Modine Manufacturing Company Q3 2026 Earnings Call Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy MOD?
Source: seekingalpha
- Spin-Off Announcement: Modine plans to spin off its Performance Technologies segment, merging it with Gentherm, which will yield approximately $210 million in cash and grant shareholders a 40% stake in the new entity, valuing the Performance Technologies business at $1 billion, reflecting a 6.8x multiple on the trailing 12-month EBITDA.
- Climate Solutions Surge: The Climate Solutions segment reported a 51% revenue increase, driven by a 78% surge in data center sales, contributing an additional $130 million, indicating strong demand fulfillment capabilities and solid market confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expects to exceed $1 billion in data center sales for the current fiscal year and reach $2 billion by fiscal 2028, projecting a 50%-70% annual growth rate in data center revenue over the next two years, showcasing robust confidence in customer demand.
- Improved Financial Performance: Third-quarter sales rose by 31%, gross profit increased by 24%, and adjusted EBITDA improved by 37%, with expectations of adjusted EBITDA between $455 million and $475 million, despite a negative free cash flow of $17 million primarily due to inventory builds and higher CapEx.
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Analyst Views on MOD
Wall Street analysts forecast MOD stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MOD is 186.60 USD with a low forecast of 173.00 USD and a high forecast of 200.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 205.320
Low
173.00
Averages
186.60
High
200.00
Current: 205.320
Low
173.00
Averages
186.60
High
200.00
About MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company is a provider of thermal management technology and solutions. It is engaged in designing, engineering, testing, and manufacturing mission-critical thermal solutions. Its segment includes Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies. The Climate Solutions segment provides energy-efficient, climate-controlled solutions and components. The Climate Solutions segment provides cooling solutions for data centers that help save water and energy through intelligent controls. The Climate Solutions segment also provides heat exchangers for heating, ventilating, air conditioning and refrigeration applications and anti-corrosive coatings. The Performance Technologies segment provides products and solutions that enhance the performance of customer applications and develops solutions that provide mission-critical energy for a variety of end-market applications. It also designs and manufactures products and solutions using air-cooled and liquid-cooled technology.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
MODINE MANUFACTURING CO.: OPPENHEIMER INCREASES TARGET PRICE FROM $220 TO $240
Company Announcement: Modine Manufacturing Co. has announced an increase in its target price.
New Target Price: The target price has been raised to $240 from the previous $220.
See More
Modine Manufacturing Company Q3 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Spin-Off Announcement: Modine plans to spin off its Performance Technologies segment, merging it with Gentherm, which will yield approximately $210 million in cash and grant shareholders a 40% stake in the new entity, valuing the Performance Technologies business at $1 billion, reflecting a 6.8x multiple on the trailing 12-month EBITDA.
- Climate Solutions Surge: The Climate Solutions segment reported a 51% revenue increase, driven by a 78% surge in data center sales, contributing an additional $130 million, indicating strong demand fulfillment capabilities and solid market confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expects to exceed $1 billion in data center sales for the current fiscal year and reach $2 billion by fiscal 2028, projecting a 50%-70% annual growth rate in data center revenue over the next two years, showcasing robust confidence in customer demand.
- Improved Financial Performance: Third-quarter sales rose by 31%, gross profit increased by 24%, and adjusted EBITDA improved by 37%, with expectations of adjusted EBITDA between $455 million and $475 million, despite a negative free cash flow of $17 million primarily due to inventory builds and higher CapEx.
See More
Modine Reports 51% Revenue Growth in Climate Solutions Segment
- Significant Revenue Growth: Modine achieved a 51% revenue growth in its Climate Solutions segment, with third-quarter net sales reaching $805 million, a 31% increase from $616.8 million last year, indicating strong market demand and effective capacity expansion.
- Surge in Data Center Sales: Sales of data center products surged by 78%, driving a 21% organic sales growth, demonstrating the company's advantageous position in the rapidly growing data center market, with expectations for continued robust growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA Improvement: Adjusted EBITDA reached $119.6 million, a 37% year-over-year increase, reflecting the company's effective cost control alongside revenue growth, thereby enhancing profitability and solidifying its competitive edge in the market.
- Optimistic Outlook: Based on strong performance, Modine raised its fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook, expecting data center business to grow over 70% year-over-year, laying a solid foundation for achieving its $2 billion revenue target for fiscal year 2028.
See More
Modine Sells Performance Tech to Gentherm for ~$1B, Stock Surges
- Transaction Size: Modine announced the sale of its performance technologies business to Gentherm for approximately $1 billion, representing a valuation of about 6.8 times the adjusted EBITDA for 2025, indicating strong market recognition of its assets.
- Shareholder Benefits: Before the transaction closes, Modine is set to receive a cash distribution of $210 million, while shareholders will receive around 21 million shares of newly issued Gentherm common stock, allowing them to hold approximately 40% of the combined company, enhancing long-term shareholder value.
- Synergy Potential: The combined company is projected to have revenue of $2.6 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13%, with expected annual synergies of $25 million through cost optimization and operational efficiencies, significantly improving overall financial performance.
- Strategic Implications: Analysts view this transaction as a positive strategic move; while the sale of the entire engine business was unexpected, it does not negatively impact Modine's long-term prospects and may strengthen its focus on climate solutions.
