Arm Holdings Surges 38%, Overtakes Micron in SOXX 2026 Returns
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 21 2026
0mins
Source: Newsfilter
- Stock Surge: Arm Holdings' stock price surged 38% over three sessions, primarily driven by strong earnings from Nvidia, indicating robust market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Outpacing Competitors: This price increase allowed Arm Holdings to leapfrog Micron in the SOXX index's 2026 return ranking, reflecting a reassessment of its competitiveness and market position within the semiconductor industry.
- Positive Market Reaction: Investor enthusiasm for Nvidia's impressive performance has fostered optimism across the semiconductor sector, benefiting Arm Holdings and further solidifying its leadership in the industry.
- Strategic Implications: The rapid growth of Arm Holdings not only enhances its market valuation but may also attract more investor attention, strengthening its strategic advantages in future technological innovations and market expansion.
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Analyst Views on ARM
Wall Street analysts forecast ARM stock price to fall
24 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 335.270
Low
120.00
Averages
160.58
High
201.00
Current: 335.270
Low
120.00
Averages
160.58
High
201.00
About ARM
Arm Holdings plc is a United Kingdom-based company. The Company is engaged in the design of central processing units (CPUs) and compute platforms for semiconductor chips. It develops and licenses CPU products and related technology. Its cloud and data center solutions include Arm AGI CPU and Arm Neoverse Compute Subsystems. The Arm Agentic Generalized Infrastructure (AGI) CPU is a production-ready system on a chip (SoC) for artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, delivering compute at scale. The Arm Neoverse Compute Subsystems (CSS) are pre-validated, performance-optimized compute platforms designed to accelerate infrastructure silicon development. The Company's primary markets include smartphone applications, processors and other chips used in mobile phones, consumer electronics, networking equipment, cloud and data center servers, automotive applications, Internet of Things (loT) and other embedded computing devices.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Arm Holdings Sees Significant Growth in CPU Market Share
- Market Share Increase: Arm Holdings has achieved approximately 50% market share in the data center CPU sector, driven by the widespread adoption of its efficient Arm architecture by top hyperscalers like Nvidia and Amazon, which is expected to further solidify its market position.
- Revenue Growth Potential: Arm anticipates that its first-party chip business will generate $15 billion in sales by 2031, potentially yielding $7.5 billion in gross profit, significantly surpassing its current royalty revenue model and demonstrating the success of its strategic transformation.
- Future Market Expectations: Arm projects that the data center CPU market will reach $100 billion by 2031, doubling from $50 billion in 2026, reflecting the rapid growth in AI compute demand, which is further driving the need for CPUs.
- Valuation Challenges: Despite Arm's stock tripling in value since the beginning of the year, the current price-to-earnings ratio of 159 presents a risk of overvaluation for investors, as management's 2031 earnings guidance indicates substantial future growth potential, but high valuations may limit further stock price increases.
See More
Earnings Reports and Tech Conferences This Week
- Earnings Reports: This week, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Broadcom are set to report earnings, with Palo Alto expected to post $0.80 per share on $2.94 billion in revenue, while CrowdStrike is projected to report $1.07 per share on $1.36 billion, highlighting strong market interest in cybersecurity.
- AI-Driven Market Rebound: As AI technology becomes more prevalent, both Palo Alto and CrowdStrike have seen their stock prices rebound to all-time highs, and despite facing high valuation pressures, market expectations for their future performance remain optimistic, making management's outlook a key focus for investors.
- Tech Conference Highlights: Nvidia, Arm, and Microsoft will discuss AI-related topics at tech conferences this week, with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang scheduled to deliver a keynote on Monday, where he is expected to unveil a new product, potentially personal computers powered by its GPUs, further boosting its market share.
- Labor Market Data: The JOLTS report will be released this week, with expectations of 120,000 new private sector jobs added in May and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%, reflecting economic resilience, and investors will closely monitor these figures for their potential impact on inflation and monetary policy.
See More
Arm Holdings' Surge in Data Center CPU Market
- Market Share Growth: Arm Holdings has achieved a 50% market share in the data center CPU market, driven by the widespread adoption of its efficient Arm architecture by top hyperscalers like Nvidia and Amazon, indicating a strong competitive position.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Arm anticipates that its proprietary chip sales will reach $15 billion by 2031, potentially generating $7.5 billion in gross profit, showcasing significant growth potential compared to its total gross profit of $4.8 billion in 2025.
- Surge in CPU Demand: With the rise of agentic AI, the demand for CPUs is expected to shift from the current 1:4 CPU to GPU ratio to 1:1 in the future, further driving market demand for Arm's offerings and strengthening its business foundation.
