India's Stock Market Faces Pressure from AI Competition
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Foreign Capital Outflow: Since January 2023, foreign investors have sold $27.6 billion worth of Indian equities, significantly surpassing the $18.9 billion sold in 2025, indicating a sharp decline in investor confidence that may lead to reduced future capital inflows.
- Market Ranking Reversal: As of May 2026, India's market capitalization has been surpassed by Taiwan and South Korea, with Taiwan's market cap nearing $5 trillion, forcing India to drop to seventh place, reflecting a diminishing competitive edge in the global market.
- Earnings Forecast Downgrade: Global brokerage Nomura has lowered its consensus earnings estimates for 256 top Indian companies by 4%, primarily due to the impact of the Middle East conflict, highlighting the weakening profitability of Indian firms that could further affect investor sentiment.
- Consumption Story Cracking: Indian households are facing high inflation and currency depreciation, leading to a decline in consumer spending that is expected to slow corporate earnings, with experts suggesting this will negatively impact the long-term growth outlook for the Indian economy.
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Analyst Views on TSM
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 444.920
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
Current: 444.920
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
About TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based integrated circuit foundry service provider. The Company is primarily engaged in integrated circuit manufacturing services. It offers advanced process technologies, specialised process solutions, advanced photomask and silicon stacking, and packaging-related technologies, while supporting a comprehensive design ecosystem. The Company's products serve diverse electronic sectors including artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, wired and wireless communications, automotive and industrial equipment, personal computing, information applications, consumer electronics, smart internet of things, and wearable devices.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Advanced Process Technology: 74% of TSMC's revenue comes from advanced chips at 7nm or smaller, with 25% from 3nm chips, and the ramp-up of 2nm production not only enhances the company's technological barriers but also boosts its competitiveness in the high-end market.
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- Strong Revenue Growth: Over the past three years, TSMC's net income and operating income have surged by 206% and 216%, respectively, outpacing revenue growth, indicating robust demand and profitability in the high-end chip market.
- Advanced Process Technology: In Q1, 74% of TSMC's revenue came from advanced chips of 7nm or smaller, with 25% from 3nm chips, and production of 2nm chips ramping up, further solidifying its technological leadership.
- Sustained Market Demand: Even with the current surge in AI demand, TSMC will remain the primary supplier for chips used in smartphones, laptops, and cars, ensuring its continued competitiveness in future markets.
See More
TSMC's Critical Role in the AI Ecosystem
- Market Share Advantage: As of the end of last year, TSMC held a 70.4% share of the semiconductor market, significantly outpacing Samsung Electronics at 7.1%, which solidifies TSMC's near-monopoly in AI chip manufacturing and strengthens its market leadership.
- Advanced Process Technology: 74% of TSMC's revenue comes from advanced chips at 7nm or smaller, with 25% from 3nm chips, and the ramp-up of 2nm production not only enhances the company's technological barriers but also boosts its competitiveness in the high-end market.
- Profitability Improvement: Over the past three years, TSMC's net income and operating income have surged by 206% and 216%, respectively, significantly outpacing revenue growth, demonstrating its ability to raise prices and improve margins, further solidifying its financial health.
- Long-term Investment Value: Although the stock price has reached its highest level since 2021, trading at 36.6 times earnings, investors still view TSMC as a premium company worth holding long-term due to its core position in smartphones, laptops, and cars.
See More
AMD's Data Center Revenue Surges 57% Amid Market Volatility
- Data Center Revenue Surge: AMD's data center revenue grew 57% to $5.8 billion in the latest quarter, establishing this segment as the company's main revenue driver, contributing to an overall revenue increase of 38% year-over-year to $10.3 billion, showcasing strong execution in the AI sector.
- Future Revenue Guidance: AMD anticipates current-quarter revenue of approximately $11.2 billion, implying about 46% year-over-year growth, indicating the company's ongoing expansion potential in the data center market, particularly with the upcoming launch of next-gen Instinct MI450 accelerators.
