciation Trends: According to Cox Automotive, by 2025, a three-year-old EV will maintain only about 40% of its original value at auction, a significant drop from 90% in early 2022, indicating pressure on the used EV market.
- Tesla's Market Dominance: Tesla dominates the EV leasing market, having leased nearly 229,000 vehicles last year, which is significantly more than the combined total of General Motors and Ford, highlighting its strong industry influence.
- Investor Confidence Reminder: Despite the challenges posed by off-lease EV depreciation, Tesla's finance arm collaborates with third-party lenders, allowing it to mitigate most of the leasing losses, suggesting that investors need not panic just yet.
See More
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- Jobs Report Surprises: The March jobs report revealed significantly stronger job growth than anticipated, leading to increased investor concerns about an overheating economy, which triggered a decline in the futures market and affected overall market sentiment.
- Tesla's Stock Decline: Influenced by the overall market sentiment, Tesla's stock tumbled on Thursday, reflecting investor worries about overvalued tech stocks, which could lead to short-term capital outflows.
- Market Signal Analysis: The robust employment data may raise expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, prompting investors to monitor potential impacts of future monetary policy changes on the stock market, especially in a high-inflation environment.
- Investor Sentiment Fluctuation: While the strong jobs report bolstered confidence in economic recovery, it also raised concerns about a market correction, potentially leading to increased volatility in the short term.
See More
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- Rocket Recovery Milestone: In October 2024, SpaceX successfully landed a previously launched rocket, marking a historic first that signifies a major breakthrough in aerospace technology, likely attracting increased investor interest in the space sector.
- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is projected to reach a valuation of $1.75 trillion, and if it goes public, it would become the largest IPO in market history, expected to have a profound impact on space-related stocks, similar to Tesla's influence on the electric vehicle market.
- Stock Price Surge: Following the news of SpaceX's impending IPO, stocks of companies like AST SpaceMobile, Rocket Lab, and Firefly Aerospace surged by 12%, 11.78%, and nearly 20% respectively, reflecting growing market confidence in the space economy.
- Reduced Launch Costs: SpaceX's reusable rocket technology is set to significantly lower launch costs, with traditional launches costing up to $1.5 billion compared to SpaceX's average of $62 million, and further reductions are anticipated, promoting sustainable growth in the aerospace industry.
See More
