Morgan Stanley: eBay Rejects GameStop's $125 Acquisition Proposal
Morgan Stanley notes that eBay (EBAY) has announced that it rejected GameStop's (GME) unsolicited bid to buy eBay at $125/share, calling the proposal "neither credible nor attractive." This was unsurprising with eBay only up about 3% since the proposed acquisition was announced, the firm adds. Notably, eBay's board was concerned about more than the price, questioning the deal's financing and leverage along with the impact on the resulting post-deal valuation. Given that, Morgan Stanley believes it is quite possible eBay's board rejects a sweetened offer unless the other issues are cleared. With that said, the firm doesn't believe this is the end of the story and outlines four potential next steps, namely a counteroffer, a direct proposal, failed GameStop Proxy Vote, or other bidder as another company could consider making an offer for eBay now that a potential deal has been floated. Morgan Stanley has an Overweight rating and a price target of $121 on eBay.
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- Increased Ownership: GameStop has raised its stake in eBay to 7.8%, up from 6.6% on May 20, demonstrating its commitment to the acquisition despite eBay's board rejecting its $55.5 billion buyout offer as unrealistic.
- Funding Strategy: GameStop plans to leverage its $9.4 billion cash and liquid investments, along with a financing letter from TD Securities for up to $20 billion in debt, to support this massive e-commerce acquisition, reflecting strong confidence in the deal.
- Cost Reduction Potential: CEO Ryan Cohen asserts that a merger could eliminate $2 billion in annual operational costs within 12 months post-closing, enhancing the strategic rationale behind the acquisition.
- Market Reaction: While eBay's shares hover near multi-year highs at $115.62, giving it a market cap of $49.79 billion, GameStop's stock trades flat around $21.71, with a significantly smaller market cap of $9.73 billion, highlighting the stark contrast between the two companies.
- Increased Economic Exposure: GameStop's latest Schedule 13D filing reveals direct ownership of 25,000 eBay shares and derivative exposure to an additional 34.5 million shares, raising its total economic exposure to 7.78%, indicating a strong intent to pursue eBay acquisition.
- Derivative Contract Details: The derivatives have strike prices ranging from $84.74 to $118.28 per share, and these contracts could convert into actual shares pending federal clearance under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act, showcasing the company's potential future control over eBay.
- Acquisition Proposal Rejected: Despite GameStop's $56 billion acquisition proposal, eBay has firmly rejected it, labeling the offer as “neither credible nor attractive,” reflecting skepticism in the market regarding GameStop's acquisition capabilities, especially given its market value of only about $10 billion.
- Management Criticism and Market Reaction: CEO Cohen has criticized eBay's operational style, calling for nearly $2 billion in annual expense reductions, while GME stock has gained nearly 8% this year, contrasting with EBAY's over 28% rise, highlighting differing market perceptions of the two companies' futures.
- Amazon Financial Performance: In FY 2025, Amazon's revenue reached $716.9 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth, with a net income of $77.7 billion and a net margin of approximately 10.8%, indicating the company's ongoing expansion in high-margin segments and operational optimization.
- eBay Market Positioning: In FY 2025, eBay generated $11.1 billion in revenue, an 8% increase year-over-year, with a net income of $2.0 billion and a net margin of around 18.3%, showcasing its strategy focused on niche markets that ensures consistent profitability and efficiency.
- Competitive Risk Analysis: Amazon faces intense competition from tech giants like Microsoft, with regulatory risks from antitrust investigations potentially impacting its marketplace management, while eBay contends with local marketplace competition and AI-driven shopping platforms, increasing operational costs.
- Future Growth Potential: In Q1 2026, Amazon's sales totaled $181.5 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, while AWS grew at 28%, highlighting the potential returns from its investments in AI infrastructure and suggesting strong growth prospects ahead.
- Amazon Financial Performance: In fiscal year 2025, Amazon's revenue reached $716.9 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth, with a net income of $77.7 billion and a net margin of approximately 10.8%, indicating its ongoing expansion in high-margin segments and operational optimization.
- eBay Market Positioning: eBay achieved $11.1 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, with a net income of $2.0 billion and a net margin of about 18.3%, demonstrating its profitability and efficiency through a focus on unique goods in the marketplace.
- Competition and Risks: Amazon faces intense competition from tech giants like Microsoft, with regulatory risks from antitrust investigations potentially impacting its marketplace management, while eBay contends with local marketplace competition and AI-driven shopping platforms, increasing operational costs and traffic risks.
- Future Growth Potential: While eBay excels in the used goods market, Amazon's rapid expansion into AI infrastructure is notable, with Q1 2026 sales reaching $181.5 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, and AWS growing at 28%, highlighting its significant future growth potential.
- AI Shopping Assistant Launch: Amazon is offering retailers the tools to create custom AI shopping assistants through AWS, enabling launches in as little as 60 days, which significantly enhances customer shopping experiences and strengthens market competitiveness.
- Internal Technology Application: The company has already utilized this technology internally to assist customers in comparing products, making purchases, and reordering, indicating the maturity and effectiveness of its technology, which helps attract more retail partnerships.
- Intensifying Market Competition: With competitors like OpenAI and Google ramping up their investments in AI shopping tools, Amazon's initiative serves not only as a technological expansion but also as a strategic move to counter rivals and solidify its market position.
- Positive Stock Reaction: Following the announcement of this new AI strategy, Amazon's stock rose over 2%, reflecting market optimism regarding its future growth potential and further boosting investor confidence.
- Technology Licensing Strategy: Amazon is licensing its internally developed AI shopping technology to other retailers, enabling them to launch customized shopping tools in as little as 60 days, thereby enhancing Amazon's technological influence in the retail sector.
- Customer Engagement: Amazon has signed a partnership with Tapestry-owned luxury brand Kate Spade to utilize the service for launching a gifting assistant, demonstrating market demand and application potential for its technology.
- Competitive Market Landscape: In the AI shopping space, Amazon faces challenges from competitors like OpenAI and Google, which are also rolling out shopping-related AI tools, although some initiatives have stumbled due to technical issues, highlighting market uncertainties.
- Retailer Autonomy: Amazon encourages retailers to develop their own AI tools, emphasizing their deep understanding of products and customers, which allows them to maintain control over the shopping experience and enhances their competitive edge in the market.











