Dow Jones Rises Amid Trump Tariff Threats; Tesla Slides
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 26 2026
0mins
Should l Buy USAR?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Market Dynamics: The Dow Jones index rose on Monday despite Trump's threats of new tariffs on Canada, indicating market confidence in economic recovery.
- Tesla Performance: Tesla's stock slid, reflecting investor concerns about its future growth potential, which could impact the company's competitive position in the electric vehicle market.
- CoreWeave Surge: CoreWeave's stock jumped significantly, suggesting market recognition of its business model and growth prospects, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Tariff Implications: Trump's tariff threats may negatively affect cross-border trade, prompting companies to reassess supply chain strategies to cope with potential rising costs.
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Analyst Views on USAR
Wall Street analysts forecast USAR stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 19.490
Low
15.00
Averages
22.75
High
28.00
Current: 19.490
Low
15.00
Averages
22.75
High
28.00
About USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a supplier of sintered neo magnets and other rare earth metals. The Company is engaged in developing a NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, and intends to establish domestic rare earth and critical minerals supply, extraction, and processing capabilities to both supply its magnet manufacturing plant and market surplus materials to third parties. It is focused on developing domestic rare earth production that offers sustainable and secure domestic supply of materials critical to key industries. Its vertically integrated approach consists of sourcing rare earth elements (REEs), in addition to other critical minerals such as gallium, to producing finished NdFeB magnets. The Company serve a variety of industries, such as defense, robotics, electric vehicles, wind power, appliances, cordless tools and computing and semiconductors. The Company owns, Less Common Metals Ltd., which is a scaled ex-China rare earth metal and alloy manufacturer.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Fluor's Outlook: Fluor's business backlog stands at $25.5 billion, with projected revenue growth of 5% this year and accelerating to over 7% next year, which will restore profit growth, particularly against the backdrop of rising electricity demand driven by AI data centers.
- WM's Stability: As a waste collection company, WM's slow revenue growth is offset by enhanced pricing power amid increasing environmental regulations, and its medical waste business is expected to grow from $14 billion to $28 billion, showcasing significant market potential.
- USA Rare Earth's Production Launch: USA Rare Earth is nearing the completion of its rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in Oklahoma, with initial annual output expected at 5,000 metric tons, potentially reaching 10,000 metric tons, addressing the U.S. demand for permanent magnets with substantial market potential.
- Strategic Value of Rare Earth Resources: USA Rare Earth also owns a rare earth mine in Texas, projected to yield over 300,000 metric tons of rare earth metals, which could generate over $100 million in annual output at current prices, highlighting its long-term growth potential.
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- Fluor Performance Review: Fluor's revenue fell by 5% to $15.5 billion last year, impacting adjusted net earnings; however, the company's backlog stands at $25.5 billion, with projected revenue growth of 5% this year and over 7% next year, restoring profit growth.
- Rising Power Demand: Goldman Sachs predicts that AI technology will consume 50% more power by 2027 compared to 2024, driving Fluor's business in natural gas, infrastructure, and power production facilities, particularly in nuclear power plant construction.
- WM's Steady Growth: WM, as a waste collection company, shows strong pricing power and market competitiveness with its 105 recycling facilities and medical waste business, despite slow single-digit revenue growth amid increasing environmental regulations.
- USA Rare Earth's Potential: USA Rare Earth is nearing completion of its rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in Oklahoma, expecting initial annual output of 5,000 metric tons, potentially reaching 10,000 metric tons, entering a market projected to exceed $74 billion by 2031, with significant revenue potential from its Texas rare earth mine.
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- Leadership Expansion: USA Rare Earth has appointed semiconductor executive Dr. Thomas Caulfield to its Board of Directors, aiming to enhance the company's execution capacity in the rare earth and critical minerals supply chain, particularly under government support for critical minerals projects.
- Acquisition and Funding Support: This appointment follows the acquisition of Texas Mineral Resources and significant federal funding awards, indicating that the company is transitioning from project planning to heavier buildout and integration work, which is expected to accelerate production capabilities in rare earths and magnets.
- Market Positioning: USA Rare Earth focuses on building a fully domestic rare earth and magnet supply chain, and Caulfield's addition will help align complex semiconductor manufacturing experience with downstream customer needs, thereby improving project market adaptability.
- Risks and Opportunities: Although the company has not reported revenue and faces funding risks, investors should monitor progress across mining, processing, and magnet manufacturing capabilities as execution milestones advance, rather than focusing solely on short-term earnings metrics.
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- Significant Funding: USA Rare Earth has secured $277 million in federal funding, a $1.3 billion loan under the CHIPS Act, and $1.5 billion in private investment, which will accelerate its plans to develop rare-earth magnet production at the Stillwater plant by 2026, enhancing its competitive position in the rare-earth market.
- Market Potential: Heavy rare-earth elements (HREEs) hold a critical position in the global market, with China expected to dominate 94% of rare-earth magnet production by 2024, and an overwhelming 99% share in HREEs, presenting substantial market opportunities for USA Rare Earth.
- Clear Financial Targets: The company has set ambitious financial targets for 2030, including $2.6 billion in revenue and $1.2 billion in EBITDA, and if management meets these projections, the stock could appear extremely attractive, benefiting investors from potential price appreciation.
- Execution is Key: While the outlook for rare-earth magnet production is optimistic, the company must successfully develop the Round Top deposit and secure non-Chinese sources of rare-earth elements to avoid future funding needs that could dilute existing shareholders' earnings and cash flow.
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- Funding Support: USA Rare Earth's agreement with the U.S. government has secured $277 million in federal funding, a $1.3 billion loan under the CHIPS Act, and $1.5 billion in private investment, which will accelerate its rare-earth magnet production plans at the Stillwater plant, expected to commence in 2026.
- Market Positioning: The Round Top deposit is rich in heavy rare-earth elements (HREEs), which command significantly higher prices than light rare-earth elements, with commercial production anticipated to begin in 2028, positioning the company favorably in a market dominated by China.
- Financial Targets: Management has set ambitious financial targets for 2030, projecting revenues of $2.6 billion, EBITDA of $1.2 billion, and free cash flow of $900 million, making the stock appear extremely attractive if these targets are met, especially given the rising demand for HREEs.
- Execution Challenges: Despite the optimistic outlook, the company must successfully develop a world-class magnet manufacturing facility and secure non-Chinese sources of rare-earth elements for Stillwater, as any need for future funding could dilute existing shareholders' claims to earnings and cash flow, which is a significant concern for investors.
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- Funding Agreement Secured: USA Rare Earth has reached an agreement with the U.S. government, securing $277 million in federal funding, a $1.3 billion loan under the CHIPS Act, and $1.5 billion in private investment, which will accelerate its rare-earth magnet production plans at the Stillwater plant.
- Market Positioning Advantage: The Round Top deposit is rich in heavy rare-earth elements (HREEs), with commercial production expected to begin in 2028, and the strong demand for HREEs, particularly in defense, renewable energy, and electric vehicles, underscores the company's strategic importance in the rare-earth market.
- Financial Targets Set: Management has established financial targets for 2030, including $2.6 billion in revenue and $1.2 billion in EBITDA, and if these targets are met, the stock could appear extremely attractive, potentially drawing more investor interest.
- Execution Challenges: Despite the optimistic outlook, the company must successfully develop a world-class magnet manufacturing facility and secure non-Chinese sources of rare-earth elements for Stillwater to avoid future funding that could dilute existing shareholders' earnings and cash flow.
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