Company Sees FY26 Adjusted EBITDA of $100M-$110M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 13 2026
0mins
Should l Buy STKS?
Sees FY26 adjusted EBITDA $100M-$110M. Sees FY26 consolidated comparable sales up 1%-3%. "In 2025, we took decisive action to optimize our portfolio and position the company for sustained long-term growth. We closed six underperforming Grill locations and identified up to five additional units for conversion to our higher-performing Benihana or STK formats through 2026. Our first RA Sushi to STK conversion in Scottsdale, Arizona has exceeded expectations, operating at a run rate of approximately $7 million in annualized sales on an approximate $1 million capital investment. This validates the strength of this repositioning strategy. Additionally, we advanced our asset-light growth strategy by securing development rights for ten Benihana and Benihana Express locations in the San Francisco Bay Area, representing the largest franchise agreement in our Company's history. We have also secured a commitment for an additional franchised Benihana location and a licensed Benihana Express location in the Florida Keys," Hilario concluded.
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Analyst Views on STKS
Wall Street analysts forecast STKS stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.780
Low
5.00
Averages
5.00
High
5.00
Current: 1.780
Low
5.00
Averages
5.00
High
5.00
About STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. is an international restaurant company, which develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos, and other high-end venues. Its primary restaurant brands are STK, an American steakhouse concept featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails; Benihana, an interactive dining destination with skilled chefs preparing food in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and cocktails; Kona Grill, a polished casual bar-centric grill concept featuring sushi, and specialty cocktails in a polished casual atmosphere, and RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offers a bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere anchored by sushi, inventive drinks, and service. It owns, operates, manages, and franchises approximately 167 venues, including 30 STKs, 85 Benihanas, 27 Kona Grills and 16 RA Sushis.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
The ONE Group to Present at Investor Conference
- Investor Conference Announcement: The ONE Group will present at Sidoti's Small-Cap Virtual Investor Conference on March 19, 2026, which is expected to attract significant investor attention, thereby enhancing the company's visibility and influence in the capital markets.
- Executive Participation: CEO Emanuel Hilario and CFO Nicole Thaung will host one-on-one meetings with investors, aiming to strengthen investor confidence and facilitate potential investments through direct communication.
- Convenient Registration: The conference registration is free and open to all, indicating the company's commitment to expanding its investor base and enhancing transparency, which may attract more institutional investors.
- Company Background: The ONE Group is an international restaurant company focused on upscale dining and hospitality management services, aiming to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, a strategic positioning that enhances brand value and market competitiveness.
See More
One Group Hospitality Reports 2025 Financial Results
- Revenue Growth and Challenges: One Group Hospitality Inc. reported total GAAP revenue of approximately $805 million for FY 2025, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase primarily due to the full integration of the Benihana brand, although Q4 revenue fell to about $207 million, indicating ongoing pressures in the full-service dining sector.
- Net Loss and EBITDA Decline: The company reported a net loss of $6.4 million in Q4, compared to a net income of $1.6 million in Q4 2024, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by 9.5% to $28.1 million, highlighting challenges in cost management and market conditions.
- Strategic Investments and Expansion: The company is focusing on capital-efficient growth by securing development rights for 10 Benihana and Benihana Express locations in California, while also planning to expand into non-traditional venues like sports and entertainment stadiums.
- Market Confidence and Future Outlook: Despite achieving sales growth in certain brands, overall consumer confidence remains at historical lows, which could negatively impact future performance, prompting management to adopt a cautious outlook.
See More
ONE Group Hospitality Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Insights
- Revenue Growth and Challenges: For fiscal year 2025, total GAAP revenue reached approximately $805 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth; however, comparable sales declined by about 3.7%, indicating ongoing pressures in the full-service dining sector and heightened market competition risks.
- Quarterly Performance Fluctuations: In Q4, total GAAP revenue was approximately $207 million, down 6.7% from $222 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to portfolio optimization actions and fiscal calendar shifts, highlighting short-term challenges faced during strategic adjustments.
- Future Outlook and Strategy: The company projects total GAAP revenues between $840 million and $855 million for fiscal year 2026, aiming for 1% to 3% comparable sales growth through asset-light development agreements and new venue openings, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
- Operational Efficiency Improvements: The company has made progress in controlling restaurant costs, with the cost of sales as a percentage of net revenue improving by 80 basis points to 19.6%, which is expected to enhance margins and strengthen financial flexibility.
See More
ONE Group Hospitality Reports Q4 Losses and Missed Revenue Guidance
- Earnings Miss: ONE Group Hospitality reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.49, missing estimates by $0.43, indicating significant challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company’s Q4 revenue of $207.01 million represents a 6.7% year-over-year decline, falling short of expectations by $3.27 million, reflecting pressures from weak market demand and intensified competition.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The Q1 2026 guidance projects revenues between $217 million and $221 million, indicating a cautious approach to future growth that may impact long-term strategic planning.
- Cost Control Efforts: Total operating expenses are expected to account for 82% to 83% of restaurant net revenue, demonstrating the company’s efforts in cost management, though the long-term impact on profitability remains a concern.
See More
Strategic Portfolio Optimization Enhances Long-Term Value
- Financial Overview: In Q4 2025, total GAAP revenues were $207 million, a 6.7% decline year-over-year, primarily due to the New Year's holiday shift impacting revenues by approximately 2.5%, negatively affecting the company's overall financial health.
