Kroger Reports Strong Q4 Results for Fiscal 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy KR?
Source: PRnewswire
- Significant Sales Growth: Kroger's Q4 sales reached $34.725 billion, up 2.4% from $34.308 billion last year, indicating improved market share trends and robust sales growth, reflecting the company's strong performance in a competitive retail environment.
- Enhanced Profitability: The fourth quarter EPS was $1.35, a substantial increase from $0.90 a year ago, with adjusted EPS at $1.28, showcasing significant progress in cost control and operational efficiency, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Improved Gross Margin: The gross margin for fiscal 2025 was 22.9%, up from 22.3% in 2024, primarily driven by sourcing improvements and lower supply chain costs, indicating effective strategies in enhancing profitability.
- Positive Future Outlook: Kroger expects identical sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0% for fiscal 2026, with adjusted FIFO operating profit projected between $5.0 billion and $5.2 billion, demonstrating the company's confidence in future growth and commitment to ongoing investments.
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Analyst Views on KR
Wall Street analysts forecast KR stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 68.640
Low
68.00
Averages
75.00
High
85.00
Current: 68.640
Low
68.00
Averages
75.00
High
85.00
About KR
The Kroger Co. is a food and drug retailer. The Company operates supermarkets, multi-department stores and fulfillment centers throughout the United States. It operates approximately 2,731 supermarkets, 2,273 pharmacies and 1,702 fuel centers in over 35 states and the District of Columbia while also operating online through a digital ecosystem to offer customers an omnichannel shopping experience. The Company also manufactures and processes food for sale in its supermarkets and online. It offers Pickup and Harris Teeter ExpressLane personalized, order online, pick-up at the store services at approximately 2,412 of its supermarkets and provides delivery, which allows it to offer digital solutions to substantially all of its customers. Its delivery solutions include orders delivered to customers at retail store locations, customer fulfillment centers and orders placed through third-party platforms. The Company also offers customer-facing apps and interfaces.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Release Announcement: Kroger is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on March 5, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $1.20, an increase from $1.14 in the previous year, indicating steady improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, Kroger's quarterly revenue is expected to reach approximately $35.03 billion, up from $34.31 billion last year, reflecting the company's ongoing growth potential in the retail market.
- Analyst Rating Downgrade: Ahead of the earnings report, Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly downgraded Kroger from Overweight to Equal-Weight and lowered the price target from $70 to $68, which may affect investor confidence in the stock.
- Dividend Yield Insights: With an annual dividend yield of 2.04% and a quarterly dividend of $0.35, investors aiming for $500 monthly in dividends would need to invest around $294,191, highlighting the attractiveness and investment threshold of the dividend strategy.
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- Store Closure Decision: Kroger will close three stores in California by March 2026, resulting in layoffs of 49, 58, and 64 workers respectively, highlighting the tough measures the supermarket chain must take amid fierce competition and economic pressures.
- Intensifying Market Competition: With Walmart, Costco, and Target capturing 37% of the U.S. market share, Kroger faces unprecedented competitive pressure, prompting the closure of underperforming stores to maintain profitability.
- Inflation Impact: Food-at-home inflation surged by 11.4% in 2022 and 5% in 2023, while Kroger's revenue only increased by 0.5%, indicating severe challenges to supermarket profitability in a high-inflation environment.
- Long-term Strategic Adjustment: Kroger announced plans to close 60 stores over 18 months in 2025, with the California closures being part of a broader strategic realignment aimed at optimizing resource allocation to adapt to future market changes.
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- Sales Growth Slowdown: Kroger's identical-store sales excluding fuel increased by 2.4% in Q4, slightly below analysts' expectations of 2.5%, indicating potential consumer spending fatigue that may impact future performance.
- Revenue and Profit Performance: Total revenue rose by 1.3% year-over-year to $34.7 billion, missing market consensus by $300 million, reflecting intensified market competition and cost pressures.
- Gross Margin Improvement: Gross margin improved to 23.1% from 22.7% a year ago, primarily due to enhanced sourcing efficiencies and lower supply chain costs, although growth in pharmacy sales negatively impacted margins.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Kroger anticipates full-year identical-store sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0% and expects EPS between $5.10 and $5.30, reflecting a cautious approach to investment and profitability amid market challenges.
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- Earnings Beat: Kroger reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.28, exceeding expectations by $0.08, indicating resilience in profitability despite revenue falling short of projections.
- Revenue Miss: The company's Q4 revenue reached $34.73 billion, a 1.3% year-over-year increase, yet it missed market expectations by $300 million, highlighting intensified competition and market pressures.
- Same-Store Sales Growth: Identical sales without fuel increased by 2.4%, demonstrating Kroger's efforts to maintain customer loyalty and sales growth, even in a challenging market environment.
- Cautious 2026 Guidance: Kroger's guidance for 2026 indicates expected same-store sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0%, with operating profit projected between $5.0 billion and $5.2 billion, reflecting the company's cautious outlook amid market uncertainties.
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- Earnings Growth: Kroger's fourth quarter net income reached $861 million, translating to $1.35 per share, a significant increase from last year's $634 million and $0.90 per share, indicating strong performance in a competitive market.
- Adjusted Earnings Stability: Excluding items, Kroger reported adjusted earnings of $812 million or $1.28 per share, reflecting positive progress in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances investor confidence.
- Revenue Increase: The company's revenue rose by 1.2% to $34.725 billion compared to $34.308 billion last year, demonstrating Kroger's stability and sustained customer demand in the retail market.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With growth in earnings and revenue, Kroger is positioned with a stronger financial foundation for future market competition, likely driving further expansion and innovation in the retail sector.
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- Significant Sales Growth: Kroger's Q4 sales reached $34.725 billion, up 2.4% from $34.308 billion last year, indicating improved market share trends and robust sales growth, reflecting the company's strong performance in a competitive retail environment.
- Enhanced Profitability: The fourth quarter EPS was $1.35, a substantial increase from $0.90 a year ago, with adjusted EPS at $1.28, showcasing significant progress in cost control and operational efficiency, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Improved Gross Margin: The gross margin for fiscal 2025 was 22.9%, up from 22.3% in 2024, primarily driven by sourcing improvements and lower supply chain costs, indicating effective strategies in enhancing profitability.
- Positive Future Outlook: Kroger expects identical sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0% for fiscal 2026, with adjusted FIFO operating profit projected between $5.0 billion and $5.2 billion, demonstrating the company's confidence in future growth and commitment to ongoing investments.
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