Binance Predicts Bitcoin to Evolve as Macro Financial Asset with Market Value Surpassing $4 Trillion
- Market Value Milestone: Binance's report indicates that the total crypto market value surpassed $4 trillion in 2025, with Bitcoin ending the year down approximately 7.9%, yet maintaining a market dominance of 58%-60%, highlighting its potential as a macro financial asset.
- Deepening Institutional Participation: Institutional involvement has significantly increased through spot ETFs, crypto-backed lending, and corporate treasury holdings, with spot ETFs attracting over $21 billion in inflows, reflecting growing confidence in Bitcoin's market position.
- Improved Regulatory Environment: Enhanced regulatory clarity across major jurisdictions, including the U.S., EU, Hong Kong, and Singapore, supports emerging OECD standards, laying the groundwork for further development in the crypto market and attracting new institutional issuers.
- Mainstreaming of Stablecoins: The stablecoin market capitalization has exceeded $305 billion, with daily trading volumes surpassing Visa, indicating that stablecoins have become mainstream financial instruments, expected to drive future liquidity expansion and growth in market infrastructure.
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Analyst Views on BTC

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- Market Trends: Cryptocurrency stocks are experiencing a decline, tracking lower Bitcoin prices.
- Impact on Investors: The drop in Bitcoin prices is affecting investor sentiment and market confidence.
- Future Predictions: Analysts are closely monitoring the situation for potential recovery signs in the crypto market.
- Broader Implications: The downturn in cryptocurrency values may have wider implications for the financial market and investment strategies.
Coinbase Global Shares Decline: Coinbase Global shares have fallen by 6.8%, indicating a downturn in the company's stock performance.
Bitcoin Price Tracking: The decline in Coinbase shares is associated with a decrease in Bitcoin prices, reflecting broader market trends.

Market Dynamics: The recent selling pressure in the cryptocurrency market is primarily driven by long-term holders trimming their positions rather than panic selling from newer ETF investors, despite Bitcoin's significant price drop.
ETF Investor Behavior: Executives from Bitwise and Granite Shares noted that most ETF investors are holding through the downturn, with a majority indicating they are in it for the long haul, despite around 40% of spot Bitcoin ETF holders currently being underwater.
Retail Sentiment: Retail sentiment around Bitcoin remains bearish, with trading activity reflecting a high level of concern, while sentiment for the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF remains bullish, indicating a divergence in investor outlooks.
Market Pressures: The overall market stress has increased recently, with Bitcoin testing critical price levels and Ethereum trading near significant thresholds, suggesting broader liquidity issues and risk-off behavior among institutional investors.
Bitcoin Market Analysis: Analysts from Bernstein attribute Bitcoin's recent price decline to weakened investor confidence rather than structural issues in the crypto market, noting that the current cycle has avoided major balance-sheet failures seen in past bear markets.
Future Price Predictions: Bernstein analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by the end of 2026, contingent on easing liquidity conditions and continued growth in ETF inflows.
Current Market Conditions: Bitcoin is trading within the $68,000 to $70,000 range, with recent price drops attributed to a shock in confidence rather than systemic collapse, as liquidity remains tight.
Altcoin Performance: Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana are also experiencing declines, but retail sentiment around them remains bullish, with Ethereum trading around $2,059 and Solana at approximately $85.53.

Central Bank Plans: The Federal Reserve, led by Governor Christopher Waller, is set to roll out its 'skinny master accounts' proposal by the end of the year, aimed at simplifying digital asset management and enhancing payment systems.
Opposition to CLARITY Bill: Waller noted significant opposition to the CLARITY bill in Congress, which seeks to clarify cryptocurrency regulations, indicating ongoing uncertainty in the legislative process.
Bitcoin Market Trends: Bitcoin prices have recently dropped nearly 1%, reflecting a broader sell-off in the cryptocurrency sector, which is becoming increasingly detached from traditional finance.
Consumer Protections: The proposed CLARITY Act aims to provide clearer rules for digital assets, enhance consumer protections, and facilitate better access for businesses and regulators in the digital asset space.
Market Overview: Cryptocurrency stocks are experiencing a decline, reflecting a broader downturn in the market.
Bitcoin Prices: The price of Bitcoin is tracking lower, contributing to the overall negative sentiment in the crypto market.







