Microsoft's Commercial Remaining Performance Obligations Reach $625 Billion
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 15 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- RPO Growth: Microsoft's commercial remaining performance obligations (RPOs) surged 110% year-over-year to $625 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, indicating strong market demand; however, 45% of this backlog is concentrated with a single customer, OpenAI, which raises significant concentration risk.
- Revenue Growth vs. Risks: Despite the substantial increase in RPOs, Microsoft's cloud services revenue grew only 38% in fiscal Q2, down from 39% in the previous quarter, suggesting challenges in sustaining revenue growth amid fierce competition.
- Soaring Capital Expenditures: The company reported capital expenditures of $37.5 billion in fiscal Q2, a 66% year-over-year increase, as it aggressively invests to support its large commercial backlog, but heavy reliance on OpenAI could jeopardize future revenue stability.
- Intensifying Competitive Pressure: With increasing competition from Amazon and Alphabet, Microsoft's market share may be at risk, particularly as a new generation of executives who favor Google products rises, potentially undermining Microsoft's competitive advantage.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MSFT?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MSFT
Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
32 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 426.990
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
Current: 426.990
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company. The Company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The Company’s segments include Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services. This segment primarily comprises: Office Commercial, Office Consumer, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business solutions. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of server products and cloud services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses (CALs), and Nuance and GitHub; and Enterprise Services, including enterprise support services, industry solutions and Nuance professional services. The More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows, Devices, Gaming, and search and news advertising.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Microsoft Stock Investment Opportunity Arises
- Historically Cheap: Microsoft stock is currently trading at around 24 times earnings, significantly lower than its historical average over the past decade, making it an attractive investment opportunity, especially after the bear market of 2022, which has drawn investor interest.
- New Agreement with OpenAI: Microsoft is set to benefit from its new agreement with OpenAI in the next fiscal quarter, with projected income rising to $6 billion from the previously anticipated $4 billion, alleviating investor concerns about cash flow while reducing overall exposure to OpenAI.
- Launch of E7 Platform: On May 1, Microsoft launched Microsoft 365 E7 at $99 per user per month, expected to boost revenue by 2.4% to 2.5%, integrating various products and enhancing enterprise management of AI agents, which could lead to significant revenue increases.
- Analyst Optimism: With 95% of analysts rating Microsoft as a buy and a median 12-month price target of $550, approximately 30% above its current price, there is strong market confidence in Microsoft's growth potential moving forward.
See More
Earnings Reports and Tech Conferences This Week
- Earnings Reports: This week, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Broadcom are set to report earnings, with Palo Alto expected to post $0.80 per share on $2.94 billion in revenue, while CrowdStrike is projected to report $1.07 per share on $1.36 billion, highlighting strong market interest in cybersecurity.
- AI-Driven Market Rebound: As AI technology becomes more prevalent, both Palo Alto and CrowdStrike have seen their stock prices rebound to all-time highs, and despite facing high valuation pressures, market expectations for their future performance remain optimistic, making management's outlook a key focus for investors.
- Tech Conference Highlights: Nvidia, Arm, and Microsoft will discuss AI-related topics at tech conferences this week, with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang scheduled to deliver a keynote on Monday, where he is expected to unveil a new product, potentially personal computers powered by its GPUs, further boosting its market share.
- Labor Market Data: The JOLTS report will be released this week, with expectations of 120,000 new private sector jobs added in May and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%, reflecting economic resilience, and investors will closely monitor these figures for their potential impact on inflation and monetary policy.
See More
S&P 500 Future Outlook and Performance Insights
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 has achieved an annual return of 9.3% excluding dividends, while the total return including dividends reached 768%, demonstrating its strong position as a benchmark for the U.S. stock market.
- Future Growth Expectations: Wall Street analysts project a 25% increase in earnings for S&P 500 companies in 2026, up from 14% in 2025, primarily driven by robust spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure and corporate tax breaks.
- Market Risk Factors: While strong earnings growth is expected to drive the S&P 500 higher, economic uncertainties stemming from the Iran conflict and potential interest rate hikes could negatively impact the stock market, necessitating cautious investor strategies.
