JP Morgan Downgrades NIO to Underweight, Lowers Price Target to $5
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 23 2024
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Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on NIO
Wall Street analysts forecast NIO stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 5.450
Low
4.00
Averages
5.90
High
7.00
Current: 5.450
Low
4.00
Averages
5.90
High
7.00
About NIO
NIO Inc is a holding company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company offers premium smart electric vehicles under the NIO brand, family-oriented smart electric vehicles through the ONVO brand, and small smart high-end electric cars with the FIREFLY brand. The Company focuses on building in-house capabilities including battery swapping, assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrain and battery, vehicle engineering and design, among others, to control the design and development of the vehicle software and hardware architecture and the critical components.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Profitability Outlook: Deutsche Bank forecasts Nio's Q2 non-GAAP net profit at 180 million yuan ($26.5 million), a remarkable 304% increase from the previous quarter, indicating significant improvement in profitability driven by higher-margin SUV sales.
- Delivery Forecast Raised: The bank has raised Nio's 2026 delivery forecast to 450,000 vehicles, a 38% increase from last year, while also increasing the ES9 delivery estimate to 56,000 units, reflecting strong market demand and the company's growth potential.
- Strong New Model Performance: Nio's newly launched ES9 delivered 3,108 units in its first four days, with Deutsche Bank estimating over 25,000 non-cancellable orders, leading to delivery wait times of up to 17 weeks, showcasing high consumer acceptance of the model.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Despite being added to the Pentagon's list of Chinese military companies, which caused market sentiment fluctuations, Nio firmly rejected the claim, asserting it will not impact its business, demonstrating the company's resilience in a competitive landscape.
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- Active Stock Performance: CID HoldCo, Inc. (DAIC) increases by $0.81 to $3.07 with a trading volume of 12,385,446 shares, suggesting growing market interest in this stock.
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- Nokia and Redwire Recommendations: Nokia Corporation (NOK) rises by $0.2097 to $14.80, with current recommendations in the
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- Significant Sales Growth: Nio's Q1 deliveries surged 98% year-over-year to 83,465 units, with vehicle sales exceeding $3.3 billion and gross margins improving from 7.6% to 19%, indicating enhanced profitability driven by higher average selling prices.
- New Model Launches: Nio aggressively launched the Onvo L80 SUV in mid-May and the Nio ES9 SUV later that month, starting deliveries immediately, which significantly boosted sales and reflects the company's proactive approach to product launches.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite Nio's strong performance, the Chinese automotive market has seen sales decline for the eighth consecutive month, with CEO William Li stating that the market has likely moved past its
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- Significant Sales Growth: Nio's Q1 deliveries surged 98% year-over-year to 83,465 units, with vehicle sales exceeding $3.3 billion and gross margins improving from 7.6% to 19%, reflecting strong market demand and effective pricing strategies.
- New Model Launches: Nio launched the Onvo L80 SUV in mid-May and the Nio ES9 SUV later that month, starting deliveries immediately, which significantly boosted sales and enhanced brand presence in a competitive market.
- International Expansion Strategy Shift: Nio plans to adopt partnership models instead of direct sales to cut costs, which, while not exiting any market, contrasts sharply with rival Xpeng's aggressive expansion plans and may impact its international market share.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite Nio's strong competitive position domestically, the Chinese auto market has seen sales decline for the eighth consecutive month, and being added to the U.S. Department of Defense's
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- Market Penetration Growth: BYD's Executive Vice President Stella Li forecasts that China's EV market penetration will rapidly approach 80%, contrasting sharply with rival NIO's pessimistic outlook, demonstrating BYD's confidence and the driving force of technological innovation.
- Strong EV Demand: According to the China Passenger Car Association, the penetration rate of hybrid and battery electric vehicles exceeded 50% of new passenger cars sold in 2024, reaching a record 62.9% last month, reflecting the positive impact of state support and a diverse range of vehicle options.
- Charging Technology Advantage: BYD's fast-charging technology reportedly achieves a 70% charge in just five minutes, resulting in domestic demand for its EVs being double the company's current delivery capacity, showcasing its competitive edge and potential for future growth in the EV market.
- Driver-Assistance Feature Competition: On May 28, BYD expanded insurance coverage for
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- Inclusion on Military List: NIO has been added to the U.S. Department of Defense's 'Chinese Military Companies' list, although the company asserts it is not a military entity and that this list is not a sanctions list, which is expected to have no direct impact on its business.
- Legal Action Plans: NIO intends to proactively engage with the U.S. Department of Defense to rectify this classification, including pursuing legal actions if necessary to safeguard the interests of the company and its shareholders.
- Market Reaction Assessment: While the inclusion may raise market concerns, NIO believes this will not affect its securities trading, anticipating limited short-term stock price volatility.
- Future Development Outlook: NIO remains focused on the research and innovation of smart electric vehicles, aiming to maintain its leadership position in the global market while promoting sustainability and technological breakthroughs.
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