Monarch Casino Q4 Earnings Report Analysis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4d ago
0mins
Should l Buy MCRI?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Performance: Monarch Casino & Resort reported a GAAP EPS of $1.25 for Q4, missing expectations by $0.12, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $140 million in Q4, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.61 million, demonstrating resilience in a competitive market.
- Valuation Analysis: Despite revenue growth, analysts suggest that Monarch Casino's valuation is nearly fair, indicating limited upside potential for future stock price appreciation, which may affect long-term investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may dampen market confidence in the company's future performance, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent strategic adjustments and market developments.
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Analyst Views on MCRI
Wall Street analysts forecast MCRI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MCRI is 100.00 USD with a low forecast of 91.00 USD and a high forecast of 112.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 98.870
Low
91.00
Averages
100.00
High
112.00
Current: 98.870
Low
91.00
Averages
100.00
High
112.00
About MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. owns and operates the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk (Monarch Black Hawk) in Black Hawk, Colorado, and the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa (Atlantis), a hotel/casino facility in Reno, Nevada. The Monarch Black Hawk features approximately 60,000 square feet of casino space; approximately 1,000 slot machines; approximately 43 table games; a live poker room; a keno counter and a sports book. The resort also includes 10 bars and lounges. The Atlantis is located approximately three miles south of downtown, which features approximately 61,000 square feet of casino space; 817 guest rooms and suites; eight food outlets; two gourmet coffee and pastry bars and one snack bar; a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon with an enclosed year-round pool. In addition, it owns separate parcels of land located next to the Atlantis and a parcel of land with an industrial warehouse located between Denver, Colorado, and Monarch Black Hawk.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Monarch Casino Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.27% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially appealing to investors seeking stable returns.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 16, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also set for March 2, ensuring shareholders receive their earnings promptly.
- Financial Health: The dividend distribution aligns with Monarch's historical earnings data, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain shareholder returns and enhancing market confidence in its future performance.
See More
Monarch Casino Q4 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Monarch Casino & Resort reported a GAAP EPS of $1.25 for Q4, missing expectations by $0.12, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $140 million in Q4, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.61 million, demonstrating resilience in a competitive market.
- Valuation Analysis: Despite revenue growth, analysts suggest that Monarch Casino's valuation is nearly fair, indicating limited upside potential for future stock price appreciation, which may affect long-term investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may dampen market confidence in the company's future performance, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent strategic adjustments and market developments.
See More
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) Stock Oversold with RSI at 28.2
- Oversold Signal: Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has an RSI of 28.2, indicating it is in oversold territory below the 30 threshold, suggesting that the recent heavy selling may be nearing exhaustion and providing potential buying opportunities for investors.
- Dividend Yield: With a recent share price of $90.33, MCRI's annualized dividend of $1.2 translates to an annual yield of 1.33%, making it attractive for income-seeking investors, especially in light of the declining stock price.
- Market Comparison: MCRI's RSI is significantly lower than the average RSI of 55.8 for dividend stocks covered by Dividend Channel, indicating that its stock price may be undervalued and could attract more value investors.
- Investor Strategy: Given the current oversold condition, investors should examine MCRI's dividend history to assess the sustainability of future dividends, enabling more informed investment decisions.
See More
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Growth Thesis Highlights Operational Excellence and Market Positioning
- Operational Model Advantage: Monarch Casino enhances customer experience through its 'play, stay, and service' model, integrating full-service casinos, upscale hotels, and diverse dining options to attract new visitors and foster loyalty.
- Strong Financial Performance: As of January 13, MCRI's share price stood at $91.99, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 21.05 and 15.41 respectively, indicating solid profitability and growth potential.
- Continuous Investment Strategy: The company’s ongoing reinvestment in slot products, hotel upgrades, and dining enhancements drives organic growth and reinforces its competitive edge, ensuring optimized pricing during varying demand periods.
- Market Diversification: MCRI's two complementary properties in Nevada and Colorado balance destination resort appeal with high-frequency customer traffic, enhancing the diversity of its customer base.
See More
Monarch Casino & Resort Achieves 23% ROCE, Outperforming Industry Average
- Significant ROCE Improvement: Monarch Casino & Resort has achieved a Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 23%, significantly exceeding the hospitality industry average of 11%, indicating enhanced efficiency in capital utilization that may attract more investor interest.
- Growing Return Trend: Over the past five years, while capital employed has remained relatively flat, ROCE has surged by 516%, demonstrating that the company is beginning to reap the benefits of its past investments, thereby enhancing its potential for future growth.
- Substantial Shareholder Returns: The company has delivered a remarkable 71% return to shareholders over the last five years, reflecting not only improved profitability but also increased market confidence in its future performance.
- Future Investment Potential: Despite the impressive current ROCE, the lack of significant growth in capital employed may suggest limited internal investment opportunities ahead, necessitating close attention to how the company balances efficiency with growth prospects.
