JPMorgan Restricts Lending to Private Credit Funds
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy JPM?
JPMorgan Chase is restricting some lending to private credit funds after marking down the value of certain loans in their portfolios, the latest sign of stress in the $1.8 trillion industry, Bloomberg's Adam Haigh. The devalued loans are to software companies, according to people familiar with the matter. That industry is home to some of the biggest borrowers in the private credit market and has been in the spotlight in recent weeks due to investor concern over the impact AI will have on its business model, the author adds.
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Analyst Views on JPM
Wall Street analysts forecast JPM stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 288.730
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
Current: 288.730
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
About JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company. The Company is engaged in investment banking, financial services for consumers and small businesses, commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management. The Company operates through three segments: Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM). Its CCB segment offers products and services to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, digital and telephone banking. Its CIB segment consists of banking and payments and markets and securities services, and offers a suite of investment banking, lending, payments, market-making, financing, custody and securities products and services to a global base of corporate and institutional clients. AWM segment offers investment and wealth management solutions. It offers multi-asset investment management solutions, retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, estate planning, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Credit Risk Exposure: As of October 2025, JPMorgan's total exposure in private credit reached $22.2 billion, suggesting that its risk management strategies are being adjusted to address market uncertainties.
- Market Reaction: Concerns that AI and platform-as-a-service companies may undermine the relevance of the software sector have led to declines for private equity and private credit firms investing in software-as-a-service companies, reflecting a weakening market confidence in this industry.
- Increased Redemption Requests: Other large private credit firms are also facing heightened redemption requests, such as Blackstone allowing investors to withdraw $3.7 billion from its $82 billion BCRED fund, indicating growing investor anxiety about market prospects.
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- Underwriting Crisis: Christian Stracke of PIMCO highlights that the private credit crisis is rooted in poor underwriting practices, emphasizing overly optimistic assumptions about future growth that have led to declining loan quality, potentially triggering broader credit tightening.
- Lack of Market Transparency: Stracke notes the market's lack of transparency has eroded investor confidence, leading to assumptions of widespread fraud and poor underwriting, which could result in mid-single-digit default rates, adversely affecting investment returns.
- Major Banks Tightening Loans: JPMorgan Chase has marked down the value of certain private credit loans and is tightening lending to the sector, reflecting a reassessment of risk in the market that may exacerbate credit market tightening.
- Increased Redemption Pressures: With firms like Blackstone and BlackRock limiting redemptions, the private credit market is experiencing heightened redemption pressures, which could lead to liquidity crises and impact overall market stability.
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- Lackluster Market Response: Despite buying back $285 million at an $11 billion valuation in January 2024, Ripple's $1 billion tender in September 2025 saw the lowest participation rate, indicating employee reluctance to sell shares.
- Significant Transaction Volume: Ripple has processed over $100 billion in transactions recently, highlighting its active role and influence in the crypto market, even as Bitcoin and XRP prices have plummeted.
- ETF Investment Dynamics: Goldman Sachs has emerged as the largest XRP ETF investor, holding a $2.3 billion crypto ETF portfolio, indicating sustained institutional interest in XRP despite market price uncertainties.
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- Gold Price Decline: Gold is trading around $5,185 per ounce, down about 1% from the previous day, indicating a weakening demand in the market that may signal the end of the bull run.
- Limited Geopolitical Impact: Despite the Iran war being considered one of the biggest geopolitical events in decades, gold has failed to rally, with analyst Wyckoff suggesting that the market's lack of response to bullish news indicates that the bulls may be exhausted.
- Funds Shifting to Grains: Wyckoff noted that speculative and hedge fund money appears to be rotating into grain markets, with corn, soybeans, and wheat prices trending higher since January, highlighting their relative attractiveness compared to gold.
- Fertilizer Prices Surge: The ongoing Iran conflict has caused urea prices in New Orleans to surge over 30%, which may lead farmers to reduce corn planting in favor of soybeans, potentially tightening grain supply and driving prices higher later this year.
See More
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Berkshire Hathaway's Acquisition: Berkshire Hathaway has made a $9.7 billion cash deal to acquire Occidental Petroleum's chemical business.
CEO's Role: CEO Greg Abel played a significant role in the transaction, which is being viewed as a smart purchase.
See More
JPMorgan Restricts Lending to Software Companies
- Lending Restrictions: JPMorgan has begun restricting loans associated with software companies in its private credit funds, indicating a cautious approach towards the future prospects of the software industry, which may impact its investment returns in this sector.
- Credit Risk Exposure: As of October 2025, JPMorgan's total exposure in private credit reached $22.2 billion, suggesting that its risk management strategies are being adjusted to address market uncertainties.
- Market Reaction: Concerns that AI and platform-as-a-service companies may undermine the relevance of the software sector have led to declines for private equity and private credit firms investing in software-as-a-service companies, reflecting a weakening market confidence in this industry.
- Increased Redemption Requests: Other large private credit firms are also facing heightened redemption requests, such as Blackstone allowing investors to withdraw $3.7 billion from its $82 billion BCRED fund, indicating growing investor anxiety about market prospects.
See More
Private Credit Crisis Stems from Poor Underwriting
- Underwriting Crisis: Christian Stracke of PIMCO highlights that the private credit crisis is rooted in poor underwriting practices, emphasizing overly optimistic assumptions about future growth that have led to declining loan quality, potentially triggering broader credit tightening.
- Lack of Market Transparency: Stracke notes the market's lack of transparency has eroded investor confidence, leading to assumptions of widespread fraud and poor underwriting, which could result in mid-single-digit default rates, adversely affecting investment returns.
- Major Banks Tightening Loans: JPMorgan Chase has marked down the value of certain private credit loans and is tightening lending to the sector, reflecting a reassessment of risk in the market that may exacerbate credit market tightening.
- Increased Redemption Pressures: With firms like Blackstone and BlackRock limiting redemptions, the private credit market is experiencing heightened redemption pressures, which could lead to liquidity crises and impact overall market stability.
See More
Oracle Addresses the Situation: AI Demand Surpasses Available Capacity
Oracle's Strong Performance: Oracle reported its best quarter in over 15 years, with a revenue growth of more than 21% to $17.19 billion, driven by a significant increase in cloud revenue, which grew by 44%.
AI Strategy Success: The company's AI strategy is proving effective, as analysts affirm a bullish outlook, with 75% of ratings at "Buy" or higher, indicating strong investor confidence in Oracle's future.
Market Sentiment Shift: Investor sentiment has shifted back to a bullish stance, reversing previous trends of price target reductions, with expectations of sustained upward momentum in stock prices.
Debt and Growth Outlook: While concerns about Oracle's debt persist, the company's growing backlog and revenue strength suggest a rapid expansion is needed, with expectations for continued revenue growth exceeding 31% annually.
See More