- Valuation Challenges: Despite Arm's stock tripling in value since the beginning of the year, its current P/E ratio stands at 159, presenting a challenge for investors as the high valuation raises concerns about the feasibility of another tripling in stock price, even with substantial growth potential ahead.
See More
Arm Holdings' Rise in Data Center CPU Market
- Market Share Growth: Arm Holdings has captured approximately 50% of the data center CPU market, bolstered by the widespread adoption of its efficient Arm architecture by top hyperscalers like Nvidia and Amazon, indicating a significant shift in competitive dynamics.
- Revenue Growth Outlook: Arm anticipates that its direct chip sales will reach $15 billion by 2031, potentially generating $7.5 billion in gross profit, showcasing a remarkable growth trajectory compared to its gross profit of $4.8 billion in 2025, reflecting strong future demand.
- Surging CPU Demand: As agentic AI workloads increase, the CPU-to-GPU ratio may shift from 1:4 to 1:1, highlighting the value of Arm's designs in meeting this demand, which further enhances its market position.
- Valuation Concerns: Despite Arm's stock tripling in value since the beginning of the year, its current P/E ratio stands at 159, prompting investors to carefully evaluate whether this high valuation is justified, especially given the disparity between the company's growth potential and market expectations.
See More
Comparative Growth Analysis of Qualcomm and Arm
- Revenue Growth Comparison: Arm achieved a 20% year-over-year growth in Q1 2026, while Qualcomm's revenue fell by 3.5%, indicating Arm's stronger growth potential in the market, which may attract investor interest in its future performance.
- Profitability Analysis: Arm's net income margin stands at 21%, while Qualcomm boasts nearly 70%, indicating Qualcomm's strong profitability; however, its slowing revenue growth may impact long-term investment appeal.
- Market Transformation Strategy: Qualcomm is shifting focus from the handset market to sectors like automotive, IoT, and data centers, and if its AI strategy is successfully implemented, it could accelerate revenue growth and narrow the gap with Arm.
- Investor Focus: Despite Arm's stock rising nearly 600% over the past three years, Qualcomm's growth is also noteworthy, especially during its transformation, prompting investors to closely monitor its performance in AI and consumer devices.
See More
AI Drives Growth Opportunities for Arm and Qualcomm
- Arm Revenue Growth: In Q1 2026, Arm's revenue grew 20% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, driven by its licensing and royalty-based business model, resulting in a healthy 21% net income margin, indicating strong market demand and profitability.
- Qualcomm Revenue Fluctuations: Despite Qualcomm's net income margin nearing 70% in Q1, its revenue fell 3.5% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in its strategic shift from the handset market to automotive, IoT, and data center segments, necessitating close monitoring of future growth potential.
- Market Competition Analysis: Over the past three years, Arm's stock has surged nearly 600%, compared to Qualcomm's approximately 123% return, highlighting Arm's increasing competitiveness in the semiconductor industry, particularly in automotive and AI applications.
- Future Outlook: As Qualcomm adjusts its product lineup to seize opportunities in data centers and AI-driven consumer devices, it will be crucial to observe whether it can accelerate revenue growth in the coming years while Arm continues to expand its market share.
See More
Arm Holdings Sees Significant Growth in CPU Market Share
- Market Share Increase: Arm Holdings has achieved approximately 50% market share in the data center CPU sector, driven by the widespread adoption of its efficient Arm architecture by top hyperscalers like Nvidia and Amazon, which is expected to further solidify its market position.
- Revenue Growth Potential: Arm anticipates that its first-party chip business will generate $15 billion in sales by 2031, potentially yielding $7.5 billion in gross profit, significantly surpassing its current royalty revenue model and demonstrating the success of its strategic transformation.
- Future Market Expectations: Arm projects that the data center CPU market will reach $100 billion by 2031, doubling from $50 billion in 2026, reflecting the rapid growth in AI compute demand, which is further driving the need for CPUs.
- Valuation Challenges: Despite Arm's stock tripling in value since the beginning of the year, the current price-to-earnings ratio of 159 presents a risk of overvaluation for investors, as management's 2031 earnings guidance indicates substantial future growth potential, but high valuations may limit further stock price increases.
See More
Earnings Reports and Tech Conferences This Week
- Earnings Reports: This week, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Broadcom are set to report earnings, with Palo Alto expected to post $0.80 per share on $2.94 billion in revenue, while CrowdStrike is projected to report $1.07 per share on $1.36 billion, highlighting strong market interest in cybersecurity.
