Gold Prices Surpass $5,000: Analyzing Mining Investment Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 17 2026
0mins
Should l Buy B?
Source: Fool
- Surge in Gold Prices: Gold prices have risen from $2,640 at the end of 2024 to $4,345 at the end of 2025, marking a 64% increase, which has significantly boosted mining companies' earnings, particularly Barrick's free cash flow, which grew by 194%, highlighting the strong performance of miners during gold price surges.
- Barrick's Competitive Edge: As an established mining company, Barrick operates 15 assets across North America and emerging markets, reducing risks associated with single-site operations and maintaining stable production through asset rotation, making it suitable for risk-averse investors seeking dependable exposure to gold.
- Caledonia's Growth Potential: Caledonia Mining's Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe produces 80,000 ounces of gold annually, and with recent capital raised for the Bilboes project expected to be operational by 2028, which could yield 200,000 ounces, maintaining gold prices around $5,000 could generate $1 billion in annual revenue, enhancing free cash flow.
- Investment Strategy Options: Investors can consider a barbell strategy by investing in both Barrick for stable returns and monitoring Caledonia's growth story, allowing them to align their investments with their risk profiles while benefiting from both companies' strengths.
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Analyst Views on B
Wall Street analysts forecast B stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 41.080
Low
44.31
Averages
58.14
High
71.00
Current: 41.080
Low
44.31
Averages
58.14
High
71.00
About B
Barrick Mining Corporation is a gold and copper producer, which is engaged in the production and sale of gold and copper, as well as related activities, such as exploration and mine development. The Company has ownership interests in producing gold mines that are located in Argentina, Canada, Cote d’Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Dominican Republic, Papua New Guinea, Tanzania and the United States. Its copper mines are located in Zambia, Chile and Saudi Arabia. Its operations include Nevada Gold Mines, Bulyanhulu, Jabal Sayid, Kibali, Loulo-Gounkoto, Lumwana, North Mara, Porgera, Pueblo Viejo, Veladero and Zaldivar. Its Bulyanhulu operation is located in north-west Tanzania, over 55 kilometers (km) south of Lake Victoria and 150 km southwest of the city of Mwanza. The Jabal Sayid copper operation is located approximately 350 km north-east of Jeddah in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The Lumwana copper mine is a conventional open pit operation.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Project Review Extended: Barrick Mining announced it will extend its review of the Reko Diq copper-gold project in Pakistan until mid-2027 due to worsening security conditions in the region, indicating a high sensitivity to external factors that could impact project viability.
- Capital Expenditure Adjustments: The company plans to scale back capital spending and expects significant increases in total estimated capital costs, with Phase 1 guidance set at $5.6 billion to $6.0 billion and Phase 2 at $3.3 billion to $3.6 billion, which may affect future financial performance.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Despite Raymond James lowering Barrick's price target from $62 to $61, the firm maintained an 'outperform' rating, suggesting that the market still views the stock's long-term prospects positively, with the target price implying approximately 46% upside potential.
- Neutral Retail Sentiment: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for Barrick was rated 'neutral' with normal message volumes, reflecting a cautious attitude among investors regarding the company's future developments, although some users expressed optimism about a potential supercycle in copper over the next 2-3 years.
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- Executive Appointment: Mayfair Gold has appointed Kevin Annett as Chief Financial Officer effective April 7, 2026, bringing over 15 years of mining finance experience, including his recent role as CFO of North America at Barrick Mining, which is expected to significantly support the construction and production of the Fenn-Gib project.
- Financing Plan: Annett will invest approximately $250,000 through a non-brokered private placement, which is expected to be used to advance the Fenn-Gib gold project in Ontario, highlighting the company's commitment to the project and its potential economic benefits.
- Share Issuance: The private placement will result in the issuance of 58,000 shares to Annett at a price of $4.38 per share, reflecting the latest closing price on TSX-V, which is anticipated to provide funding support for further project development.
- Option Incentives: The company has also granted Annett 250,000 stock options with a strike price of $4.38, vesting over five years, aimed at incentivizing his contributions to unlocking the value of the Fenn-Gib project.
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- Successful Financing: Riley Gold raised approximately C$1.67 million in gross proceeds by exercising 6.68 million warrants, which represents about 86% of the outstanding warrants before their April 2, 2026 expiry, indicating strong investor participation.
- Management Stake Increase: Following the warrant exercise, CEO Todd Hilditch increased his ownership stake to approximately 10.13% through a controlled entity, which not only reflects management's confidence in the company but may also enhance market expectations for future growth.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Riley Gold's stock price rose 0.72% in pre-market trading to $31.74, reflecting positive investor sentiment regarding the successful financing and recognition of the company's growth potential.
- Strategic Implications: This financing provides additional capital support for the company, potentially earmarked for future exploration and development projects, thereby advancing its strategic positioning in the gold mining sector and enhancing its competitive edge.
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- Project Delay: Barrick Mining announced it will slow the development of its Reko Diq copper-gold project in Pakistan, extending the project review until mid-2027 due to escalating security risks in the region, which may lead to significant adjustments in overall project timelines and budgets.
- Capital Expenditure Reduction: The company stated it will reduce capital spending on the project while maintaining active management and continuing to invest in existing community and social programs to ensure good relations with local communities amid uncertainty.
- Budget Risk Warning: Barrick warned of potentially significant increases to the previously disclosed total estimated capital budget, with Phase 1 estimated at $5.6B-$6B and Phase 2 at $3.3B-$3.6B, excluding capitalization of financing costs.
- Timeline Adjustment: Although Reko Diq could become one of the world's largest copper-gold mines, industry experts caution that development will be expensive and complex, with first production now targeted for the end of 2028.
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- Project Review Progress: Barrick Mining has decided to slow the development of the Reko Diq project due to escalating security risks, with a comprehensive review expected to continue until mid-2027, aimed at assessing the evolving security situation and capital requirements to mitigate potential losses.
- Capital Budget Adjustments: The estimated capital budget for Phase 1 of the Reko Diq project is projected between $5.6 billion and $6.0 billion, while Phase 2 is estimated between $3.3 billion and $3.6 billion, with significant increases anticipated due to heightened security issues, potentially impacting the project's overall feasibility.
- Community Investment Commitment: Despite the slowdown in development activities, Barrick remains committed to investing in local community and social programs, demonstrating its emphasis on social responsibility and aiming to maintain good relations with local governments and communities.
- Market Monitoring Strategy: Barrick will closely monitor the security landscape in consultation with its joint venture partners and provide further updates to the market following the conclusion of its review, ensuring project sustainability and investor confidence.
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- Oil Price Surge: Crude oil prices soared over 13% as President Trump took a tougher stance on Iran, reaching a 3.5-week high, which not only heightened inflation fears but also pushed bond yields higher, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 2 basis points to 4.34%.
- Unemployment Claims Drop: Weekly initial unemployment claims unexpectedly fell by 9,000 to 202,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the anticipated increase to 212,000, which could provide support for the stock market amid rising inflation concerns.
- Global Market Decline: Overseas stock markets are lower, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 2.25%, China's Shanghai Composite down 0.74%, and Japan's Nikkei 225 sharply falling 2.38% from a two-week high, reflecting global economic uncertainty and investor caution.
- Airline Stocks Plummet: Airline stocks are sharply lower as crude oil prices surged over 10%, raising fuel costs; United Airlines and American Airlines Group both fell more than 6%, highlighting the direct impact of rising oil prices on airline profitability.
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