Challenges Ahead as Strait of Hormuz Reopens
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 10 hours ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Reopening Timeline: The Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen in weeks, but due to complex logistical and security issues, a full return to normal shipping may take months, impacting global oil and gas supply chains.
- Transport Bottleneck: Kpler estimates that 118 tankers are currently stranded in the Persian Gulf, with clearing the backlog expected to take 10 to 15 days, but this does not equate to a full recovery of the supply chain.
- Insurance and Safety Issues: Before normal shipping can resume, naval forces need to certify safe transit corridors, and insurers must reinstate coverage, which will further delay vessel movements and increase shipping costs.
- Oil Price Volatility: Goldman Sachs has lowered its Brent crude price forecast to $80 per barrel, reflecting market caution regarding supply recovery, although oil prices may still face pressure in the short term.
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Analyst Views on GS
Wall Street analysts forecast GS stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1099.140
Low
604.00
Averages
951.45
High
1100
Current: 1099.140
Low
604.00
Averages
951.45
High
1100
About GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. is a global financial institution that delivers a range of financial services to a large and diversified client base that includes corporations, financial institutions, governments and individuals. Its segments include Global Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management and Platform Solutions. The Global Banking & Markets segment offers a range of services, including financing, advisory services, risk distribution, and hedging for its institutional and corporate clients. It facilitates client transactions and makes markets in fixed income, equity, currency and commodity products. The Asset & Wealth Management segment manages assets and offers investment products across all asset classes to a diverse set of clients. It also provides investing and wealth advisory solutions. The Platform Solutions segment includes consumer platforms, such as partnerships offering credit cards and point-of-sale financing, and transaction banking and other platform businesses.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Reopening Timeline: The Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen in weeks, but due to complex logistical and security issues, a full return to normal shipping may take months, impacting global oil and gas supply chains.
- Transport Bottleneck: Kpler estimates that 118 tankers are currently stranded in the Persian Gulf, with clearing the backlog expected to take 10 to 15 days, but this does not equate to a full recovery of the supply chain.
- Insurance and Safety Issues: Before normal shipping can resume, naval forces need to certify safe transit corridors, and insurers must reinstate coverage, which will further delay vessel movements and increase shipping costs.
- Oil Price Volatility: Goldman Sachs has lowered its Brent crude price forecast to $80 per barrel, reflecting market caution regarding supply recovery, although oil prices may still face pressure in the short term.
See More
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- IPO Milestone: Goldman Sachs went public on May 4, 1999, issuing 69 million shares and raising $3.657 billion, marking the second-largest IPO in U.S. financial history at the time, thus ending its 130-year history as a private partnership and initiating a new chapter in its growth.
- Financial Performance: In 2025, Goldman Sachs reported net revenues of $58.28 billion, a 9% increase year-over-year, with net earnings of $17.18 billion, reflecting a robust performance in the investment banking sector and solidifying its market leadership.
- Market Influence: Goldman Sachs is viewed as a bellwether for investment banking activity and capital market trends, with its stock price trading above $1,000 in mid-2026, demonstrating strong market confidence and investor optimism since its IPO without any stock splits.
- Strategic Development: The firm's global expansion and diversified operations enable it to support clients in uncertain market conditions, with CEO David Solomon emphasizing the importance of a risk management culture to maintain competitiveness across various market environments.
See More
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- Stock Decline: SpaceX shares are experiencing their second consecutive day of decline, dropping 7.6% to a current price of $180.40, while still above the opening day closing price of $161, indicating significant market volatility.
- Valuation vs. Potential: Despite CEO Elon Musk's prediction of exceeding $1 trillion in sales by 2030, SpaceX's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio remains high, with Q1 revenue reported at $4.7 billion, suggesting a disconnect between current valuation and future growth potential.
- Wall Street Expectations: Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley project sales of $470 billion and $330 billion by 2030, respectively, indicating that even at the higher estimate, the stock would trade at a P/S of 5, reflecting cautious investor sentiment regarding future growth.
- Investment Opportunity: While the stock may remain volatile in the near term, this week's decline could present a buying opportunity for long-term investors looking to add SpaceX shares to their portfolios, particularly with a 10 to 20-year investment horizon.
See More
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- Stock Volatility: SpaceX shares are currently down 12% from their peak, with a 7.6% drop today, indicating market concerns about its future performance, prompting investors to carefully assess their entry timing.
- Revenue Forecast Discrepancies: While CEO Elon Musk predicts revenues exceeding $1 trillion by 2030, Wall Street analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley project more conservative figures of $470 billion and $330 billion respectively, reflecting a cautious market outlook on SpaceX's growth potential.
- Valuation Considerations: SpaceX's current price-to-sales ratio remains high, and even under optimistic revenue forecasts, the expected P/S ratio could reach 5 by 2030, suggesting that the stock price may face downward pressure in the near term.
- Long-term Investment Opportunity: For investors planning to hold for 10 to 20 years, the current price decline may present a good opportunity to gradually accumulate SpaceX shares, despite the company not making it onto the latest “best stocks” recommendation list.
See More
New Fed Chair Speaks, Apple Price Hike Looms
- New Fed Chair: Kevin Warsh's assertive tone at his first press conference indicates a potential shift in monetary policy, leading to an overreaction in the market, as evidenced by rising futures this morning, which may influence investor sentiment moving forward.
- Apple Price Increase: Apple plans to raise prices on its iPhone Pro model by approximately $270 due to surging memory costs, while carriers may still offer attractive deals to cushion the impact on consumers, which could affect Apple's competitive positioning in the market.
- Intel Collaboration News: President Trump announced on social media that Apple has agreed to collaborate with Intel to design and manufacture chips in America, resulting in a surge in Intel's stock price, reflecting a strong support for domestic manufacturing and potential growth opportunities.
- Marvell Price Target Increase: KeyBanc raised Marvell's price target from $260 to $385, with analysts expressing optimism about the company's prospects in server networking, indicating strong confidence in its future growth potential.
See More
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- Oil Price Volatility: Following the announcement of a framework for a long-term peace deal between Iran and the U.S., oil prices have dropped 30% from their nearly $113 peak on April 7, indicating market optimism about future supply, which could further impact global energy market stability.
- Positive Market Reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged above 52,000 for the first time, although it later retreated, reflecting investor expectations surrounding the peace deal, which may boost related energy stocks and enhance market confidence.
- Supply Chain Recovery: JPMorgan reports that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz increased from 2.9 million barrels per day in May to 5.1 million barrels per day in June, although still at only 25% of pre-war levels, this recovery speed could accelerate global market supply and subsequently affect oil prices.
- Gasoline Price Decrease: The national average gasoline price is expected to fall below $3.50 per gallon within two weeks, with 11 states already below $3.65, providing tangible benefits to consumers and reflecting the positive economic impact of declining oil prices.
See More
Challenges Ahead as Strait of Hormuz Reopens
- Reopening Timeline: The Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen in weeks, but due to complex logistical and security issues, a full return to normal shipping may take months, impacting global oil and gas supply chains.
- Transport Bottleneck: Kpler estimates that 118 tankers are currently stranded in the Persian Gulf, with clearing the backlog expected to take 10 to 15 days, but this does not equate to a full recovery of the supply chain.
- Insurance and Safety Issues: Before normal shipping can resume, naval forces need to certify safe transit corridors, and insurers must reinstate coverage, which will further delay vessel movements and increase shipping costs.
- Oil Price Volatility: Goldman Sachs has lowered its Brent crude price forecast to $80 per barrel, reflecting market caution regarding supply recovery, although oil prices may still face pressure in the short term.
See More
