Lowe's Reports Strong Earnings Amid Housing Market Pressure
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 25 2026
0mins
Should l Buy LOW?
Source: Benzinga
- Strong Financial Performance: Lowe's achieved net sales of $20.584 billion in the quarter, reflecting a 10.9% year-over-year increase that surpassed the $20.334 billion analyst estimate, indicating robust demand in the home improvement sector.
- Earnings Per Share Growth: The adjusted diluted EPS rose to $1.98, a 2.6% increase from $1.93 a year earlier, exceeding the analyst estimate of $1.94, showcasing the company's success in cost control and efficiency improvements.
- Macro Environment Challenges: Despite a strong holiday season, CEO Marvin R. Ellison noted that the housing market remains pressured, with high mortgage rates likely to continue impacting existing home sales and new construction.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Lowe's forecasts total sales for fiscal 2026 to be between $92.0 billion and $94.0 billion, below the $93.229 billion analyst estimate, reflecting a cautious stance on future market uncertainties.
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Analyst Views on LOW
Wall Street analysts forecast LOW stock price to rise
22 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 235.980
Low
250.00
Averages
278.27
High
316.00
Current: 235.980
Low
250.00
Averages
278.27
High
316.00
About LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc. is a home improvement company. The Company offers a complete line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating. It offers home improvement products in various categories, including appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, lumber, lawn and garden, kitchens and bath, hardware, building materials, millwork, paint, rough plumbing, tools, electrical, flooring, and decor. It is focused on offering a wide selection of national brand-name merchandise complemented by its selection of private brands. Its services include installed sales and Lowe's Protection Plans and Repair Services. The Company offers installation services through independent contractors in many of its product categories. It offers extended protection plans for certain products within the appliances, kitchens and bath, decor, millwork, rough plumbing, electrical, seasonal and outdoor living, tools, and hardware categories. It operates over 1,700 home improvement stores.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Independent Hardware Stores Struggle Against Giants
- Market Share Competition: According to the Numerator Home Improvement Tracker, Home Depot held 28% of the market share in 2025, Lowe's 17%, and Amazon 11%, collectively dominating 56% of sales, which has put immense pressure on smaller hardware stores.
- Store Closure Case: Do it Best Hardware in Chillicothe, Ohio, announced its permanent closure on April 10, 2026, after 49 years of operation, citing an inability to compete with giants like Lowe's, highlighting the survival challenges faced by small retailers.
- Economic Environment Impact: Home Depot CFO Richard McPhail noted that the housing market has remained sluggish since 2023, significantly reducing demand for home improvement projects, which further exacerbates the operational difficulties for smaller hardware stores.
- Historic Store Closures: Several hardware stores that have operated for over 50 years, including Great Lakes Ace Hardware and Harpeth True Value Home Center, closed in 2026, reflecting the overall contraction of the industry and the tough circumstances for small retailers.
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- Diminished Growth Outlook: India's Chief Economic Advisor V. Anantha Nageswaran warned that rising energy costs and supply chain disruptions pose considerable downside risks to the forecasted 7.0%-7.4% growth for FY 2027, with expectations of a significant widening of the trade deficit exacerbating fiscal pressures.
- Government Intervention: In response to economic strains, the Indian government implemented two key measures, including limiting banks' currency-hedging positions and cutting excise duties on petrol and diesel by 10 rupees per liter, which will significantly impact tax revenues and potentially hinder government spending capabilities.
- Weak Job Market: While India's consumption narrative continues to attract foreign investment, the lack of white-collar job creation undermines this story, with reports indicating that only a small percentage of graduates secure stable employment within a year of graduation, posing a long-term challenge to economic growth.
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Dividend Kings in the Retail Sector
- Dividend King Criteria: To be considered a Dividend King, a company must increase its dividend for 50 consecutive years, a standard met by Target, Lowe's, and Federal Realty, showcasing their robust business models and long-term viability.
- Target's Transformation Challenges: With a historically high dividend yield of 3.8%, Target's stock is down over 50% from its 2021 peak, as the company undergoes a business overhaul to attract customers and enhance market competitiveness.