- AI-Driven Market Rebound: As AI technology becomes more prevalent, both Palo Alto and CrowdStrike have seen their stock prices rebound to all-time highs, and despite facing high valuation pressures, market expectations for their future performance remain optimistic, making management's outlook a key focus for investors.
- Tech Conference Highlights: Nvidia, Arm, and Microsoft will discuss AI-related topics at tech conferences this week, with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang scheduled to deliver a keynote on Monday, where he is expected to unveil a new product, potentially personal computers powered by its GPUs, further boosting its market share.
- Labor Market Data: The JOLTS report will be released this week, with expectations of 120,000 new private sector jobs added in May and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%, reflecting economic resilience, and investors will closely monitor these figures for their potential impact on inflation and monetary policy.
See More
Arm Holdings' Surge in Data Center CPU Market
- Market Share Growth: Arm Holdings has achieved a 50% market share in the data center CPU market, driven by the widespread adoption of its efficient Arm architecture by top hyperscalers like Nvidia and Amazon, indicating a strong competitive position.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Arm anticipates that its proprietary chip sales will reach $15 billion by 2031, potentially generating $7.5 billion in gross profit, showcasing significant growth potential compared to its total gross profit of $4.8 billion in 2025.
- Surge in CPU Demand: With the rise of agentic AI, the demand for CPUs is expected to shift from the current 1:4 CPU to GPU ratio to 1:1 in the future, further driving market demand for Arm's offerings and strengthening its business foundation.
- Valuation Challenges: Despite Arm's stock tripling in value since the beginning of the year, its current P/E ratio stands at 159, presenting a challenge for investors as the high valuation raises concerns about the feasibility of another tripling in stock price, even with substantial growth potential ahead.
See More
Arm Holdings' Rise in Data Center CPU Market
- Market Share Growth: Arm Holdings has captured approximately 50% of the data center CPU market, bolstered by the widespread adoption of its efficient Arm architecture by top hyperscalers like Nvidia and Amazon, indicating a significant shift in competitive dynamics.
- Revenue Growth Outlook: Arm anticipates that its direct chip sales will reach $15 billion by 2031, potentially generating $7.5 billion in gross profit, showcasing a remarkable growth trajectory compared to its gross profit of $4.8 billion in 2025, reflecting strong future demand.
- Surging CPU Demand: As agentic AI workloads increase, the CPU-to-GPU ratio may shift from 1:4 to 1:1, highlighting the value of Arm's designs in meeting this demand, which further enhances its market position.
- Valuation Concerns: Despite Arm's stock tripling in value since the beginning of the year, its current P/E ratio stands at 159, prompting investors to carefully evaluate whether this high valuation is justified, especially given the disparity between the company's growth potential and market expectations.
See More
Comparative Growth Analysis of Qualcomm and Arm
- Revenue Growth Comparison: Arm achieved a 20% year-over-year growth in Q1 2026, while Qualcomm's revenue fell by 3.5%, indicating Arm's stronger growth potential in the market, which may attract investor interest in its future performance.
- Profitability Analysis: Arm's net income margin stands at 21%, while Qualcomm boasts nearly 70%, indicating Qualcomm's strong profitability; however, its slowing revenue growth may impact long-term investment appeal.
- Market Transformation Strategy: Qualcomm is shifting focus from the handset market to sectors like automotive, IoT, and data centers, and if its AI strategy is successfully implemented, it could accelerate revenue growth and narrow the gap with Arm.
- Investor Focus: Despite Arm's stock rising nearly 600% over the past three years, Qualcomm's growth is also noteworthy, especially during its transformation, prompting investors to closely monitor its performance in AI and consumer devices.
See More
AI Drives Growth Opportunities for Arm and Qualcomm
- Arm Revenue Growth: In Q1 2026, Arm's revenue grew 20% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, driven by its licensing and royalty-based business model, resulting in a healthy 21% net income margin, indicating strong market demand and profitability.
- Qualcomm Revenue Fluctuations: Despite Qualcomm's net income margin nearing 70% in Q1, its revenue fell 3.5% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in its strategic shift from the handset market to automotive, IoT, and data center segments, necessitating close monitoring of future growth potential.
- Market Competition Analysis: Over the past three years, Arm's stock has surged nearly 600%, compared to Qualcomm's approximately 123% return, highlighting Arm's increasing competitiveness in the semiconductor industry, particularly in automotive and AI applications.
- Future Outlook: As Qualcomm adjusts its product lineup to seize opportunities in data centers and AI-driven consumer devices, it will be crucial to observe whether it can accelerate revenue growth in the coming years while Arm continues to expand its market share.
See More
