Meta and IBM Shares Rise 7% After Earnings
US equity futures are mixed in the opening hour of the evening session as markets digest corporate earnings out of Big Tech - Metaand IBMare faring the best out of high-profile names, both gaining 7% afterhours, while Microsoftis slipping despite topping estimates following in-line guide given on the earnings call. Teslawas up mid-single-digits on earnings, though shares had pared some gains afterhours as the company indicated that 2026 capex would dwarf last year, calling 2026 a "new book" rather than a "new chapter" for the company. Dow Industrials futures are down 0.3%, S&P e-minis are off by 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures are slipping by 0.1%.Precious metals continue to soar in the wake of US Dollar weakness sustained further by the FOMC decision featuring two dovish dissenters. Gold is now above $5,500 while Silver trades north of $118 per ounce. Energy is also waking up to the rally in commodities as WTI Crude Oil tops $63 per barrel - the highest level since September.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS -Deluxeup 10.9%IBMup 7.6%Metaup 7.3%C.H. Robinson Worldwideup 6.9%Lam Researchup 6.0%Viavi Solutionsup 5.1%Tetra Techup 4.5%Hexcelup 3.0%CONMEDup 2.6%Teslaup 1.2%DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Las Vegas Sandsdown 9.9%Whirlpooldown 8.5%LendingClubdown 7.7%Microsoftdown 6.3%ServiceNowdown 6.3%Calixdown 2.2%Cimpress plcdown 1.6%ALSO LOWER -Comstockdown 13.0% after equity offeringJoby Aviationdown 11.1% after $1B convertible debt / common stock offering
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Analyst Views on IBM
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- Earnings Announcement: IBM is set to announce its earnings this Wednesday after market close, with the market expecting an 8% year-on-year revenue growth, indicating a recovery from last year's flat revenue and showcasing the company's potential in the tech services sector.
- Performance Beat: Last quarter, IBM reported revenues of $19.69 billion, up 12.1% year-on-year, exceeding analyst expectations and also showing strong performance in earnings per share, reflecting the company's competitiveness in the market.
- Positive Market Sentiment: In the IT services and other tech segments, investor sentiment has been optimistic, with related stocks rising an average of 10.8% over the past month, while IBM's stock has also increased by 2.5%, indicating market confidence in its future performance.
- Stable Analyst Expectations: Despite IBM missing Wall Street's revenue estimates multiple times over the past two years, analysts have generally reaffirmed their expectations over the last 30 days, suggesting a cautiously optimistic outlook for the company's upcoming earnings report.
- Earnings Performance: United Airlines reported solid earnings on Tuesday afternoon, yet lowered its guidance partly due to high jet fuel prices, indicating cost pressures impacting profitability.
- Stock Fluctuations: The stock ticked up slightly after hours, but remains 19% below its January high, although it has risen 12% over the past month, reflecting market confidence in its short-term performance.
- Industry Dynamics: Boeing's shares have dropped 12% in the last three months and are 14% off their 52-week high, highlighting concerns in the aerospace manufacturing sector.
- Dividend Yield: AT&T offers a quarterly dividend of 28 cents per share, yielding 4.29%, and despite a 13% decline since its September peak, it continues to attract some investor interest.
- Executive Transition: Apple has announced that hardware chief John Ternus will take over as CEO on September 1, succeeding Tim Cook, indicating a significant leadership change that may impact the company's strategic direction.
- Chip Strategy Enhancement: Johny Srouji has been appointed as Chief Hardware Engineer, overseeing the development of Apple's in-house chips, signaling the company's commitment to reducing reliance on external suppliers and strengthening its autonomy in chip design.
- AI Capability Boost: Apple's chip team has scaled to thousands of engineers focused on enhancing AI performance on devices, which is expected to further solidify its competitive edge in the smart device market.
- Supply Chain Localization: Apple has committed to a $600 billion investment in the U.S. to establish an end-to-end silicon supply chain, reflecting its emphasis on American manufacturing while potentially enhancing supply chain stability in the global market.
- Executive Appointments: Apple has appointed Johny Srouji as Chief Hardware Officer while naming John Ternus as the new CEO, marking a significant step in the company's push towards in-house chip development, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the market.
- Chip Autonomy Strategy: Srouji's new role underscores Apple's commitment to in-house chip design, reducing reliance on external suppliers, particularly in the AI sector, which is anticipated to improve product performance and user experience.
- Global Engineering Team Expansion: Apple's chip team has scaled to thousands of engineers across multiple countries, including Israel, Germany, and the U.S., demonstrating its capability and resource integration in global R&D efforts.
- Future Development Direction: Apple plans to continue investing in domestic chip production over the next few years, which is expected to drive innovation in AI and other high-tech fields, further solidifying its market position.
- Earnings Announcement: IBM is set to release its Q1 earnings on April 22 after market close, with analysts largely optimistic about performance, particularly due to the earlier-than-expected completion of the Confluent acquisition.
- Performance Expectations: Jefferies analysts predict an EPS of $1.81 (+13.1% Y/Y) and revenue of $15.65B (+7.6% Y/Y) for Q1, indicating strong performance in infrastructure and software sectors.
- Market Reaction and Stock Volatility: Despite a 13.5% drop in IBM's stock year-to-date, analysts believe growth in automation and transaction processing will drive a rebound, especially as the AI narrative strengthens.
- Investor Focus: Investors will closely watch management's comments on the Confluent acquisition, quantum computing initiatives, and AI infrastructure, as these factors could significantly impact future growth prospects and market confidence.
- Software Growth Outlook: Jefferies analyst Brent Thill anticipates IBM's software business will achieve 11% year-over-year growth in Q1, despite a decline from 14% in Q4, indicating the company is positioned to exceed market expectations after a mixed performance over the past year.
- Early Deal Closure: The earlier-than-expected closure of the CFLT deal (mid-March instead of June) and conservative assumptions for Red Hat (around 10% growth) create room for upward revisions in earnings estimates, showcasing the company's strategic flexibility in execution.
- Infrastructure and Consulting Trends: Analysts note that infrastructure growth is projected at 8% for Q1, down from 21% in Q4, while consulting growth is expected to be 4%, reflecting a normalization of cyclical spending trends, indicating a shift in market demand.
- Free Cash Flow Performance: Overall, IBM's total revenue is expected to grow approximately 7.4% year-over-year in Q1, with a free cash flow margin of about 13% (around $2 billion), providing robust support for future investments and shareholder returns.











