Block, Inc. Reports Strong Q4, Announces 40% Workforce Reduction
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy XYZ?
Source: Benzinga
- Strong Q4 Performance: Block, Inc. reported a gross payment volume of $66.9 billion in Q4, an 8% year-over-year increase, although below the $68.0 billion estimate; gross profit surged 24% to $2.87 billion, exceeding expectations and indicating robust earnings potential.
- Workforce Reduction Boosts Profitability: The company announced a 40% workforce reduction, cutting its staff from over 10,000 to under 6,000, which is expected to significantly enhance profitability and support stock price growth, with analysts projecting a 54% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating income for fiscal 2026.
- Raised 2026 Outlook: Block has meaningfully raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, forecasting gross profit of $12.20 billion, an 18% increase, surpassing market expectations, while adjusted operating income is projected at $3.20 billion, reflecting strong business momentum and cost savings from restructuring.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts from firms like Needham and TD Cowen reiterated their Buy ratings and raised price targets, reflecting growing confidence in Block's restructuring and accelerating Cash App growth, which could unlock a new phase of margin expansion.
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Analyst Views on XYZ
Wall Street analysts forecast XYZ stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
3 Hold
2 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 54.530
Low
55.00
Averages
86.51
High
108.00
Current: 54.530
Low
55.00
Averages
86.51
High
108.00
About XYZ
Block, Inc. builds technology to increase access to the global economy. The Company operates through two segments: Square and Cash App. The Square includes managed payment services, software solutions, hardware, and financial services offered to sellers, excluding those that involve Cash App. The Cash App segment includes the financial tools available to individuals within the mobile Cash App, including peer-to-peer payments, bitcoin and stock investments. The Cash App also includes Cash App Card, which is linked to customer stored balances that customers can use to pay for purchases or withdraw funds from an ATM. Cash App also includes the BNPL platform. Its Afterpay business is transforming the way customers manage their spending over time. Its TIDAL business is a music platform that empowers artists to thrive as entrepreneurs. Its Bitkey business is a simple self-custody wallet built for bitcoin. Proto business is a suite of bitcoin mining products and services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Workforce Impact Analysis: Block's announcement of a 40% workforce reduction has raised market concerns; however, analysts believe this move is aimed at adapting to a positive long-term shift in business economics, potentially enhancing future ROI.
- Strong Earnings Performance: Block's Q4 earnings exceeded market expectations, with adjusted operating income surpassing Wall Street consensus, despite Square's gross profit margin falling short, indicating the company's potential for profitability.
- Positive Market Reaction: Block's stock surged 13% in Friday trading, following a more than 20% jump in Thursday's after-hours session, reflecting investor optimism about the company's growth prospects, even as other fintech stocks faced declines.
- Analyst Ratings Optimistic: Analysts from Evercore ISI and Citi have assigned a 'Buy' rating to Block, suggesting the company can adapt to challenges and achieve long-term growth, despite the potential short-term vacancies from the 40% headcount reduction, which is expected to positively impact future cost structures.
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- Dow Jones Decline: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by over 500 points, or 1%, snapping an eight-month winning streak, reflecting growing concerns about the economic outlook, particularly against the backdrop of widespread declines in tech stocks.
- Block Layoffs Raise Concerns: Block announced it would cut nearly half its workforce due to the impact of AI, igniting fears about future corporate operations and leading to a decline in investor confidence in the tech sector, further exacerbating market volatility.
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- Massive Layoffs: Block CEO Jack Dorsey announced a layoff of approximately 4,000 employees, nearly half of the company's workforce, framing this move not just as a cost-cutting measure but as a shift towards an AI-centric operational model, which may prompt other companies to follow suit.
- Divergent Economist Views: While Dorsey believes that most companies will undergo similar structural changes within the next year, economists express skepticism, suggesting that this move may reflect company-specific adjustments rather than a broader shift in the labor market.
- Current Job Market Status: Despite the layoff news, the U.S. unemployment rate remains healthy at 4.3%, with the information sector's unemployment rate dropping to 5%, and a 12% increase in job postings for software development roles indicates resilience in the tech industry.
- AI's Far-reaching Impact: Federal Reserve officials noted that AI is more likely to enhance productivity rather than eliminate jobs outright, as companies reconsider resource allocation, shifting investments from labor to capital spending, signaling potential changes in future employment structures.
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- Sharp Stock Decline: American Express shares fell 7.89% on Friday, bringing the year-to-date decline to approximately 15%, despite no new company-specific disclosures, as fears of AI-induced white-collar job disruptions heightened investor concerns.
- AI Layoff Signal Spooks Market: Block announced significant workforce reductions, with CEO Jack Dorsey attributing it to structural changes driven by AI tools, suggesting that most companies may follow suit, which contributed to the sell-off in credit and payments stocks.
- Strong Business Performance: American Express reported full-year revenue of $72.2 billion for 2025, a 10% year-over-year increase, with a net write-off rate of 2%, indicating that consumer stress is not reflected in the latest financial results, and management expects 9% to 10% revenue growth for 2026.
- Valuation Analysis: Following Friday's sell-off, American Express shares traded around $308.88, with a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 18 times the midpoint of its 2026 earnings guidance, which, while reasonable for a premium card network, may prompt investors to seek a lower valuation due to concerns over potential job market disruptions from AI.
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- Massive Layoffs: Block CEO Jack Dorsey's announcement of cutting approximately 4,000 jobs, nearly half of the company's workforce, underscores a decisive shift in corporate structure as AI becomes increasingly central to operations, potentially impacting employee morale and company culture.
- Industry Trend Implications: Dorsey anticipates that within the next year, most companies will face similar structural changes, indicating a widespread trend in corporate transformation towards AI applications, which could lead to broader adjustments in the job market.
- Divergent Economist Views: While layoffs raise concerns about the employment landscape, economists argue that these are primarily company-specific adjustments rather than signals for the overall economy, emphasizing that the current unemployment rate remains healthy at 4.3%.
- Far-reaching AI Impact: As companies reconsider resource allocation, the widespread adoption of AI technology may disrupt jobs across various sectors, with tech jobs accounting for only 5% to 7% of the total workforce, yet increasing investments in capital spending could reshape future employment dynamics.
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- Strong Q4 Performance: Block, Inc. reported a gross payment volume of $66.9 billion in Q4, an 8% year-over-year increase, although below the $68.0 billion estimate; gross profit surged 24% to $2.87 billion, exceeding expectations and indicating robust earnings potential.
- Workforce Reduction Boosts Profitability: The company announced a 40% workforce reduction, cutting its staff from over 10,000 to under 6,000, which is expected to significantly enhance profitability and support stock price growth, with analysts projecting a 54% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating income for fiscal 2026.
- Raised 2026 Outlook: Block has meaningfully raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, forecasting gross profit of $12.20 billion, an 18% increase, surpassing market expectations, while adjusted operating income is projected at $3.20 billion, reflecting strong business momentum and cost savings from restructuring.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts from firms like Needham and TD Cowen reiterated their Buy ratings and raised price targets, reflecting growing confidence in Block's restructuring and accelerating Cash App growth, which could unlock a new phase of margin expansion.
See More











