Eli Lilly's New Drug Sales Underwhelm Investors
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy LLY?
Source: Fool
- New Drug Sales Performance: Eli Lilly's weight loss pill Foundayo was prescribed only 1,390 times in its first week post-FDA approval, increasing to 3,707 in the second week, yet this pales in comparison to rival Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, which saw 18,410 prescriptions in its second week, indicating a significant market acceptance gap.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Concerns over Foundayo's sales outlook led to a nearly 4% drop in Eli Lilly's stock price during the trading session, reflecting investor skepticism about the new product's potential, which could impact the company's future financing and investment strategies.
- Competitive Market Pressure: While Eli Lilly has seen success with Zepbound, the disappointing initial performance of Foundayo raises concerns about its competitive position in the rapidly growing weight loss market, necessitating close monitoring of its subsequent sales data.
- Long-Term Outlook: Eli Lilly noted that the sales data for Foundayo may require time for a comprehensive assessment; despite the initial underperformance, the company's diversified strategy in drug development and market positioning still provides a stable growth foundation.
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Analyst Views on LLY
Wall Street analysts forecast LLY stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 917.650
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
Current: 917.650
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
About LLY
Eli Lilly and Company is a medicine company, which discovers, develops, manufactures, and market products in a single business segment called human pharmaceutical products. The Company manufacture and distribute its products through facilities in the United States, including Puerto Rico, and in Europe and Asia. The Company’s products are sold in approximately 90 countries. Its Cardiometabolic Health products Basaglar; Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, and others; Humulin, Humulin 70/30, and others; Jardiance; Mounjaro; Trulicity; Zepbound, and others. Its oncology products include Cyramza, Erbitux, Tyvyt, Verzenio, Retevmo, Jaypirca, and others. Its immunology products include Ebglyss, Olumiant, Omvoh, and Taltz. Its neuroscience products include Emgality and Kisunla. Its LillyDirect, a direct-to-patient digital health care platform, provides delivery of select Lilly medicines dispensed by third-party pharmacies to patients.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Analyst Upgrades: Guggenheim raised Eli Lilly's price target from $1,163 to $1,183, indicating a 31% upside, while Morgan Stanley increased its target to $1,327, suggesting a 47% potential growth, reflecting optimism about the company's future performance.
- Initial Drug Performance: Despite Eli Lilly's newly approved diabetes pill Foundayo recording only 3,707 prescriptions in its second week, significantly trailing Novo's Wegovy, analysts remain positive about its long-term market potential, believing it can improve market share over time.
- Acquisition Strengthens Oncology Pipeline: Eli Lilly's recent $7 billion acquisition of Kelonia Therapeutics aims to bolster its oncology pipeline, which not only solidifies its position in cell therapy but may also drive future revenue growth through enhanced treatment offerings.
- Upcoming Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate that Eli Lilly will report a 38% revenue increase to $17.61 billion in its Q1 earnings on April 30, with expected earnings per share of $6.87, a significant rise from last year's figures, indicating a trend of ongoing performance improvement.
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- Initial Prescription Struggles: Eli Lilly's Foundayo received only 1,390 prescriptions in its first week post-FDA approval, increasing to 3,707 in the second week, yet this pales in comparison to Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, which garnered 18,410 prescriptions, indicating a concerning market reception that could impact future sales expectations.
- Stock Price Decline Reflects Concerns: The disappointing initial sales performance led to a nearly 4% drop in Eli Lilly's stock price on Friday, reflecting investor skepticism about the new product's viability, which may result in short-term capital outflows and affect the company's market capitalization.
- Intensifying Market Competition: As Eli Lilly's first FDA-approved weight-loss pill, Foundayo faces formidable competition from Wegovy, which has already established a strong reputation and sales record, complicating Foundayo's market outlook and necessitating close monitoring of its subsequent performance.
- Long-Term Potential Remains: Despite Foundayo's poor initial sales data, Eli Lilly, as a major pharmaceutical company with a diverse product portfolio, has demonstrated potential in the weight-loss category with Zepbound's success, suggesting that investors should focus on long-term growth rather than short-term fluctuations.
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- New Drug Sales Performance: Eli Lilly's weight loss pill Foundayo was prescribed only 1,390 times in its first week post-FDA approval, increasing to 3,707 in the second week, yet this pales in comparison to rival Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, which saw 18,410 prescriptions in its second week, indicating a significant market acceptance gap.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Concerns over Foundayo's sales outlook led to a nearly 4% drop in Eli Lilly's stock price during the trading session, reflecting investor skepticism about the new product's potential, which could impact the company's future financing and investment strategies.
- Competitive Market Pressure: While Eli Lilly has seen success with Zepbound, the disappointing initial performance of Foundayo raises concerns about its competitive position in the rapidly growing weight loss market, necessitating close monitoring of its subsequent sales data.
- Long-Term Outlook: Eli Lilly noted that the sales data for Foundayo may require time for a comprehensive assessment; despite the initial underperformance, the company's diversified strategy in drug development and market positioning still provides a stable growth foundation.
See More
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