Investor Critiques Tesla's Stock Performance Amid Autonomous Driving Race
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: Benzinga
- Poor Stock Performance: Investor Gary Black criticized Tesla's stock for showing almost no growth over the past five years, with TSLA rising 81% compared to the Nasdaq 100's 94%, indicating a lack of market confidence despite significant advancements in its autonomous driving technology.
- Earnings Forecast Downgrade: Black noted that Tesla's earnings estimates for 2026-2028 have been sharply reduced, and the newly launched Cybertruck AWD trim is cannibalizing sales from mid-level trims, potentially impacting overall revenue performance.
- Investor Skepticism: Black questioned the optimism of Tesla's supporters who ignore financial data, asserting that stock prices should be driven by earnings and cash flows, and likening this attitude to asking Elon Musk to ignore the laws of physics.
- Cybercab Production Update: Tesla's Cybercab is set to ramp up production in April this year, with Musk stating it will be priced below $30,000, and a production-ready version has been unveiled at the Texas Gigafactory, showcasing Tesla's ongoing innovation in the electric mobility sector.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to fall
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 408.580
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 408.580
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Sales Expectations vs. Reality: While Musk previously predicted annual Cybertruck sales could reach 500,000 units, actual sales in 2025 were only 50,850 units, indicating market acceptance is lower than expected, which may affect future production plans.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Despite TSLA stock gaining 42% over the past 12 months, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains in the 'extremely bullish' territory, indicating continued investor confidence in the company's future.
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- Price Increase Announcement: Tesla has announced that the price of its cheapest Cybertruck variant will increase after February 28, although no new price has been disclosed, potentially impacting consumer purchasing decisions and demand.
- Extended Delivery Times: The Tesla website indicates that delivery times for the Dual Motor all-wheel drive variant in Texas and California have been pushed back to 2027, suggesting strong market demand but also risking customer impatience.
- Sales Expectations vs. Reality: While Musk previously predicted annual Cybertruck sales could reach 500,000 units, actual sales in 2025 were only 50,850 units, indicating market acceptance is lower than expected, which may affect future production plans.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Despite TSLA stock gaining 42% over the past 12 months, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains in the 'extremely bullish' territory, indicating continued investor confidence in the company's future.
See More
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- Market Potential: McKinsey projects that the general-purpose robotics market could reach $370 billion by 2040, and by moving Intrinsic from 'Other Bets' to the main company, Google positions itself to capitalize on this significant opportunity, driving growth in the robotics sector.
- Technological Integration: Intrinsic will closely collaborate with Google's AI models, infrastructure, and cloud tools, leveraging DeepMind's technology stack to enhance the efficiency of robotic application development, thereby accelerating time-to-market and strengthening competitive positioning.
- Strategic Partnerships: Intrinsic has partnered with Foxconn to deploy AI robots for electronics assembly in U.S. factories, addressing the strong market demand for smart manufacturing, which is expected to further penetrate the manufacturing sector.
- Innovative Product Launch: Intrinsic's flagship product, Flowstate, enables users to build robotic applications without extensive coding, akin to Google's Android strategy, and the introduction of such open-source tools is likely to attract more developers, further expanding market share.
See More
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- Strategic Integration: Google has moved its internal robotics software project, Intrinsic, from the 'Other Bets' category into the main company, aiming to replicate the success of Android and significantly enhance its competitiveness in the rapidly growing robotics market.
- Market Potential: McKinsey projects that the general-purpose robotics market could reach $370 billion by 2040, and with the integration of Intrinsic, Google is well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity, especially as artificial intelligence expands into the physical realm.
- Technological Synergy: Intrinsic will closely collaborate with DeepMind and Google's cloud infrastructure teams, leveraging DeepMind's AI technology stack to enhance the efficiency of robotic application development, thereby advancing the smart manufacturing agenda.
- Industry Partnerships: The partnership between Intrinsic and Foxconn aims to deploy AI robots in its U.S. factories, reflecting Google's strategic positioning in the smart manufacturing sector, particularly in light of the surging demand in the electronics market, which is expected to drive significant business growth.
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- Earnings Beat: Nvidia's fourth-quarter results surpassed revenue and profit expectations, indicating sustained demand for its AI compute platforms; however, the stock price sharply declined, reflecting investor skepticism about the sustainability of high expectations.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Despite Nvidia's strong performance, Wall Street's muted response highlights a shift in focus from headline earnings to deeper concerns regarding long-term growth, capital returns, and competitive dynamics in the AI sector.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: As rival AI hardware efforts gain traction, investors are increasingly concerned about future spending patterns and competition from alternative AI chip designs, which has pressured broader technology stocks and underscored the fragility of the AI-led market rally.
- Significant Industry Impact: Nvidia's pullback not only affected its own stock but also weighed heavily on the semiconductor sector, contributing to sluggish performance among major tech benchmarks late in the week, indicating a waning confidence in AI-related stocks.
See More
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Market Trends: Investors are shifting from technology stocks to traditional defensive assets like gold, with evidence suggesting a rotation towards blue-chip stocks as tech stocks remain under pressure.
Earnings Reports: Anticipation surrounds upcoming earnings reports, particularly from companies like NVIDIA and PayPal, with analysts highlighting strong performance expectations and potential growth opportunities.
AI Sector: The AI infrastructure trade continues to be a significant market driver, with investors advised to focus on key stocks within the AI supply chain that are expected to perform well.
Investment Opportunities: Analysts recommend looking for undervalued stocks, particularly in the retail sector, as well as identifying potential long-term opportunities amidst market volatility and recent sell-offs.
See More
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- Financial Losses: Despite significant year-over-year increases in production and revenue in Q4 2025, Lucid fell short of analyst expectations, reporting a loss of $3.08 per share for the quarter and over $12 for the year, highlighting severe financial challenges.
- Market Competition: Lucid aims to produce 27,000 EVs in 2026, but this figure pales in comparison to Tesla's 1.65 million vehicles produced in 2025, underscoring its limited competitiveness in the electric vehicle market.
- Liquidity Risk: While Lucid has $4.6 billion in liquidity, this may not be sufficient to transform the company into a sustainably profitable entity given its ongoing losses, raising concerns about potential bankruptcy risks for investors.
See More
