Cybersecurity Giant Palo Alto Networks Lowers Full-Year Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
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Should l Buy PANW?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Outlook Cut Affects Stock: Cybersecurity firm Palo Alto Networks (PANW) saw its shares drop by 6% after lowering its full-year earnings outlook, indicating market concerns over its future profitability and potentially diminishing investor confidence.
- Earnings Season Pressure: As of February 13, 74% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with a blended growth rate of 13.2%, which, if sustained, would mark the index's tenth consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth, showcasing resilience in overall market performance.
- Mixed Competitor Performance: General Mills (GIS) experienced a 6% drop in stock price due to disappointing earnings, while online trading platform eToro (ETOR) surged over 20% following a strong quarterly performance, highlighting varied market reactions to different companies.
- Upcoming Earnings Focus: Investors will closely monitor upcoming earnings reports from Walmart (WMT) and Deere & Co. (DE), among others, as these results could significantly influence market sentiment and investment decisions.
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Analyst Views on PANW
Wall Street analysts forecast PANW stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
28 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 163.500
Low
157.00
Averages
232.49
High
265.00
Current: 163.500
Low
157.00
Averages
232.49
High
265.00
About PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides comprehensive artificial intelligence (AI)-powered security solutions across network, cloud, security operations and AI. The Company focuses on four areas: Network Security, Cloud Security, Security Operations and Threat Intelligence and Advisory Services (Unit 42). Its network security platform comprises ML-powered firewalls, AI Runtime Security, and a Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) framework, which includes Prisma Access, Prisma SD-WAN, and Prisma Access Browser to secure remote workforces and branch offices. Its Cloud security is delivered via Prisma Cloud, a Code to Cloud platform that protects applications, data, GenAI environments, and the cloud-native stack throughout the development lifecycle. Its Unit 42 division provides intelligence-led consulting, incident response, managed detection and response, and threat hunting services. Its Prisma AIRS is an AI security platform which secures applications, agents, models and data.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Report: Palo Alto Networks is set to release its second-quarter earnings report on Tuesday afternoon.
- AI Disruption: The company is also focusing on the impact of artificial intelligence on various industries, indicating a strategic shift in their approach.
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- Earnings Expectations: Palo Alto Networks is set to release its Q2 earnings report after the market close on February 17, with analysts forecasting earnings of $0.94 per share, an increase from $0.81 per share in the same quarter last year, indicating ongoing improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Growth: The company is expected to report quarterly revenue of $2.58 billion, up 14.2% from $2.26 billion a year earlier, reflecting strong demand and an increase in market share within the cybersecurity sector.
- Acquisition Completion: On February 11, Palo Alto Networks announced the completion of its acquisition of CyberArk for $45 per share in cash plus 2.2005 shares of Palo Alto stock, which will enhance its product offerings and competitive positioning in the market.
- Stock Performance: Following the latest news, Palo Alto's stock rose by 2.6% to close at $166.95, indicating positive market sentiment regarding the company's growth potential moving forward.
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- Market Sentiment Analysis: Ives noted that while there is currently no clear evidence of enterprises increasing spending on AI agents and platforms, software-led AI spending is expected to accelerate significantly in the next 12 to 18 months, potentially reaching $700 billion in capital expenditures, thereby driving growth in related industries.
- Confidence in Tech Transformation: Ives emphasized that fears of AI replacing enterprise software are exaggerated, as the complexity of modern enterprises makes such a replacement nearly impossible, which will instead drive continued growth in the software and cybersecurity sectors.
- Key Industry Outlook: He specifically highlighted Palo Alto Networks (PANW) as poised to benefit from the impending software spending boom, asserting that the company's position in cybersecurity will give it an advantage in the future AI market.
- Market Dynamics: Despite PANW's stock price declining over 26% in the past year, market sentiment remains optimistic, with retail investors on Stocktwits expressing “extremely bullish” sentiment, indicating confidence in the company's future AI-related growth potential.
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- Strong Economic Data: US December capital goods new orders rose 0.6% month-over-month, surpassing expectations of 0.3%, indicating a rebound in capital spending and boosting market confidence in economic recovery.
- Housing Market Recovery: December housing starts increased by 6.2% month-over-month to 1.404 million, significantly exceeding expectations of 1.304 million, suggesting a revival in the real estate market that could drive growth in related sectors.
- Manufacturing Production Growth: January manufacturing production rose 0.6% month-over-month, beating expectations of 0.4%, marking the largest increase in 11 months, which indicates a recovery momentum in manufacturing that may further propel economic growth.
- Optimistic Corporate Earnings: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, which will further boost market sentiment and attract investor interest.
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- Tech Stocks Surge: Nvidia's shares rose 2% following a multiyear partnership with Meta, which will utilize millions of Nvidia chips for its data center expansion, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the tech sector.
- Oil Price Impact: WTI crude oil prices increased by 3.4% amid concerns over potential hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, raising costs for gasoline, transportation, and goods, which could negatively affect several stocks in the portfolio.
- Cybersecurity Concerns: Despite Palo Alto Networks exceeding earnings expectations, its stock fell 7.3% due to ongoing fears that AI could erode its market share, although the CEO argues that increased AI usage will drive demand for security solutions.
- Pharmaceutical Breakthrough: Bristol Myers' FDA-approved drug Camzyos has contributed to a 27% stock price increase over three months, but setbacks in trials for its Alzheimer's treatment raise investor caution regarding future performance.
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- High Travel Expenses: Palantir CEO Alex Karp's travel expenses reached $17.2 million in 2025, doubling from $7.7 million in 2024, raising concerns among investors about the company's financial management and resource allocation.
- Flight Time Analysis: Analyst Brent Thill's calculations suggest that with a mid-sized jet, Karp's $17.2 million expenditure translates to approximately 2,457 flight hours annually, equating to about 28% of the year spent in the air, which raises questions about the necessity of such extensive travel.
- Peer Comparison: Burry highlighted the stark contrast between Karp's travel costs and those of other tech CEOs, indicating potential mismanagement of company resources that could undermine investor confidence in Palantir.
- Stock Price Forecast: Burry also presented a technical analysis suggesting a potential 58% downside for Palantir's stock, with a target price range of $50 to $60, intensifying market concerns regarding the company's future performance.
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