- Increased Net Loss: The full-year net loss for 2025 reached $92 million, significantly up from $17 million in 2024, primarily driven by a $69 million increase in tax expenses and non-cash losses related to the optimization strategy, indicating challenges in cost control.
- Improved Restaurant Operating Profit: Despite sales declines, the restaurant operating profit margin slightly increased to 19.5% in Q4, suggesting some success in cost management, which could enhance future profitability.
- Long-Term Growth Strategy: The company plans to close six underperforming Grill locations and convert up to five units to higher-performing Benihana or STK formats by 2026, with an expected payback period of one year per conversion, demonstrating a strong commitment to optimizing its portfolio.
See More
ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY PROJECTS FY REVENUE BETWEEN USD 840 MILLION AND 855 MILLION
- Revenue Overview: One Group Hospitality is projected to generate $840-855 million in revenue.
- Market Position: The company is positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities within the hospitality sector.
See More
The ONE Group to Present at Investor Conference
- Investor Conference Announcement: The ONE Group will present at Sidoti's Small-Cap Virtual Investor Conference on March 19, 2026, which is expected to attract significant investor attention, thereby enhancing the company's visibility and influence in the capital markets.
- Executive Participation: CEO Emanuel Hilario and CFO Nicole Thaung will host one-on-one meetings with investors, aiming to strengthen investor confidence and facilitate potential investments through direct communication.
- Convenient Registration: The conference registration is free and open to all, indicating the company's commitment to expanding its investor base and enhancing transparency, which may attract more institutional investors.
- Company Background: The ONE Group is an international restaurant company focused on upscale dining and hospitality management services, aiming to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, a strategic positioning that enhances brand value and market competitiveness.
See More
One Group Hospitality Reports 2025 Financial Results
- Revenue Growth and Challenges: One Group Hospitality Inc. reported total GAAP revenue of approximately $805 million for FY 2025, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase primarily due to the full integration of the Benihana brand, although Q4 revenue fell to about $207 million, indicating ongoing pressures in the full-service dining sector.
- Net Loss and EBITDA Decline: The company reported a net loss of $6.4 million in Q4, compared to a net income of $1.6 million in Q4 2024, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by 9.5% to $28.1 million, highlighting challenges in cost management and market conditions.
- Strategic Investments and Expansion: The company is focusing on capital-efficient growth by securing development rights for 10 Benihana and Benihana Express locations in California, while also planning to expand into non-traditional venues like sports and entertainment stadiums.
- Market Confidence and Future Outlook: Despite achieving sales growth in certain brands, overall consumer confidence remains at historical lows, which could negatively impact future performance, prompting management to adopt a cautious outlook.
See More
ONE Group Hospitality Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Insights
- Revenue Growth and Challenges: For fiscal year 2025, total GAAP revenue reached approximately $805 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth; however, comparable sales declined by about 3.7%, indicating ongoing pressures in the full-service dining sector and heightened market competition risks.
- Quarterly Performance Fluctuations: In Q4, total GAAP revenue was approximately $207 million, down 6.7% from $222 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to portfolio optimization actions and fiscal calendar shifts, highlighting short-term challenges faced during strategic adjustments.
- Future Outlook and Strategy: The company projects total GAAP revenues between $840 million and $855 million for fiscal year 2026, aiming for 1% to 3% comparable sales growth through asset-light development agreements and new venue openings, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
- Operational Efficiency Improvements: The company has made progress in controlling restaurant costs, with the cost of sales as a percentage of net revenue improving by 80 basis points to 19.6%, which is expected to enhance margins and strengthen financial flexibility.
See More
ONE Group Hospitality Reports Q4 Losses and Missed Revenue Guidance
- Earnings Miss: ONE Group Hospitality reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.49, missing estimates by $0.43, indicating significant challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company’s Q4 revenue of $207.01 million represents a 6.7% year-over-year decline, falling short of expectations by $3.27 million, reflecting pressures from weak market demand and intensified competition.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The Q1 2026 guidance projects revenues between $217 million and $221 million, indicating a cautious approach to future growth that may impact long-term strategic planning.
- Cost Control Efforts: Total operating expenses are expected to account for 82% to 83% of restaurant net revenue, demonstrating the company’s efforts in cost management, though the long-term impact on profitability remains a concern.
See More
Strategic Portfolio Optimization Enhances Long-Term Value
- Financial Overview: In Q4 2025, total GAAP revenues were $207 million, a 6.7% decline year-over-year, primarily due to the New Year's holiday shift impacting revenues by approximately 2.5%, negatively affecting the company's overall financial health.
- Increased Net Loss: The full-year net loss for 2025 reached $92 million, significantly up from $17 million in 2024, primarily driven by a $69 million increase in tax expenses and non-cash losses related to the optimization strategy, indicating challenges in cost control.
- Improved Restaurant Operating Profit: Despite sales declines, the restaurant operating profit margin slightly increased to 19.5% in Q4, suggesting some success in cost management, which could enhance future profitability.
- Long-Term Growth Strategy: The company plans to close six underperforming Grill locations and convert up to five units to higher-performing Benihana or STK formats by 2026, with an expected payback period of one year per conversion, demonstrating a strong commitment to optimizing its portfolio.
See More
ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY PROJECTS FY REVENUE BETWEEN USD 840 MILLION AND 855 MILLION
- Revenue Overview: One Group Hospitality is projected to generate $840-855 million in revenue.
- Market Position: The company is positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities within the hospitality sector.
See More