See More
Modine and Gentherm Merger Overview
- Cash Distribution Expectation: Modine is expected to receive a cash distribution of approximately $210 million from the spun-off unit before the transaction closes, which will enhance its financial flexibility for future business developments.
- Shareholder Structure Change: After the transaction, Modine shareholders will own about 40% of the new combined company, while Gentherm shareholders will hold the remaining 60%, allowing Modine to maintain a significant market presence post-merger.
- Strategic Focus Shift: Following the spin-off of the Performance Technologies division, Modine will concentrate solely on its Climate Solutions segment, particularly targeting the rapidly growing markets of data center cooling and commercial HVAC & refrigeration.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the merger announcement, Modine's stock surged over 17% in early trading on Thursday, reflecting investor optimism about the merger's prospects, with retail sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating strong confidence in future growth.
See More
Modine Manufacturing Shares Rise 13% in Premarket Trading Following Merger Announcement with Gentherm
Market Performance: Shares of Modine Manufacturing have increased by 13% in pre-market trading.
Corporate Development: This rise follows the announcement of Modine's merger with Gentherm.
See More
MODINE MANUFACTURING CO.: OPPENHEIMER INCREASES TARGET PRICE FROM $220 TO $240
Company Announcement: Modine Manufacturing Co. has announced an increase in its target price.
New Target Price: The target price has been raised to $240 from the previous $220.
See More
Modine Manufacturing Company Q3 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Spin-Off Announcement: Modine plans to spin off its Performance Technologies segment, merging it with Gentherm, which will yield approximately $210 million in cash and grant shareholders a 40% stake in the new entity, valuing the Performance Technologies business at $1 billion, reflecting a 6.8x multiple on the trailing 12-month EBITDA.
- Climate Solutions Surge: The Climate Solutions segment reported a 51% revenue increase, driven by a 78% surge in data center sales, contributing an additional $130 million, indicating strong demand fulfillment capabilities and solid market confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expects to exceed $1 billion in data center sales for the current fiscal year and reach $2 billion by fiscal 2028, projecting a 50%-70% annual growth rate in data center revenue over the next two years, showcasing robust confidence in customer demand.
- Improved Financial Performance: Third-quarter sales rose by 31%, gross profit increased by 24%, and adjusted EBITDA improved by 37%, with expectations of adjusted EBITDA between $455 million and $475 million, despite a negative free cash flow of $17 million primarily due to inventory builds and higher CapEx.
See More
Modine Reports 51% Revenue Growth in Climate Solutions Segment
- Significant Revenue Growth: Modine achieved a 51% revenue growth in its Climate Solutions segment, with third-quarter net sales reaching $805 million, a 31% increase from $616.8 million last year, indicating strong market demand and effective capacity expansion.
- Surge in Data Center Sales: Sales of data center products surged by 78%, driving a 21% organic sales growth, demonstrating the company's advantageous position in the rapidly growing data center market, with expectations for continued robust growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA Improvement: Adjusted EBITDA reached $119.6 million, a 37% year-over-year increase, reflecting the company's effective cost control alongside revenue growth, thereby enhancing profitability and solidifying its competitive edge in the market.
- Optimistic Outlook: Based on strong performance, Modine raised its fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook, expecting data center business to grow over 70% year-over-year, laying a solid foundation for achieving its $2 billion revenue target for fiscal year 2028.
See More
Modine Sells Performance Tech to Gentherm for ~$1B, Stock Surges
- Transaction Size: Modine announced the sale of its performance technologies business to Gentherm for approximately $1 billion, representing a valuation of about 6.8 times the adjusted EBITDA for 2025, indicating strong market recognition of its assets.
- Shareholder Benefits: Before the transaction closes, Modine is set to receive a cash distribution of $210 million, while shareholders will receive around 21 million shares of newly issued Gentherm common stock, allowing them to hold approximately 40% of the combined company, enhancing long-term shareholder value.
- Synergy Potential: The combined company is projected to have revenue of $2.6 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13%, with expected annual synergies of $25 million through cost optimization and operational efficiencies, significantly improving overall financial performance.
- Strategic Implications: Analysts view this transaction as a positive strategic move; while the sale of the entire engine business was unexpected, it does not negatively impact Modine's long-term prospects and may strengthen its focus on climate solutions.
See More
Modine and Gentherm Merger Overview
- Cash Distribution Expectation: Modine is expected to receive a cash distribution of approximately $210 million from the spun-off unit before the transaction closes, which will enhance its financial flexibility for future business developments.
- Shareholder Structure Change: After the transaction, Modine shareholders will own about 40% of the new combined company, while Gentherm shareholders will hold the remaining 60%, allowing Modine to maintain a significant market presence post-merger.
- Strategic Focus Shift: Following the spin-off of the Performance Technologies division, Modine will concentrate solely on its Climate Solutions segment, particularly targeting the rapidly growing markets of data center cooling and commercial HVAC & refrigeration.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the merger announcement, Modine's stock surged over 17% in early trading on Thursday, reflecting investor optimism about the merger's prospects, with retail sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating strong confidence in future growth.
See More
Modine Manufacturing Shares Rise 13% in Premarket Trading Following Merger Announcement with Gentherm
Market Performance: Shares of Modine Manufacturing have increased by 13% in pre-market trading.
Corporate Development: This rise follows the announcement of Modine's merger with Gentherm.
See More