- Market Volatility Impact: Despite AMD's strong fundamentals, the stock experienced a decline due to a broader semiconductor sell-off triggered by Broadcom's underwhelming earnings report, highlighting the market's sensitivity to high-valuation stocks.
- Valuation Risks: With a price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 100, AMD's impressive data center performance is overshadowed by potential pressures in its PC and gaming segments due to rising costs, necessitating careful risk assessment for investors considering the stock.
See More
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- Outstanding Fund Performance: The AIA fund surged 53% in the first five months of 2026, marking the largest outperformance of Asia mega-caps against the S&P 500 in a decade, highlighting its strong market position and investment appeal.
- TSM Drives Returns: AIA's top holding, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), which constitutes 22% of the fund, has risen 44% year-to-date due to robust demand for AI chips, further boosting AIA's overall returns and indicating a strong recovery in the semiconductor sector.
- China Internet Drag: Despite AIA's overall strong performance, Alibaba (BABA), its fourth-largest holding, has declined 13% year-to-date, reflecting weakness in the Chinese internet sector that negatively impacts the fund and could affect future investor confidence.
- Geopolitical Risk Challenge: AIA's current performance hinges on the continued growth of AI capital expenditures and the Taiwan Strait geopolitical risk remaining theoretical; any changes in these factors could significantly impact the fund's future performance.
See More
Semiconductor Stocks Hit Hard Amid Broadcom's Disappointing Report
- Strong Performance by AMD: In Q1 2026, AMD's revenue rose 38% year-over-year to $10.3 billion, with the data center segment surging 57%, highlighting its robust execution in the artificial intelligence sector and becoming the main revenue driver.
- Future Growth Expectations: AMD projects current-quarter revenue of about $11.2 billion, implying approximately 46% year-over-year growth, and plans to launch its next-generation Instinct MI450 accelerators in the second half of the year, further propelling rapid growth in its data center business.
- Market Sentiment Volatility: Semiconductor stocks faced a broad sell-off this week, triggered by Broadcom's disappointing earnings report, which pressured the entire sector, particularly companies like Micron and Marvell that had recently performed well.
- Valuation Risks: With a price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 100, AMD's stock is highly valued, leaving little room for disappointment; any negative news could lead to further declines, especially as its PC and gaming segments face rising cost pressures.
See More
Apple and Oracle to Influence Market Dynamics
- Market Dynamics Impact: Apple and Oracle's performance will be the focal point for the market next week, with investors closely monitoring their earnings reports and market movements to assess potential impacts on the overall stock market.
- SpaceX IPO Expectations: While Apple and Oracle are in the spotlight, market action will ultimately hinge on the upcoming SpaceX IPO, which is expected to generate significant investor interest and trading activity.
- Investor Sentiment Fluctuations: As anticipation for the SpaceX IPO rises, investor sentiment may experience fluctuations, particularly in the tech sector, potentially affecting the stock performance of both Apple and Oracle.
- Industry Competitive Landscape: The market performance of Apple and Oracle could influence the competitive landscape within the tech industry, especially in emerging technologies and innovation, prompting investors to pay attention to their strategic directions.
See More
TSMC's Competitive Advantage and Market Position
- Manufacturing Advantage: TSMC holds a monopoly in advanced AI chip manufacturing, with a market share of 70.4% at the end of 2022, significantly surpassing Samsung's 7.1%, which enhances its pricing power and profit margins in the industry.
- Strong Revenue Growth: Over the past three years, TSMC's net income and operating income have surged by 206% and 216%, respectively, outpacing revenue growth, indicating robust demand and profitability in the high-end chip market.
- Advanced Process Technology: In Q1, 74% of TSMC's revenue came from advanced chips of 7nm or smaller, with 25% from 3nm chips, and production of 2nm chips ramping up, further solidifying its technological leadership.
- Sustained Market Demand: Even with the current surge in AI demand, TSMC will remain the primary supplier for chips used in smartphones, laptops, and cars, ensuring its continued competitiveness in future markets.
See More
