Harmony Gold Reports Lower-Than-Expected H1 Revenue, Shares Down Nearly 11%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 11 2026
0mins
Should l Buy HMY?
Shares of Harmony Gold shares have dropped to the lowest intraday level since October 28, after the company reported lower than expected first half of 2026 revenue. The precious-metals miner announced revenue of ZAR 44.4B, up 20% year-over-year, versus estimate of ZAR 47.56B. Regarding CSA copper guidance, the company said it expects production of 17 500 to 18 500 tonnes for the eight-month period ending 30 June 2026. Production at the CSA mine will be temporarily halted for approximately one month to allow for essential steel replacement on two levels of the shaft. Harmony also announced a revision to its dividend policy, saying that "Our strengthened cash generation has enabled us to revise our dividend policy to ensure that up to 50% of our net free cash is returned to investors, reflecting our commitment to delivering tangible, consistent and attractive cash returns. Under the new framework, the company declared an interim dividend of ZAR 5.30 or 32c per share. PRICE ACTION: Harmony Gold is down nearly 11% at $16.91 in morning trading.
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Analyst Views on HMY
Wall Street analysts forecast HMY stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 13.940
Low
20.50
Averages
20.50
High
20.50
Current: 13.940
Low
20.50
Averages
20.50
High
20.50
About HMY
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is a mining company. It acquires, explores, develops, and operates gold and uranium properties, through its underground and open-pit mines in South Africa, and its Hidden Valley open-pit mine in Papua New Guinea. Its main products are gold bullion and uranium concentrate, extracted from deep-level and surface mining operations. Its segments include South Africa Underground, Surface, and International. In South Africa, its underground operations are located within the Witwatersrand Basin, which includes one in the Klerksdorp goldfield, three in the West Rand, and five in the Free State, in the southern portion of the Witwatersrand Basin. It also has an open pit mine, Kalgold, on the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt as well as several surface treatment operations. In Papua New Guinea, it operates the Hidden Valley mine and Wafi-Golpu project. In Australia, the Company owns the Eva Copper Mine Project. It also owns CSA Copper Mine in New South Wales, Australia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Trend Observation: Currently positioned in the middle of its 52-week range, HMY's stock price suggests a wait-and-see approach from investors, which may impact short-term trading volume and market sentiment.
- Technical Indicator Focus: HMY's stock price has fallen below its 200-day moving average, potentially signaling short-term downside risk, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent market dynamics and technical signals.
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Investigation Initiated: An investigation is currently underway regarding an incident that occurred at a Target store.
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See More
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- Oil Price Surge: WTI crude oil futures rose 10% to about $96 per barrel, driven by Iran's attacks on several ships in the Persian Gulf, with the IEA labeling it the 'largest supply disruption' ever, which could have significant implications for the global economy.
- Sector Rotation: Airline stocks like Delta Air Lines slumped due to fuel cost concerns, while energy-related stocks outperformed, indicating a shift towards defensive assets amidst uncertainty, potentially leading to long-term structural changes in industry dynamics.
- Escalating Geopolitical Risks: Newly appointed Iranian leader Mojtaba Khamenei's declaration that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz should be used as a 'tool to pressure the enemy' has intensified market concerns over Middle Eastern tensions, suggesting that volatility is likely to persist, requiring investors to remain vigilant.
See More
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- Market Impact from Oil Prices: The major averages, including the Dow, fell over 400 points as oil prices surged above $100 earlier in the week, reflecting traders' concerns over volatile energy prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
- IEA's Strategic Release: The International Energy Agency's decision to release approximately 400 million barrels from strategic reserves aims to stabilize energy markets following supply shocks due to conflicts, which could help mitigate extreme oil price fluctuations.
- Inflation Data Reaction: Recent inflation data showed a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the consumer price index and a 2.4% year-over-year rise, both aligning with consensus expectations, indicating persistent inflationary pressures that may influence future monetary policy decisions.
- Escalating Geopolitical Risks: U.S. forces sunk several Iranian ships near the Strait of Hormuz, heightening the fragility of global energy supply routes and contributing to unstable market sentiment, prompting investors to adopt a cautious stance regarding future market movements.
See More
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: HMY's 52-week low is $11.67 per share, with a high of $26.06, and the last trade at $16.88 indicates significant price volatility within this range, reflecting market caution towards the stock.
- Market Trend Observation: Currently positioned in the middle of its 52-week range, HMY's stock price suggests a wait-and-see approach from investors, which may impact short-term trading volume and market sentiment.
- Technical Indicator Focus: HMY's stock price has fallen below its 200-day moving average, potentially signaling short-term downside risk, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent market dynamics and technical signals.
- Industry Comparison Perspective: Compared to other metals stocks, HMY's performance may be influenced by overall market trends, particularly in the context of metal price fluctuations and changes in the economic environment, necessitating careful evaluation of its investment value.
See More
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- Profit Growth: Harmony Gold reported a nearly 25% increase in basic earnings per share to $0.90, yet the stock fell 12.5%, indicating market concerns over future production capabilities despite profit growth.
- Revenue Increase: The company saw a 20% year-over-year revenue rise to $2.56 billion, primarily driven by a 36% surge in average gold prices, but production declines led to rising costs that impacted overall profitability.
- Dividend Doubling: Harmony announced a record interim dividend of $0.32 per share for H1, significantly up from $0.12 a year earlier, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns amid profit growth.
- Copper Production Launch: Harmony produced copper for the first time in H1, with the CSA mine yielding 3,913 tons, and expects to reach 18,500 tons in the next 12 months, marking a strategic advancement in diversifying its production portfolio.
See More
