Keefe Bruyette Analyst Says UWM Holdings Shares Down 15%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 25 2026
0mins
Should l Buy UWMC?
Keefe Bruyette analyst Bose George says UWM Holdings (UWMC) hosted its Q4 conference call and management noted they will not field questions, "which was a surprise." The shares had already been weak on the Q1 guidance, and will likely selloff further weakness given the lack of questions on the call, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Keefe says the mid-point of UWM's revenue guidance suggests 2c downside. "But since there was no expense guidance, it's hard to quantify precisely," the firm adds. Shares of UWM Holdings are down 15%, or 67c, to $3.90 in morning trading. Two Harbors (TWO), which is being acquired by UWM, is down 14% to $9.20.
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Analyst Views on UWMC
Wall Street analysts forecast UWMC stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.040
Low
5.00
Averages
6.54
High
10.00
Current: 4.040
Low
5.00
Averages
6.54
High
10.00
About UWMC
UWM Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the origination, sale and servicing of residential mortgage loans throughout the United States. The Company originates primarily conforming and government loans across all 50 states and the District of Columbia. It operates in a single segment and is engaged in the origination, sale and servicing of residential mortgage loans, exclusively in the wholesale channel. It is focused on originating conventional, agency-eligible loans that can be sold to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or transferred to Ginnie Mae pools for sale in the secondary market. Its conventional agency-conforming loans meet the general underwriting guidelines established by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Easiest Application System Ever is its primary LOS that allows clients to interact with the Company and to select products, lock rates and run the Automated Underwriting System. Blink+ is its client facing point of sale system white-labeled for its clients.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Increased Buyer Demand: The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased by 7.8%, 11% higher than the same week last year, demonstrating heightened buyer activity as winter weather improves.
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- Enhanced Financial Outlook: The acquisition will nearly double UWM's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio to approximately $400 billion, with expected annual cost and revenue synergies of about $150 million, significantly boosting profitability.
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See More
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See More
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- Wage vs. Price Growth: Chief Economist Lawrence Yun highlighted that wage growth is now outpacing home price growth by nearly four percentage points, and while mortgage rates are significantly lower than last year, actual housing demand remains muted.
- Inventory Levels: There were 1.29 million units for sale at the end of February, a 2.4% increase from January, yet this remains below the six-month supply considered balanced, reflecting a sluggish supply growth trend.
- First-Time Buyer Share: First-time buyers accounted for 34% of total sales, up from 31% a year ago, indicating an increase in market participation among new buyers despite low inventory and high prices.
See More
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- Optimistic Revenue Forecast: The company anticipates total revenue for Q1 2026 to be between $800 million and $900 million, and for fiscal year 2026 to range from $3.5 billion to $4.5 billion, reflecting confidence in its future performance even without the Two Harbors transaction.
- Successful AI Assistant Deployment: UWM expects its voice-enabled AI assistant, Mia, to handle over 12 million inbound and outbound calls this year, demonstrating its strong position in the industry as it continues to originate approximately 12% of all refinances and remains the largest originator of purchase loans in the country.
- Significant Returns on Tech Investments: The company is poised to showcase favorable results from its investments in people and technology over the past three years, expecting to achieve an annualized nine-figure revenue run rate from new products and services like TRAC+ and PA+, further solidifying its market leadership.
See More
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- Revenue Forecast Upgrade: UWM anticipates total revenue for Q1 2026 to be between $800 million and $900 million, with full-year revenue projected between $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion, reflecting strong core business fundamentals and sustained market demand.
- Significant AI Implementation: UWM's AI assistant Mia is expected to handle over 12 million inbound and outbound calls this year, enhancing team efficiency and enabling the company to manage two to three times its current volume without needing to replace departing team members, demonstrating the strategic value of its technology investments.
- Acquisition Potential Remains Strong: UWM expresses optimism about the strategic merits of acquiring Two Harbors, urging shareholders to support the transaction, which is believed to create long-term value and enhance competitive positioning in the market.
See More