- Lowe's Competitive Edge: Lowe's boasts a price-to-earnings ratio of 19x and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.5x, making it more attractively valued compared to Home Depot's 22x and 1.9x, despite potential recession risks looming over the home improvement sector.
- Federal Realty's Unique Position: As the only Dividend King REIT, Federal Realty manages around 100 high-quality retail properties, maintaining portfolio attractiveness through active asset management and redevelopment strategies, offering a 4.3% dividend yield.
See More
Lowe's Spring Promotions Strategy to Tackle Market Challenges
- Housing Market Pressure: In February, the median existing home price reached $398,000, marking the 32nd consecutive month of year-over-year gains, which has made it difficult for new buyers to enter the market, thereby putting pressure on home improvement giants like Lowe's.
- Cautious Earnings Outlook: Despite beating earnings expectations in its latest quarter, Lowe's reported a decline in operating income and anticipates comparable sales to be flat or up 2% for 2026, reflecting the challenges posed by the current market environment.
- Spring Promotion Campaign: Lowe's has launched new seasonal promotions, including free same-day delivery for loyalty members on orders over $25, aimed at attracting customers and boosting spring sales, particularly amid heightened economic uncertainty.
- Focus on Customer Needs: With consumer spending being curtailed, Lowe's is smartly focusing on value and convenience, especially considering that 50% of homeowners need critical renovations they cannot afford, indicating a need for further price optimization to maintain competitiveness.
See More
Big Box Retailers Impacting Small Hardware Stores
- Market Share Competition: According to the Numerator Home Improvement Tracker, Home Depot held 28% of the market share in 2025, Lowe's 17%, and Amazon 11%, collectively dominating about 56% of the market, which has put immense pressure on smaller hardware stores to survive.
- Store Closures Intensify: Great Lakes Ace Hardware announced the permanent closure of its Center Line, Michigan location on March 28, facing fierce competition from a Home Depot located less than two miles away, although no specific reason for the closure was provided.
- Promotional Clearance Sales: Following the closure announcement, Great Lakes Ace Hardware initiated a clearance sale with a 20% discount on all inventory, aiming to attract customers for last-minute purchases before the store shuts down.
- Significant Cost Pressures: The hardware store operator is grappling with increased labor and product costs driven by inflation and rising tariffs, factors that have become common reasons for store closures among many retailers, further exacerbating the challenges faced by small hardware stores.
See More
Independent Hardware Stores Struggle Against Giants
- Market Share Competition: According to the Numerator Home Improvement Tracker, Home Depot held 28% of the market share in 2025, Lowe's 17%, and Amazon 11%, collectively dominating 56% of sales, which has put immense pressure on smaller hardware stores.
- Store Closure Case: Do it Best Hardware in Chillicothe, Ohio, announced its permanent closure on April 10, 2026, after 49 years of operation, citing an inability to compete with giants like Lowe's, highlighting the survival challenges faced by small retailers.
- Economic Environment Impact: Home Depot CFO Richard McPhail noted that the housing market has remained sluggish since 2023, significantly reducing demand for home improvement projects, which further exacerbates the operational difficulties for smaller hardware stores.
- Historic Store Closures: Several hardware stores that have operated for over 50 years, including Great Lakes Ace Hardware and Harpeth True Value Home Center, closed in 2026, reflecting the overall contraction of the industry and the tough circumstances for small retailers.
See More
Indian Markets Rattle Amid Iran War Turmoil
- Foreign Capital Exodus: Amid the turmoil of the Iran war, Indian markets experienced a record foreign investor sell-off exceeding $12 billion in March, resulting in a more than 10% drop in the Nifty 50 index, highlighting significant concerns over future economic growth prospects.
- Diminished Growth Outlook: India's Chief Economic Advisor V. Anantha Nageswaran warned that rising energy costs and supply chain disruptions pose considerable downside risks to the forecasted 7.0%-7.4% growth for FY 2027, with expectations of a significant widening of the trade deficit exacerbating fiscal pressures.