See More
Peter Lynch's Top Consumer Discretionary Stocks from Validea - November 25, 2025
Top Rated Consumer Discretionary Stocks: The article highlights top-rated Consumer Discretionary stocks according to Validea's P/E/Growth Investor model, which is based on Peter Lynch's investment strategy focusing on reasonable pricing relative to earnings growth and strong balance sheets.
Lululemon Athletica Inc: Lululemon is rated 93% based on its fundamentals and valuation, indicating strong interest, and operates in the technical athletic apparel market across various global regions.
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc: Rated 91%, Dick's Sporting Goods is an omni-channel retailer with a diverse product range and operates over 3,200 stores globally, reflecting strong fundamentals and valuation.
NVR Inc and Monarch Casino & Resort Inc: Both companies are rated 91%, with NVR engaged in homebuilding and mortgage banking, while Monarch operates casinos and resorts, showcasing strong fundamentals in their respective industries.
See More
Monarch Casino Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.27% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially appealing to investors seeking stable returns.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 16, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also set for March 2, ensuring shareholders receive their earnings promptly.
- Financial Health: The dividend distribution aligns with Monarch's historical earnings data, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain shareholder returns and enhancing market confidence in its future performance.
See More
Monarch Casino Q4 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Monarch Casino & Resort reported a GAAP EPS of $1.25 for Q4, missing expectations by $0.12, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $140 million in Q4, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.61 million, demonstrating resilience in a competitive market.
- Valuation Analysis: Despite revenue growth, analysts suggest that Monarch Casino's valuation is nearly fair, indicating limited upside potential for future stock price appreciation, which may affect long-term investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may dampen market confidence in the company's future performance, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent strategic adjustments and market developments.
See More
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) Stock Oversold with RSI at 28.2
- Oversold Signal: Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has an RSI of 28.2, indicating it is in oversold territory below the 30 threshold, suggesting that the recent heavy selling may be nearing exhaustion and providing potential buying opportunities for investors.
- Dividend Yield: With a recent share price of $90.33, MCRI's annualized dividend of $1.2 translates to an annual yield of 1.33%, making it attractive for income-seeking investors, especially in light of the declining stock price.
- Market Comparison: MCRI's RSI is significantly lower than the average RSI of 55.8 for dividend stocks covered by Dividend Channel, indicating that its stock price may be undervalued and could attract more value investors.
- Investor Strategy: Given the current oversold condition, investors should examine MCRI's dividend history to assess the sustainability of future dividends, enabling more informed investment decisions.
See More
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Growth Thesis Highlights Operational Excellence and Market Positioning
- Operational Model Advantage: Monarch Casino enhances customer experience through its 'play, stay, and service' model, integrating full-service casinos, upscale hotels, and diverse dining options to attract new visitors and foster loyalty.
- Strong Financial Performance: As of January 13, MCRI's share price stood at $91.99, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 21.05 and 15.41 respectively, indicating solid profitability and growth potential.
- Continuous Investment Strategy: The company’s ongoing reinvestment in slot products, hotel upgrades, and dining enhancements drives organic growth and reinforces its competitive edge, ensuring optimized pricing during varying demand periods.
- Market Diversification: MCRI's two complementary properties in Nevada and Colorado balance destination resort appeal with high-frequency customer traffic, enhancing the diversity of its customer base.
See More
Monarch Casino & Resort Achieves 23% ROCE, Outperforming Industry Average
- Significant ROCE Improvement: Monarch Casino & Resort has achieved a Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 23%, significantly exceeding the hospitality industry average of 11%, indicating enhanced efficiency in capital utilization that may attract more investor interest.
- Growing Return Trend: Over the past five years, while capital employed has remained relatively flat, ROCE has surged by 516%, demonstrating that the company is beginning to reap the benefits of its past investments, thereby enhancing its potential for future growth.
- Substantial Shareholder Returns: The company has delivered a remarkable 71% return to shareholders over the last five years, reflecting not only improved profitability but also increased market confidence in its future performance.
- Future Investment Potential: Despite the impressive current ROCE, the lack of significant growth in capital employed may suggest limited internal investment opportunities ahead, necessitating close attention to how the company balances efficiency with growth prospects.
See More
Peter Lynch's Top Consumer Discretionary Stocks from Validea - November 25, 2025
Top Rated Consumer Discretionary Stocks: The article highlights top-rated Consumer Discretionary stocks according to Validea's P/E/Growth Investor model, which is based on Peter Lynch's investment strategy focusing on reasonable pricing relative to earnings growth and strong balance sheets.
Lululemon Athletica Inc: Lululemon is rated 93% based on its fundamentals and valuation, indicating strong interest, and operates in the technical athletic apparel market across various global regions.
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc: Rated 91%, Dick's Sporting Goods is an omni-channel retailer with a diverse product range and operates over 3,200 stores globally, reflecting strong fundamentals and valuation.
NVR Inc and Monarch Casino & Resort Inc: Both companies are rated 91%, with NVR engaged in homebuilding and mortgage banking, while Monarch operates casinos and resorts, showcasing strong fundamentals in their respective industries.
See More