- Investment Recommendations: When considering investments in the S&P 500 index, investors should also explore other potential stocks, as the Motley Fool analyst team has identified 10 stocks that could yield significant returns in the coming years, highlighting diverse investment opportunities in the market.
See More
Micron Technology Thrives Amid AI Growth Surge
- Market Value Milestone: Micron Technology has achieved a market value exceeding $1 trillion, joining the ranks of major tech giants, which reflects strong investor confidence in its role in the AI sector and has driven the stock price higher, attracting more investments.
- Revenue Surge: In its latest earnings report, Micron reported a nearly 200% year-over-year revenue increase, surpassing $23 billion, setting a record that underscores the skyrocketing demand for its memory and storage products in AI applications, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Future Growth Potential: With the rise of Agentic AI, the demand for memory is expected to increase even further, providing Micron with substantial growth opportunities, particularly as AI agents require deeper reasoning and collaboration, making its products increasingly vital.
- Supply Chain Challenges: Despite strong demand, Micron faces supply constraints, currently able to meet only 50% to 66% of key customer needs, necessitating careful management of its supply chain while expanding production capacity to sustain ongoing growth.
See More
S&P 500 Index Outlook for the Future
- Historical Performance: Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 has delivered an annual return of 9.3% excluding dividends, underscoring its reliability as a benchmark for the U.S. stock market.
- Component Changes: In April 2026, Veeva Systems replaced Coterra Energy in the S&P 500 following its acquisition by Devon Energy, illustrating the impact of market dynamics and M&A activity on index composition.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Wall Street analysts project a 25% increase in S&P 500 company earnings for 2026, driven by robust spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure and corporate tax breaks, indicating strong growth potential.
- Economic Uncertainty: While analysts are optimistic about the S&P 500's future performance, the economic uncertainty stemming from the Iran conflict and potential interest rate hikes could negatively impact the stock market, prompting investors to proceed with caution.
See More
Micron Technology Surpasses $1 Trillion Market Cap
- Market Value Surge: Micron Technology's market cap has just surpassed $1 trillion, making it one of the few tech giants to achieve this milestone, reflecting strong investor confidence in its growth potential within the AI sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In its latest earnings report, Micron's revenue surged nearly 200% year-over-year to over $23 billion, setting new records in revenue, gross margin, and earnings per share, indicating robust demand and profitability in the memory market.
- Rising Memory Demand: As AI technologies continue to evolve, the demand for memory is expected to increase further, particularly in the application of agentic AI, providing Micron with ongoing growth opportunities and solidifying its market position.
- Supply Chain Challenges: Despite strong demand, Micron's primary challenge lies in supply constraints, currently only able to meet 50% to 66% of key customer needs, necessitating effective supply chain management to sustain growth momentum.
See More
Microsoft Stock Investment Opportunity Arises
- Historically Cheap: Microsoft stock is currently trading at around 24 times earnings, significantly lower than its historical average over the past decade, making it an attractive investment opportunity, especially after the bear market of 2022, which has drawn investor interest.
- New Agreement with OpenAI: Microsoft is set to benefit from its new agreement with OpenAI in the next fiscal quarter, with projected income rising to $6 billion from the previously anticipated $4 billion, alleviating investor concerns about cash flow while reducing overall exposure to OpenAI.
- Launch of E7 Platform: On May 1, Microsoft launched Microsoft 365 E7 at $99 per user per month, expected to boost revenue by 2.4% to 2.5%, integrating various products and enhancing enterprise management of AI agents, which could lead to significant revenue increases.
- Analyst Optimism: With 95% of analysts rating Microsoft as a buy and a median 12-month price target of $550, approximately 30% above its current price, there is strong market confidence in Microsoft's growth potential moving forward.
See More
Earnings Reports and Tech Conferences This Week
- Earnings Reports: This week, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Broadcom are set to report earnings, with Palo Alto expected to post $0.80 per share on $2.94 billion in revenue, while CrowdStrike is projected to report $1.07 per share on $1.36 billion, highlighting strong market interest in cybersecurity.
