MODERNA Q1 EPS at USD -3.4, Beating IBES Estimate of USD -3.96
Moderna's Q1 EPS: Moderna reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $3.4 for the first quarter.
Comparison with Estimates: This EPS figure was higher than the estimated EPS of $3.96 by analysts.
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Moderna's Q1 Revenue: Moderna reported a revenue of USD 400 million for the first quarter.
Comparison with Estimates: This revenue figure significantly exceeds analysts' estimates, which were around USD 228 million.
- Earnings Report Outlook: Moderna is set to report its Q1 earnings on May 1 before market open, with investors looking for signs of revenue stabilization after a prolonged post-COVID downturn.
- Revenue and Loss Status: The company has faced a 90% revenue decline since 2022, with persistent cash burn exceeding $2 billion annually and no near-term path to profitability, indicating a fragile financial situation.
- Analyst Expectation Volatility: The consensus estimate calls for an EPS loss of -$3.96 on revenue of $236.36 million, with 4 upward revisions in revenue estimates but limited analyst confidence reflecting caution regarding the company's transition.
- Future Prospects and Challenges: While the company shows long-term potential in developing next-generation mRNA vaccines and therapeutics, short-term revenue remains heavily reliant on declining COVID sales, with significant clinical milestones not expected until late 2026.

Moderna's Next Steps: Moderna executives are awaiting guidance from the FDA regarding the next steps for resuming the filing process for their flu-COVID combination vaccine.
Focus on Combination Vaccine: The company is particularly focused on advancing its flu-COVID combination vaccine, which aims to address both illnesses in a single shot.
- Revenue Growth Target: Moderna is targeting a 10% increase in revenue for FY 2026 compared to 2025, with an expected 50% sales split between U.S. and international markets.
- Q1 Performance Exceeds Expectations: In Q1 of FY 2026, Moderna reported net product sales of $389 million, significantly surpassing the Street's estimate of $235.5 million, indicating a strong rebound in COVID vaccine demand.
- Vaccine Review Progress: The U.S. FDA reversed its initial rejection and agreed to review Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine in February, a shift that may reflect changes in regulatory policies and impact the company's future market strategies.
- Market Reaction: Despite retail investor sentiment shifting from 'extremely bearish' to 'bearish', Moderna's shares rose nearly 6% in pre-market trading on Friday, reflecting a positive market response to its Q1 earnings report.
- Revenue Surge: Atlassian's third-quarter revenue rose 32% year-over-year, leading to a 25% jump in pre-market trading, and despite restructuring costs impacting profitability, non-GAAP earnings per share soared by 80%, reflecting strong demand for AI services.
- Cloud Transition: CFO James Chuong cautioned that the shift of customers to cloud services would result in a more muted level of data center expansion, with expectations for moderated revenue growth in Q4, which could impact future market performance.
- Product Advantage: Analyst Meilin Quinn noted that while workflows may be taken over by agents, there remains a need for trusted company knowledge and systems, providing Atlassian with a stronger foothold in engineering processes and enhancing its competitive edge.
- Market Reaction: Major stock indexes hit new highs amid continued growth in AI spending, with the S&P 500 closing above 7,200 points for the first time, reflecting strong market confidence in tech stocks and further boosting Atlassian's stock performance.









