Fintech Companies Show Promising Long-Term Growth Potential
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 09 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AFRM?
Source: Fool
- Affirm's Business Growth: Affirm's BNPL services have attracted 25.8 million active consumers, a 19% increase from last year, with each consumer averaging 6.4 transactions, indicating strong demand among younger and lower-income demographics; analysts project revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 26% and 132%, respectively, by fiscal 2028.
- Market Valuation Advantage: Despite Affirm's enterprise value reaching $18 billion, its current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16 times, suggesting it remains an attractive investment in the rapidly growing BNPL market, potentially yielding substantial returns for investors.
- Chime's Market Positioning: Chime offers fee-free checking and savings accounts, attracting 9.5 million active users with a year-over-year growth rate of 19%; its early pay tools and low-limit credit cards help low-income users gradually build credit, addressing the urgent market demand for financial services.
- Revenue Growth Potential: Analysts expect Chime's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 19% and 92%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028; although its enterprise value is $7.6 billion, it appears relatively cheap at 19 times adjusted EBITDA, likely drawing increased investor interest.
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Analyst Views on AFRM
Wall Street analysts forecast AFRM stock price to rise
22 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 67.360
Low
65.00
Averages
87.72
High
107.00
Current: 67.360
Low
65.00
Averages
87.72
High
107.00
About AFRM
Affirm Holdings, Inc. provides consumers with an alternative to traditional payment options. The Company is engaged in building a payment network. Its platform comprises three core elements: point-of-sale payment solutions for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. Its Affirm App and Website provide tailored offers from merchants based on consumers' preferences. Consumers can apply at affirm.com or via the Affirm App and, upon approval, receive a single-use virtual card to use online or in-store. Its Affirm Card allows consumers to link a bank account to pay in full, or apply to pay overtime through the Affirm App. It offers users an in-app post-purchase feature that allows them to instantly apply to convert any eligible debit transaction into an installment loan. Through the Affirm app and in partnership with Cross River Bank, it offers a savings account, with no minimum deposit requirements or fees.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Consumer Resilience: Affirm CEO Max Levchin stated on CNBC's 'Mad Money' that despite rising economic and spending concerns, American consumers are demonstrating remarkable resilience, indicating that consumer confidence remains intact.
- Strong Performance: Affirm's recent quarterly results revealed a 35% increase in gross merchandise volume and a 33% rise in revenue, alongside an upward revision of its full-year forecast, reflecting the company's robust position in the buy now, pay later loan market.
- Spending Trends: Levchin highlighted healthy spending trends across various categories, particularly noting a significant rise in travel and ticketing demand, as consumers increasingly finance expensive concert tickets and summer travel purchases.
- Stable Credit Quality: While some observers question whether the increased use of buy now, pay later loans indicates economic strain, Levchin emphasized that Affirm has not observed any deterioration in spending activity or credit quality, with consumers maintaining their financial health.
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- Earnings Beat Expectations: Affirm's third-quarter results revealed revenue of $1.04 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $995.3 million, with operating income of $281 million surpassing the consensus estimate of $248.9 million, indicating strong performance driven by healthy consumer demand and disciplined underwriting.
- Price Target Increase: Bank of America raised its 12-month price target for Affirm from $82 to $88, suggesting a 37% upside potential, reflecting optimism about the company's growth prospects despite a 5% stock pullback following the earnings report.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Despite the earnings results exceeding expectations, Affirm's stock experienced a 5% decline after a 32% rally over the past month, with analysts suggesting this is a temporary adjustment and anticipating an update on the medium-term outlook at the May 12 Investor Forum, which could further boost the stock.
- High Industry Recognition: According to LSEG data, 24 out of 32 analysts covering Affirm rate it as a buy or strong buy, demonstrating strong market confidence in Affirm as a best-in-class underwriter, particularly given its highest non-prime exposure among peers.
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- Dell Downgrade to Neutral: UBS downgrades Dell from buy to neutral primarily on valuation grounds, noting that the stock's 170% rise over the past year has balanced the risk/reward profile, potentially affecting future investment decisions.
- Tesla Overweight Reiteration: Piper Sandler reiterates its overweight rating on Tesla, highlighting a range of positive tailwinds expected to drive valuation in the coming years, urging investors to focus on long-term delivery and earnings growth potential.
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- Market Performance: Qnity's stock has surged 80% year-to-date and is trading near all-time highs, leading to high expectations for its earnings report; any signs of underperformance could trigger profit-taking, impacting the company's short-term stock price.
- Economic Data Focus: The April Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a 3.7% year-over-year increase, reflecting the impact of soaring energy prices on consumers, particularly affecting lower-income households facing rising living costs.
- Future Outlook: With a change in leadership at the Federal Reserve and inflation remaining above target, market expectations for future interest rate policies have become complicated, necessitating close attention to the upcoming retail sales report to gauge consumer spending trends and overall economic health.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Affirm reported a record performance in Q3 2026, with CEO Max Levchin highlighting that the quarter exceeded expectations, demonstrating the company's stability in the credit market and robust customer demand.
- Positive Funding Market: COO Michael Linford noted that the funding market remains exceptionally favorable for the company, with funding costs down approximately 125 basis points year-on-year, reflecting strong investor confidence in Affirm.
- Continued Growth in Pay-in-X: CFO Robert O'Hare indicated that the momentum in the Pay-in-X business is expected to continue into Q4, particularly driven by the partnership with Shopify, which has boosted customer engagement and transaction volumes.
- Investment in International Expansion: Levchin mentioned that the company is investing in international market expansion, which may cause a slight drag on revenue in the short term, but is expected to create new growth opportunities in the long run.
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- Earnings Beat: Affirm Holdings reported a fiscal Q3 net revenue of $1.04 billion, exceeding the market expectation of $995.3 million, despite a decline from $1.12 billion in the previous quarter, yet showing a robust year-over-year growth of 33.5%, indicating strong performance in the rapidly growing consumer credit market.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company expects fiscal year 2026 gross merchandise volume to reach $49.265 billion to $49.565 billion, surpassing the market consensus of $48.82 billion, while raising its full-year revenue guidance to $4.175 billion to $4.205 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Improved Operational Efficiency: The adjusted operating margin is projected to be between 28.2% and 28.8%, up from the previous outlook of 27.4% to 28.1%, showcasing ongoing improvements in cost control and profitability, which further strengthens its competitive position in the market.
- User Growth: As of March 31, 2026, Affirm's active consumer count rose 22% year-over-year to 26.8 million, with transactions per active customer increasing from 5.8 to 6.7, demonstrating significant enhancement in user engagement that is likely to drive future revenue growth.
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