- Government Intervention: In response to economic strains, the Indian government implemented two key measures, including limiting banks' currency-hedging positions and cutting excise duties on petrol and diesel by 10 rupees per liter, which will significantly impact tax revenues and potentially hinder government spending capabilities.
- Weak Job Market: While India's consumption narrative continues to attract foreign investment, the lack of white-collar job creation undermines this story, with reports indicating that only a small percentage of graduates secure stable employment within a year of graduation, posing a long-term challenge to economic growth.
See More
Market Rises on Optimism Over Iran War Resolution
- Market Optimism: The stock market rose on Tuesday as President Trump expressed willingness to end the Iran War without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which Jim Cramer noted presents various opportunities, potentially leading to lower oil prices that could alleviate inflation concerns and facilitate interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year.
- AI Partnership: Nvidia announced a strategic partnership with custom chipmaker Marvell Technology, which is boosting overall sentiment in the artificial intelligence sector, indicating a growing confidence in AI-related investments.
- Cybersecurity Challenges: CEO Nikesh Arora of Palo Alto Networks is on a
See More
Dividend Kings in the Retail Sector
- Dividend King Criteria: To be considered a Dividend King, a company must increase its dividend for 50 consecutive years, a standard met by Target, Lowe's, and Federal Realty, showcasing their robust business models and long-term viability.
- Target's Transformation Challenges: With a historically high dividend yield of 3.8%, Target's stock is down over 50% from its 2021 peak, as the company undergoes a business overhaul to attract customers and enhance market competitiveness.
- Lowe's Competitive Edge: Lowe's boasts a price-to-earnings ratio of 19x and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.5x, making it more attractively valued compared to Home Depot's 22x and 1.9x, despite potential recession risks looming over the home improvement sector.
- Federal Realty's Unique Position: As the only Dividend King REIT, Federal Realty manages around 100 high-quality retail properties, maintaining portfolio attractiveness through active asset management and redevelopment strategies, offering a 4.3% dividend yield.
See More
Lowe's Spring Promotions Strategy to Tackle Market Challenges
- Housing Market Pressure: In February, the median existing home price reached $398,000, marking the 32nd consecutive month of year-over-year gains, which has made it difficult for new buyers to enter the market, thereby putting pressure on home improvement giants like Lowe's.
- Cautious Earnings Outlook: Despite beating earnings expectations in its latest quarter, Lowe's reported a decline in operating income and anticipates comparable sales to be flat or up 2% for 2026, reflecting the challenges posed by the current market environment.
- Spring Promotion Campaign: Lowe's has launched new seasonal promotions, including free same-day delivery for loyalty members on orders over $25, aimed at attracting customers and boosting spring sales, particularly amid heightened economic uncertainty.
- Focus on Customer Needs: With consumer spending being curtailed, Lowe's is smartly focusing on value and convenience, especially considering that 50% of homeowners need critical renovations they cannot afford, indicating a need for further price optimization to maintain competitiveness.
See More
Big Box Retailers Impacting Small Hardware Stores
- Market Share Competition: According to the Numerator Home Improvement Tracker, Home Depot held 28% of the market share in 2025, Lowe's 17%, and Amazon 11%, collectively dominating about 56% of the market, which has put immense pressure on smaller hardware stores to survive.
- Store Closures Intensify: Great Lakes Ace Hardware announced the permanent closure of its Center Line, Michigan location on March 28, facing fierce competition from a Home Depot located less than two miles away, although no specific reason for the closure was provided.
- Promotional Clearance Sales: Following the closure announcement, Great Lakes Ace Hardware initiated a clearance sale with a 20% discount on all inventory, aiming to attract customers for last-minute purchases before the store shuts down.
- Significant Cost Pressures: The hardware store operator is grappling with increased labor and product costs driven by inflation and rising tariffs, factors that have become common reasons for store closures among many retailers, further exacerbating the challenges faced by small hardware stores.
See More