- AI-Driven Market Rebound: As AI technology becomes more prevalent, both Palo Alto and CrowdStrike have seen their stock prices rebound to all-time highs, and despite facing high valuation pressures, market expectations for their future performance remain optimistic, making management's outlook a key focus for investors.
- Tech Conference Highlights: Nvidia, Arm, and Microsoft will discuss AI-related topics at tech conferences this week, with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang scheduled to deliver a keynote on Monday, where he is expected to unveil a new product, potentially personal computers powered by its GPUs, further boosting its market share.
- Labor Market Data: The JOLTS report will be released this week, with expectations of 120,000 new private sector jobs added in May and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%, reflecting economic resilience, and investors will closely monitor these figures for their potential impact on inflation and monetary policy.
See More
S&P 500 Future Outlook and Performance Insights
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 has achieved an annual return of 9.3% excluding dividends, while the total return including dividends reached 768%, demonstrating its strong position as a benchmark for the U.S. stock market.
- Future Growth Expectations: Wall Street analysts project a 25% increase in earnings for S&P 500 companies in 2026, up from 14% in 2025, primarily driven by robust spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure and corporate tax breaks.
- Market Risk Factors: While strong earnings growth is expected to drive the S&P 500 higher, economic uncertainties stemming from the Iran conflict and potential interest rate hikes could negatively impact the stock market, necessitating cautious investor strategies.
- Investment Recommendations: When considering investments in the S&P 500 index, investors should also explore other potential stocks, as the Motley Fool analyst team has identified 10 stocks that could yield significant returns in the coming years, highlighting diverse investment opportunities in the market.
See More
Micron Technology Thrives Amid AI Growth Surge
- Market Value Milestone: Micron Technology has achieved a market value exceeding $1 trillion, joining the ranks of major tech giants, which reflects strong investor confidence in its role in the AI sector and has driven the stock price higher, attracting more investments.
- Revenue Surge: In its latest earnings report, Micron reported a nearly 200% year-over-year revenue increase, surpassing $23 billion, setting a record that underscores the skyrocketing demand for its memory and storage products in AI applications, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Future Growth Potential: With the rise of Agentic AI, the demand for memory is expected to increase even further, providing Micron with substantial growth opportunities, particularly as AI agents require deeper reasoning and collaboration, making its products increasingly vital.
- Supply Chain Challenges: Despite strong demand, Micron faces supply constraints, currently able to meet only 50% to 66% of key customer needs, necessitating careful management of its supply chain while expanding production capacity to sustain ongoing growth.
See More
S&P 500 Index Outlook for the Future
- Historical Performance: Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 has delivered an annual return of 9.3% excluding dividends, underscoring its reliability as a benchmark for the U.S. stock market.
- Component Changes: In April 2026, Veeva Systems replaced Coterra Energy in the S&P 500 following its acquisition by Devon Energy, illustrating the impact of market dynamics and M&A activity on index composition.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Wall Street analysts project a 25% increase in S&P 500 company earnings for 2026, driven by robust spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure and corporate tax breaks, indicating strong growth potential.
- Economic Uncertainty: While analysts are optimistic about the S&P 500's future performance, the economic uncertainty stemming from the Iran conflict and potential interest rate hikes could negatively impact the stock market, prompting investors to proceed with caution.
See More
Micron Technology Surpasses $1 Trillion Market Cap
- Market Value Surge: Micron Technology's market cap has just surpassed $1 trillion, making it one of the few tech giants to achieve this milestone, reflecting strong investor confidence in its growth potential within the AI sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In its latest earnings report, Micron's revenue surged nearly 200% year-over-year to over $23 billion, setting new records in revenue, gross margin, and earnings per share, indicating robust demand and profitability in the memory market.
- Rising Memory Demand: As AI technologies continue to evolve, the demand for memory is expected to increase further, particularly in the application of agentic AI, providing Micron with ongoing growth opportunities and solidifying its market position.
- Supply Chain Challenges: Despite strong demand, Micron's primary challenge lies in supply constraints, currently only able to meet 50% to 66% of key customer needs, necessitating effective supply chain management to sustain growth momentum.
See More
