FTSE 100 today: Index rises as Shell, NatWest wrap busy earnings week By Investing.com
British Stock Market Performance: British stocks opened higher with the FTSE 100 gaining 0.8% and the British pound rising against the dollar, following positive earnings reports from major firms like Shell and Standard Chartered.
Corporate Earnings Highlights: Shell reported a significant increase in Q1 earnings and announced a $3.5 billion buyback; Standard Chartered's profit rose by 10%, while NatWest returned to profitability, contrasting with RBC's downgrade of Watches of Switzerland due to demand concerns.
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- GDP Growth Forecast Cut: Deutsche Bank has revised the UK's GDP growth forecast down to a range of 0.7% to 0.35%, a significant downgrade that reflects severe challenges to economic growth amid a global energy price shock, potentially leading to a formal recession.
- Rising Unemployment Risks: The UK saw nearly a 1 percentage point increase in unemployment last year, and with soaring energy costs dampening business investment and hiring, the environment creates a high risk of a rapid economic slide.
- Non-Linear Economic Shifts: The current economic environment makes non-linear shifts more likely, where growth declines faster than traditional models predict, particularly as ongoing conflicts create deep uncertainty for domestic firms.
- Investor Confidence Eroded: With falling investment, reduced consumer spending, and rising unemployment, investor confidence in UK-centric assets is challenged, indicating a more severe economic outlook ahead.
- Strong Performance in Financial Stocks: Financial stocks continued to rise in late Wednesday trading, indicating a rebound in market confidence towards the financial sector, likely driven by improving economic data.
- Improved Market Sentiment: The positive response from investors towards financial stocks suggests a recovery in market sentiment, which may lead to increased capital inflows into the sector, thereby boosting the overall stock market.
- Increased Trading Volume: As financial stocks rise, trading volume has also increased, indicating a potentially optimistic outlook from investors regarding future market trends, further enhancing market activity.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: The upward trend in the financial sector may signal signs of economic recovery, attracting more investors' attention to the field, which could subsequently drive up the stock prices of related companies.
- Financial Strain on Universities: Universities are facing increased financial pressure due to rising costs.
- Impact of Federal Funding Cuts: President Donald Trump's initiatives to reduce federal funding are affecting many educational institutions.
- Revenue Beat: Strategy reported fourth-quarter revenue of $122.99 million after Thursday's close, surpassing analyst expectations of $118.48 million, indicating strong market performance that may attract more investor interest.
- Earnings Growth: The company posted adjusted earnings of $16.37 per share, exceeding analyst estimates of $10.96 per share, demonstrating significant improvement in profitability that could lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Stock Price Decline: Despite the revenue and earnings beats, Strategy's stock dipped 4.8% to $128.36 in pre-market trading, reflecting market concerns about the overall economic environment, which may impact investor confidence.
- Market Trends: U.S. stock futures were lower, with Nasdaq 100 futures falling around 100 points, indicating cautious market sentiment that could pressure tech stocks and influence overall investment strategies.
- Guidance Upgrade: NatWest Group has raised its 2025 income guidance to £16.3 billion, indicating strong confidence in future revenue growth and ongoing capital return capabilities.
- Buyback Completion: The bank has completed a buyback of 71.1 million shares, representing 0.88% of its share capital for £374.29 million, demonstrating proactive capital management efforts.
- Slight Fair Value Increase: The fair value for NatWest has been modestly adjusted from 6.60x to 6.63x, reflecting a slight enhancement in market recognition of its intrinsic value, even as the discount rate has increased to 8.45%.
- Analyst Target Upgrades: Analysts from Citi, JPMorgan, and RBC have raised their price targets for NatWest, reflecting growing recognition of its long-term earnings power, although some maintain neutral ratings to address potential risks.
Acquisition Announcement: Willis Towers Watson (WTW) has announced the acquisition of the workplace retirement schemes platform Cushon from NatWest (NWG), with the deal expected to close in the first half of 2026.
Financial Details: The financial terms of the acquisition have not been disclosed, although WTW was in advanced talks regarding the deal at the end of November.











