Conagra Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates, Sales Decline 4.3% Y/Y
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 10 2025
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Should l Buy CAG?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Conagra Brands Q4 Results: Conagra Brands reported a decline in both net sales and earnings for fiscal Q4 2025, missing estimates due to tough market conditions, with adjusted EPS at 56 cents and net sales of $2.78 billion, down 4.3% year-over-year.
Future Outlook: For fiscal 2026, Conagra aims to focus on snacks and frozen foods while expecting organic net sales growth between -1% to +1%, with projected adjusted earnings between $1.70 and $1.85 per share, reflecting a decrease from the previous year.
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Analyst Views on CAG
Wall Street analysts forecast CAG stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 16.030
Low
16.00
Averages
18.67
High
22.00
Current: 16.030
Low
16.00
Averages
18.67
High
22.00
About CAG
Conagra Brands, Inc. is a branded food company. The Company’s segments include Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment includes branded, shelf-stable food products sold in various retail channels in the United States. The Refrigerated & Frozen segment includes branded, temperature-controlled food products sold in various retail channels in the United States. The International segment includes branded food products in various temperature states, sold in various retail and foodservice channels outside the United States. The Foodservice segment includes branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and a variety of custom-manufactured culinary products that are packaged for sale to restaurants and other foodservice establishments primarily in the United States. Its brands include Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, and Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Capacity Investment: Conagra Brands is investing $220 million to expand its chicken processing facility to meet strong demand for a newly launched fried chicken product, although this move does not fundamentally improve its overall financial situation.
- Sales Decline: In the fiscal second quarter of 2026, Conagra's sales fell by 6.8%, with organic sales down 3%, indicating significant challenges in the highly competitive packaged food industry.
- Brand Value Write-down: The company reported losses in the quarter due to brand value write-downs, highlighting a portfolio filled with second-tier brands that undermines investor confidence.
- Dividend Appeal: Despite Conagra's high dividend yield of 8.6%, analysts suggest that investors should consider better-positioned consumer staples companies for superior long-term returns.
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- Inflation Data Release: The U.S. Producer Price Index is set to be released on Wednesday at 8:30 AM, with a consensus estimate of a 0.3% increase, which could directly impact market sentiment and trigger trading volatility.
- Federal Reserve Rate Decision: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will announce the interest rate decision at 2 PM on Wednesday, with the market closely watching for guidance on future monetary policy, which may influence bond yields and stock performance.
- Bond Yield Situation: The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.206%, while the 2-year and 3-month Treasury yields are at 3.682% and 3.696%, respectively, reflecting market expectations for future rates and investor risk appetite.
- Earnings Reports Focus: General Mills and Micron Technology are set to report earnings on Wednesday, with the former's stock down 38% from its 2025 peak and the latter gaining nearly 105% in the past three months, highlighting varying market reactions and investor focus on different companies.
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- Investment Expansion: Conagra Brands is investing $220 million to upgrade its chicken processing facility to meet strong demand for its newly launched fried chicken product, which, while seemingly positive, merely reflects the company's need to keep pace with industry innovation.
- Sales Decline: In the fiscal second quarter of 2026, Conagra's sales fell by 6.8%, with organic sales down 3%, indicating poor overall performance amid economic pressures and shifting consumer preferences, which also suggests a decline in brand value.
- Brand Positioning Issues: Although Conagra boasts a high dividend yield of 8.6%, its portfolio has long been filled with second-tier brands, leading investors to consider better-positioned consumer staples companies to avoid potential financial risks.
- Market Environment Challenges: The entire packaged food sector is facing pressures from economic slowdowns and a consumer shift towards healthier options, making Conagra's investments appear less convincing within its broader business framework, potentially deterring long-term growth-focused investors.
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- Stock Price Decline: Conagra's stock has plummeted from $26 a year ago to $16 now, reflecting market pessimism about its growth prospects, and while it boasts an 8.25% yield, this is primarily due to the stock's significant decline rather than performance improvements.
- Weak Sales Outlook: At the CAGNY conference, Conagra reaffirmed its full-year sales guidance, projecting growth between 1% and -1%, a meager increase that failed to excite investors and highlights the company's struggles in a competitive food market.
- Stagnant Revenues: Cramer noted that Conagra's revenues have remained flat for multiple years, lacking growth momentum, which leads him to adopt a cautious stance on the company's investment outlook, deeming it unattractive in the current market environment.
- Brand Portfolio Strength: Despite facing challenges, Conagra still possesses a strong portfolio of well-known brands like Marie Callender’s and Slim Jim, which provide a competitive edge in market recognition; however, this advantage has not translated into stock price gains amid overall poor market performance.
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- Conagra Brands Performance: Conagra's dividend yield stands at 7.5%, yet its annual revenue has declined for two consecutive years due to shifting consumer preferences towards fresher foods, with a recent quarter's net income dropping 35% year-over-year, indicating a lack of future growth potential, warranting caution from investors.
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- Healthpeak Properties Growth: Healthpeak boasts a 7% dividend yield, with its healthcare REIT reporting a 3% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, and plans to spin off its senior living operations through an IPO, showcasing strong growth potential.
- REIT Investment Advantages: Healthpeak's triple-net lease strategy reduces operational costs while ensuring annual rent increases, and with the aging global population, the healthcare sector's outlook is promising, making its disciplined management approach a solid investment choice.
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- Stock Performance Issues: Conagra Brands' stock is currently trading below $20, having declined nearly 50% over the past five years, although it has rebounded slightly this year with an 8% increase, indicating significant financial challenges the company faces.
- Cash Flow Decline Risk: Free cash flow is expected to drop substantially by 2026, with a $313 million decrease in the first half of fiscal 2026 compared to the previous year; while no dividend cut has been announced, the sustainability of dividend payments may be at risk if financial conditions do not improve.
- Sales Decline: In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Conagra reported a 6.8% decline in net sales and an operating margin of -20.1%, reflecting a significant sales pressure due to shifting consumer preferences away from processed foods.
- Investment and Growth Potential: Despite the challenges, Conagra announced a $220 million investment to expand a chicken production plant in Arkansas, expected to create around 100 new jobs, and the CEO maintains an optimistic outlook on the company's potential for organic sales growth, demonstrating a commitment to seeking growth amid adversity.
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