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HMY Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
14.340
1 Day change
2.87%
52 Week Range
26.060
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY) is not a strong buy at the moment for a long-term beginner investor. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and there is no strong positive catalyst to counteract the negative price movement and hedge fund selling activity. While options data shows bullish sentiment, the lack of recent positive financial performance data and weak stock trend probabilities make this stock a hold for now.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI is at 33.491 (neutral zone), and moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below the pivot level of 14.555, with support at 13.341 and resistance at 15.77.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios suggest bullish sentiment in the options market, but the overall volume is relatively low.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Morgan Stanley recently upgraded the stock to Equal Weight from Underweight with an increased price target, citing valuation improvements and reduced event risk.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are aggressively selling the stock, with a 1306.62% increase in selling over the last quarter. The stock has underperformed recently, with a -4.19% regular market change and bearish technical indicators. No significant insider trading or congress trading data is available.

Financial Performance

No financial data is available for the latest quarter, making it difficult to assess the company's recent growth trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Equal Weight from Underweight with a price target of ZAR 330, up from ZAR 265. This indicates a neutral to slightly positive outlook based on valuation improvements.

Wall Street analysts forecast HMY stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HMY stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 13.940
sliders
Low
20.5
Averages
20.5
High
20.5
Current: 13.940
sliders
Low
20.5
Averages
20.5
High
20.5
Morgan Stanley
Underweight -> Equal Weight
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
upgrade
Underweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley upgraded Harmony Gold to Equal Weight from Underweight with a price target of ZAR 330, up from ZAR 265. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade following the stock's underperformance over the past year. In addition, Harmony's key event risk of updated Eva capital guidance is now in the market, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BMO Capital
Raj Ray
Market Perform
initiated
$16
2025-07-17
Reason
BMO Capital
Raj Ray
Price Target
$16
2025-07-17
initiated
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Raj Ray initiated coverage of Harmony Gold with a Market Perform rating and $16 price target. Harmony is a South African senior gold producer with increasing copper exposure and geographical diversification, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm likes the company's operational setup but believes the stock's valuation is now broadly in line with peer average.
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