Cleveland-Cliffs Q1 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy CLF?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Release Date: Cleveland-Cliffs is set to announce its Q1 earnings on April 20 before the market opens, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.43, reflecting a significant 53.3% year-over-year decline, which could directly impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $4.79 billion, representing a 3.5% year-over-year increase; however, the downward revisions in EPS and revenue estimates indicate challenges the company may face in maintaining growth.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Cleveland-Cliffs has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time but only 13% for revenue, highlighting volatility in its profitability and the need for strategic adjustments.
- Market Environment Changes: The U.S. government's plan to impose a 25% tariff on finished steel and aluminum products may affect Cleveland-Cliffs' market competitiveness and future profitability, necessitating a reassessment of its operational strategies.
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Analyst Views on CLF
Wall Street analysts forecast CLF stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
5 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 9.720
Low
5.75
Averages
12.78
High
17.00
Current: 9.720
Low
5.75
Averages
12.78
High
17.00
About CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is a steel producer with a focus on value-added sheet products, particularly for the automotive industry in North America. The Company is vertically integrated from the mining of iron ore, production of pellets and direct reduced iron, and processing of ferrous scrap through primary steelmaking and downstream finishing, stamping, tooling, and tubing. Its offering includes advanced high-strength steel, hot-dipped galvanized, aluminized, galvalume, electrogalvanized, galvanneal, hot-rolled coil (HRC), cold-rolled coil, plate, grain oriented electrical steel (GOES), non-oriented electrical steel (NOES), stainless steels, tool and die, stamped components, and slabs. Its Other Businesses primarily include the Tubular and Tooling and Stamping segments that provide customer solutions with carbon and stainless-steel tubing products, advanced-engineered solutions, tool design and build, hot- and cold-stamped steel components and complex assemblies.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Release Date: Cleveland-Cliffs is set to announce its Q1 earnings on April 20 before the market opens, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.43, reflecting a significant 53.3% year-over-year decline, which could directly impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $4.79 billion, representing a 3.5% year-over-year increase; however, the downward revisions in EPS and revenue estimates indicate challenges the company may face in maintaining growth.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Cleveland-Cliffs has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time but only 13% for revenue, highlighting volatility in its profitability and the need for strategic adjustments.
- Market Environment Changes: The U.S. government's plan to impose a 25% tariff on finished steel and aluminum products may affect Cleveland-Cliffs' market competitiveness and future profitability, necessitating a reassessment of its operational strategies.
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- Earnings Release Announcement: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is set to release its Q1 earnings on April 20, drawing significant market attention regarding its financial performance, particularly in the current economic climate.
- Analyst Loss Expectations: Analysts anticipate a loss of 41 cents per share, indicating the company's profitability pressures amid market challenges, which could negatively impact investor confidence.
- Stock Price Performance: As of Thursday, Cleveland-Cliffs' stock closed at $9.72, reflecting a cautious market sentiment ahead of the earnings report, with investors likely awaiting clearer financial guidance.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Given the potential for the upcoming earnings report to fall short of market expectations, investors should monitor subsequent stock price fluctuations, especially as the company faces declining profitability, which may affect its long-term investment appeal.
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- Price Reduction Announcement: Jeffries has cut the target price for Cleveland-Cliffs from $13 to $10.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects a shift in market expectations regarding Cleveland-Cliffs' performance.
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- Stock Surge: ArcelorMittal's stock has surged over 100% since Trump's tariff announcement, significantly outperforming Nucor and Steel Dynamics, which saw gains of 51% and 6% respectively, indicating its strong market performance and competitive edge.
- Political Influence: The company is supplying steel for Trump's $400 million ballroom renovation project, which, while potentially angering domestic producers by accepting foreign steel, also brings potential orders and heightened market attention to ArcelorMittal.
- Strong Profit Growth: In 2025, ArcelorMittal's profits more than doubled, driven by rising prices in Europe and robust African mining operations, with expectations for further benefits from trade protection measures and improvements in the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism in the coming years.
- Underperformance of US Peers: Despite strong demand for steel in the U.S., Cleveland-Cliffs, Nucor, and Steel Dynamics reported disappointing earnings, highlighting competitive pressures and market challenges that could impact future investment decisions.
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- Century Aluminum Surge: Century Aluminum (CENX) has seen its stock price soar by 245% over the past year, significantly outperforming its peers and benchmarks, indicating a strong competitive position in the U.S. aluminum market.
- Steel Sector Performance: Steel Dynamics (STLD) and Nucor (NUE) reported gains of 48% and 45%, respectively, surpassing the S&P 500's 17% and Nasdaq's 13% increases, reflecting a positive trend across the industry.
- Tariff Policy Impact: The Trump administration's increase of aluminum and steel import tariffs from 25% to 50% has led to a mere 2% rise in Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF), highlighting performance disparities within the sector, with high-cost imports creating an aluminum sheet supply deficit exceeding 1.4 million tons.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment towards Century Aluminum remained predominantly 'bullish', with message volumes rising from 'low' to 'extremely high', while sentiment for other companies largely remained 'neutral'.
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- Tariff Adjustment Plan: The Trump administration is preparing to announce changes to the tariff regime for finished steel and aluminum products this week, aiming to simplify compliance processes and potentially impacting the overall cost structure of the steel and aluminum industry.
- New Tariff Rates: The tariff on finished steel and aluminum products will be reduced from 50% to 25%, applying to the entire value of the finished product rather than just the steel or aluminum content, which may increase tariff costs for certain products.
- Scope of Impact: While many goods will see a lower tariff rate, the new policy's full-value taxation could lead to increased import costs for some products, affecting market prices and consumer spending.
- Stock Volatility: Stocks related to steel and aluminum, such as Nucor, Cleveland-Cliffs, and Alcoa, may experience fluctuations due to this policy change, prompting investors to monitor these companies' market performance and strategies in response to the new tariff regulations.
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