Should I Buy Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HMY has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
HMY stock price ended at $16.02 on Wednesday, after rising0.82%
The Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd stock price increased by 0.82% on the last trading day (06 Aug 2025), rising from 15.83 to 16.02. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.84% , ranging from a day low of $15.75 to a day high of 16.04. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.02% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.53M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.88M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 45.82M.
HMY Technical Signals
HMY(Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd Corp) has 5 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-31. The total price change during this trend is +19.02%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of HMY over the last 5 trading days is 60.29M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Thursday, August 7, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $16.28, and $17.31. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $12.95, and $11.92. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
HMY Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd(HMY) as of 05 Aug 2025 is 15.81%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 15.40 to 15.89. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Neutral
Sell
5
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.574
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.19
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.21
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
HMY Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd(HMY), our algorithm predicts HMY's 1-month price at $14.80, with an 1.41%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.75%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 1, 2025 , forecasts a 1.41% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PRK.A stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.75%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
Based on HMY's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in August is35.71%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in HMY. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at78.57%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY.N) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while September has the lowest probability (23.08%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd. (HMY)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HMY has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY.N) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while September has the lowest probability (23.08%).
How has Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd. (HMY)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
HMY's stock price rose by 76.27% in 2023,increased by 36.94% in 2024, and went up by 88.92%in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does HMY have?
Bullish technical signals of HMY include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, 5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA, 10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA.
Is HMY a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
HMY has 5 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for HMY is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of HMY.
What is the trend of Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY)'s moving average?
Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of August 07 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for HMY stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY.N) stock, as of June 01 2025, forecasts a 1.41% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PRK stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.75%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for HMY Stock?
HMY stock is expected to trade between $14 and $16 in 2025, driven by rising gold prices and cost management challenges. The stock is currently undervalued with a forward P/E of 10.31, but faces headwinds from rising production costs.
What is price prediction 2030 for HMY Stock?
### **Price Prediction for HMY Stock in 2030**
HMY stock is predicted to reach **$16.50** by 2030, driven by rising gold prices and diversification into copper. The stock is currently undervalued with a forward P/E of 10.31.